Braves vs Phillies Odds, Lines & Spread (July 25)
By John Perrotto in MLB Baseball
Published:
- The Braves are -170 road favorites over the Phillies on Monday night
- Max Fried (10-3, 2.64) will start for Atlanta against fellow lefty Ranger Suarez (7-5, 4.07)
- A look at the matchups and odds can be found below with a pick
The National League East rival Atlanta Braves and Phillies meet at 7:05 p.m. ET Monday in the opener of a three-game series at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia.
The Braves (58-39/25-18 road) lost for just the second time in their last seven games Sunday when they were routed 9-1 by the Los Angeles Angels at home. The Phillies (49-46/24-24 home) were swept in a three-game weekend series by the visiting Chicago Cubs, including losing 4-3 on Sunday.
Braves vs Phillies Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Runline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Braves | -170 | -1.5 (+105) | Over 8 (-115) |
| Philadelphia Phillies | +145 | +1.5 (-125) | Under 8 (-105) |
Odds as of July 24th at Caesars Sportsbook.
The Braves are -170 favorites and have a 62.96% expected win probability. Atlanta has +800 World Series odds and the Phillies are listed at +3500.
The game may not start on time as there is an 80% chance of showers and thunderstorms at gametime with a forecast temperature of 85 degrees and southwest wind at 5-10 mph.
Braves vs Phillies Probable Pitchers
In a matchup of left-handers, Max Fried (10-3, 2.64) – whose NL Cy Young Award odds are +1300 — is scheduled to pitch for the Braves against Ranger Suarez (7-5, 4.07). Both will be working on eight days of rest.
Fried vs Suarez
| 10-3 | Record | 7-5 |
| 2.64 | ERA | 4.07 |
| 2.95 | xERA | 4.10 |
| 1.06 | WHIP | 1.42 |
| 4.95 | SO/W | 2.06 |
Since losing his first two starts of the season, Fried is 10-1 with a 2.63 ERA in 17 outings.
Fried beat the Nationals on July 16 at Washington in his last start. He pitched seven innings and allowed three runs on seven hits with four strikeouts and no walks.
It was a milestone victory.
50-Win Club member Max Fried ✔️ pic.twitter.com/JutSbC4QDN
— Bally Sports: Braves (@BravesOnBally) July 17, 2022
Fried has a 4-3 career record against the Phillies with a 3.90 ERA in 15 games (nine starts). He is 2-3 with a 4.65 ERA in nine games (five starts) at Citizens Bank Park.
On the road this season, Fried has a perfect 5-0 mark and 2.51 ERA in seven starts. He is 8-2 with a 2.46 ERA in 15 starts at night. The Braves are 14-5 in Fried’s starts.
Suarez is 3-1 with a 3.28 ERA in his last four starts, including working five shutout inning to beat the Marlins on July 16 in Miami in his last start. Suarez gave up four hits, did walk a batter and struck out four.
In 12 career games (including three starts) versus the Braves, Suarez has gone 1-2 with a 5.04 ERA.
This how it looked four months ago while pitching under the palm trees.
Ranger Suarez throwing his first bullpen of spring at Phillies camp pic.twitter.com/YJr6hjjE63
— Jim Salisbury (@JimSalisbury215) March 18, 2022
Suarez has struggled at home in 2022 with a 1-4 record and 5.15 ERA. He is 5-4 with a 4.30 ERA at night in 13 starts. The Phillies are 10-6 when Suarez toes the slab.
Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers
| Braves Batters | Batting Average vs Ranger Suarez |
|---|---|
| Orlando Arcia | 1.000 |
| Matt Olson | .500 |
| Ronald Acuna Jr. | .400 |
| Adam Duvall | .333 |
| Travis d’Arnaud | .333 |
| William Contreras | .286 |
| Dansby Swanson | .222 |
| Austin Riley | .200 |
| Marcell Ozuna | .167 |
| Robinson Cano | .000 |
| Michael Harris II | .000 |
| Guillermo Heredia | .000 |
| Phillies Batters | Batting Average vs Max Fried |
| Odubel Herrera | .571 |
| Nick Castellanos | .500 |
| J.T. Realmuto | .357 |
| Matt Vierling | .333 |
| Alec Bohm | .222 |
| Kyle Schwarber | .200 |
| Rhys Hoskins | .174 |
| Didi Gregorius | .100 |
| Johan Camargo | .000 |
| Yairo Munoz | .000 |
The Phillies’ J.T. Realmuto has been a tough matchup for Fried, hitting .357 (10 for 28) with two doubles, one triple and three home runs. Odubel Herrera is 4 for 7 with doubles and a homer but Didi Gregorius is 1 for 10.
Braves vs Phillies Betting Outlook
The Angels jumped on the Braves for five runs in the top of the first inning Sunday and Atlanta never recovered. Ronald Acuna Jr. had two hits in a losing effort and drove in his team’s only run.
The Braves got some bad news before the game when they learned outfielder Adam Duvall will miss the remainder of the season as he requires surgery to repair a torn tendon sheath in his left wrist. First baseman Mike Ford was recalled from Triple-A Gwinnett.
Adam Duvall has had some huge moments for the Braves and if this is the end then I have the utmost gratitude. #ForTheA pic.twitter.com/s84jNd5EPd
— Leslie Mines (@LeslieMinesIII) July 24, 2022
Garrett Stubbs provided the Phillies’ highlight in Sunday’s loss to the Cubs with a home run.
Alec Bohm had three hits for the Phillies. Stubbs and Rhys Hoskins added two hits apiece.
The Braves are 4-3 against the Phillies this season, including winning two of three at in Philadelphia. Matt Olson is hitting .346 (9 for 26) for the Braves with four doubles and three home runs. Realmuto is 8 for 23 (.348) with a triple and a homer for the Phillies.
J.T. Realmuto welcomes Max Meyer to The Show. pic.twitter.com/PlUTY1muXg
— NBC Sports Philadelphia (@NBCSPhilly) July 16, 2022
Since the start of last season, the Braves hold a slim 14-12 series lead.
Braves vs Phillies Last 10 Games
| Date | Home Team | Away Team | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6/30/22 | Phillies | Braves | PHI, 14-4 |
| 6/29/22 | Phillies | Braves | ATL, 4-1 |
| 6/28/22 | Phillies | Braves | ATL, 5-3 |
| 5/26/22 | Braves | Phillies | PHI, 4-1 |
| 5/25/22 | Braves | Phillies | ATL, 8-4 |
| 5/24/22 | Braves | Phillies | ATL, 6-5 |
| 5/23/22 | Braves | Phillies | PHI, 7-3 |
| 9/30/21 | Braves | Phillies | ATL, 5-3 |
| 9/29/21 | Braves | Phillies | ATL, 7-2 |
| 9/28/21 | Braves | Phillies | ATL, 2-1 |
Braves vs Phillies Prediction
Fried is having another fine season for the Braves. Suarez, though, is quietly pitching better than he has all season and makes the Phillies an intriguing underdog choice.
Pick: Phillies +145 ML
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Sports Writer
John Perrotto has been covering and writing about sports for various outlets for over 40 years. His work has appeared in the likes of USA TODAY, ESPN.com, SI.com, Forbes.com, The Associated Press, Baseball Digest, and more. John is based out of Beaver Falls, PA.
