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US Open First-Round Leader Odds: Koepka, Johnson & McIlroy Each Given 16-1 Odds

Dustin Johnson and Rory McIlroy
Dustin Johnson and Rory McIlroy are among the favorites to lead the US Open after the first round. Photo by @GolfDigest (Twitter)
  • The US Open tees off Thursday, June 13th from Pebble Beach
  • Brooks Koepka, Rory McIlroy, and Dustin Johnson are co-favorites to lead after the first round
  • Who are the best value picks to lead after 18 holes?

The US Open is just days away from teeing off at prestigious Pebble Beach Golf Links with many of the biggest names in golf showing fine form leading into the event.

Both Bovada and BetOnline have Brooks Koepka, Rory McIlroy, and Dustin Johnson as the co-favorites to lead after the first day. Are they worthy of betting or will someone else lead after the first round?

2019 US Open First Round Leader Odds

Golfer Odds at Bovada Odds at BetOnline
Brooks Koepka +1600 +1600
Rory McIlroy +1600 +1600
Dustin Johnson +1600 +1600
Tiger Woods +2200 +2000
Patrick Cantlay +2500 +2500
Jordan Spieth +2800 +2800
Jason Day +3300 +2800
Rickie Fowler +3300 +2800
Justin Rose +3300 +2800
Justin Thomas +3300 +3300
Matt Kuchar +5000 +5000

*Odds taken 06/11/19. Follow the link in the table above to see all options.

Dustin Johnson historically a Quick Starter at US Open

In the last five US Open’s, Dustin Johnson has been accustomed to quick starts, having taken the first round lead twice and been in the top-10 two other times, so expect him to start off strongly this week.

Dustin Johnson’s Last 5 First Rounds at US Open

Year Score Position
2018 -1 (69) T-1st
2017 +3 (75) T-102nd
2016 -3 (67) T-2nd
2015 -5 (65) T-1st
2014 -1 (69) T-6th

DJ has tasted success on this course in the past as well, having won two AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Ams. He’s also faced disaster in the 2010 Open, as he lead after 54 holes before a final round 82 saw him plummet down the leaderboard.

That awful last round notwithstanding, this is a golf course tailored for Johnson’s game, and he’s worthy of a bet to take the first round lead, especially because he’s third in first round scoring average this year.

Matt Kuchar a Solid Choice to Lead US Open after First Round

Matt Kuchar has been playing fantastic golf, with two victories this season and two runner-ups. He also is leading the season-long FedEx Cup race as well and he’s coming into Pebble Beach in fine form having posted five top-10 finishes in his last seven starts.

Most importantly for the purposes of figuring out who to bet as first round leader, he has the best first round scoring average on tour this year, so with +5000 odds, he’s definitely worth wagering on.

PGA Tour First Round Scoring Leaders

Player First Round Scoring Average
1. Matt Kuchar 68.07
2. Justin Thomas 68.50
3. Dustin Johnson 68.91
4. Phil Mickelson 69.00
5. Jordan Spieth 69.20

Last 5 US Open First Round Leaders

Year Leader Score
2018 D. Johnson/I. Poulter/S. Piercy/R. Henley -1 (69)
2017 Rickie Fowler -7 (65)
2016 Andrew Landry -4 (66)
2015 Dustin Johnson/Henrik Stenson -5 (65)
2014 Martin Kaymer -5 (65)

2019 US Open First Round Leader Best Value Picks

  1. Patrick Cantlay (+2500): Enters the week scorching hot, with a victory in his last event at the Memorial, and posted two third place finishes in the two individual stroke play events before that, including the PGA Championship.
  2. Adam Scott (+4000): Coming off a runner-up finish to Cantlay at the Memorial. Of the main six strokes gained stats this season, 23rd is his worst ranking (SG: off the tee.) In last four individual stroke play tournaments (Zurich Classic was a team event), nothing worse than an 18th place result.
  3. Rory Sabbatini (+10000): Long shot pick with upside. T-8th in first round scoring average. Been on a tear, having not missed a cut since February. Four top-10’s in last six events.
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