Best MLB Player Prop Picks for Tuesday, July 4th, Including a +390 Home Run Prediction

MLB Player Prop #2: Adam Wainwright Under 3.5 Strikeouts

For our next pick, let’s stick in the same game and take the opposite pitcher in Adam Wainwright to go under his strikeout prop of 3.5.

It is admittedly sad for Wainwright, who is clearly emotionally impacted by his struggles, but the reality is he has not been a good pitcher by any means this season. He has an ERA of 7.45, and has given up a combined 13 earned runs in his last two starts alone.

Wainwright has made 10 starts so far this year, and has only recorded 4 or more strikeouts four times, and only once in his last four starts. His strikeout numbers are about as bad as it gets as well. He averages 0.52 K/inning (2nd percentile) and a 2% swinging strike rate (2nd percentile).

Pick: Adam Wainwright Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-120)

MLB Player Prop #3: Eloy Jimenez to Hit a Home Run

It wouldn’t have felt right going the entire holiday MLB betting slate without giving out a home run prop, so naturally we had to rectify that with a +390 banger.

The White Sox are surprisingly full of players who rake, and Jimenez is no different. He has 11 dingers on the year, and has hit two in his last ten games. His power stats look enticing as well when you dig a little deeper. He has an ISO rate (isolated power) of 20.9% and a barrel rate of 12.7%.

This is also a pretty juicy weather game from a hitters perspective, based on the temperature, the direction of the wind, and the dimension of the White Sox home stadium. All-in-all, there are a lot of reasons Jimenez can go yard for us, cashing this home run prop.

Pick: Eloy Jimenez to Hit a Home Run (+390)