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Atlanta Braves vs New York Yankees Prediction, Odds & Starting Pitchers (Saturday, June 22)

Brady Trettenero

by Brady Trettenero in MLB Baseball

Updated Jun 22, 2024 · 11:37 AM PDT

Atlanta Braves starting pitcher Charlie Morton pitches
Jun 15, 2024; Cumberland, Georgia, USA; Atlanta Braves starting pitcher Charlie Morton (50) pitches against the Tampa Bay Rays during the first inning at Truist Park. Mandatory Credit: Mady Mertens-USA TODAY Sports
  • We’ve made our Braves vs Yankees prediction for Saturday’s MLB interleague matchup
  • The Saturday MLB odds slightly favor the Yankees, with the Braves as underdogs
  • Read below for Braves vs Yankees prediction, odds, and starting pitchers for June 22nd

The Atlanta Braves and New York Yankees continue their three-game series on Saturday night at Yankee Stadium, with first pitch scheduled for 7:15 p.m. ET on FOX.

Despite an offensive outburst in the series opener, the Braves find themselves as slight underdogs (-105) against the favored Yankees (-130). The over/under for total runs is set at a lofty 9, hinting at the potential for another high-scoring affair in the Bronx.

Here is our Braves vs Yankees prediction for Saturday, along with a breakdown of the odds and starting pitchers matchup.

Braves vs Yankees Prediction

If Friday night’s series opener was any indication, the Braves are in for another big night at the plate. Atlanta pounded out 14 hits in an 8-1 rout, with Ozzie Albies, Matt Olson, and Austin Riley all going deep.

The Braves have now won seven of their last eight, scoring an impressive 47 runs during that span. Even without injured stars Ronald Acuna Jr. and Michael Harris II, the Braves’ offense has been on a tear.

Meanwhile, the Yankees have hit a rough patch, losing six of their last eight while allowing a staggering 56 runs over that stretch. Their pitching staff has been the main culprit, failing to contain opposing offenses consistently.

Given the Braves’ current offensive momentum and the Yankees’ pitching woes, we predict that Atlanta will come out on top in this matchup. The Braves’ bats should continue to produce runs against a vulnerable Yankees pitching staff, while Charlie Morton aims to keep New York’s offense in check.

  • Pick: Braves ML (-105)
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Braves vs Yankees Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Braves +1.5 (-185) -105 Over 9 (+110)
Yankees -1.5 (+150) -130 Under 9 (-115)

The Yankees are slight favorites in this game, with moneyline odds of -130, implying a 59.3% probability of a New York victory. The Braves are the underdogs at 105, corresponding to a 44.6% implied probability of an Atlanta win.

The odds favor the Yankees due to their home-field advantage and the overall strength of their roster, despite their recent struggles. The updated World Series odds still show New York as the second betting choice to win the MLB Championship.

The over/under for total runs is set at a lofty 9, suggesting that oddsmakers expect another high-scoring affair. This is likely influenced by the Braves’ recent offensive surge and the Yankees’ pitching staff’s inability to contain opponents of late.

 

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Odds as of June 22, 2024, at BetMGM Sportsbook. Check out the best sports betting app for wagering on baseball. 

Braves vs Yankees Starting Pitchers

Saturday’s starting pitching matchup features Charlie Morton (4-3, 3.91 ERA) for the Braves and Marcus Stroman (6-3, 3.08 ERA) for the Yankees.

Morton has been inconsistent over his last six starts, going 1-3 with a 4.99 ERA. However, he’s coming off a strong outing against the Rays and has a decent track record against the Yankees (5-3, 3.54 ERA in 13 career starts).

Morton
VS
Stroman
4-3 Record 6-3
3.91 ERA 3.08
1.262 WHIP 1.299
2.53 K/BB 1.61
5-3 Career vs Opp. 4-3

Stroman, on the other hand, has struggled recently, posting a 5.28 ERA over his last three starts. He’ll be looking to avoid losing consecutive starts for the first time since last June.

While Stroman has had success against the Braves in the past (4-3, 2.61 ERA in eight starts), he’s lost his last three decisions against them. If his recent struggles continue, it could spell trouble for the Yankees.

Braves vs Yankees Injury Report

The biggest injury question mark for this game is Yankees second baseman Gleyber Torres, who exited Thursday’s game against the Orioles with a minor groin issue. His status for Saturday’s contest is uncertain, and his potential absence could force manager Aaron Boone to shuffle his lineup and defensive alignment.

The Braves, of course, are already without key players Ronald Acuna Jr. and Michael Harris II due to injuries. However, their absence hasn’t seemed to hinder Atlanta’s offensive production in recent games, as evidenced by their 47 runs scored over their last eight contests.

In the end, the smart money in this game is on the Braves. They’re the hotter team right now, and their offense should be able to take advantage of a vulnerable Yankees pitching staff. Don’t be surprised if Atlanta secures another high-scoring victory and inch closer to a series sweep in the Bronx.

 

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