Cubs vs Phillies Odds, Lines & Spread (July 22)
By Robert Duff in MLB Baseball
Published:
- The Philadelphia Phillies are -130 home favorites over the Chicago Cubs in a National League game set for Friday, July 22
- Philadelphia is 5-1 straight up and against the runline in the past six home games against Chicago
- Overall, the Phillies are 9-2 SU in the past 11 meetings with the Cubs
Longtime division rivals when the National League was a two-division outfit, the Philadelphia Phillies (49-43, 24-21 home) play host to the Chicago Cubs (35-57, 17-25 away) in the first regular-season meeting of 2022 between these two ball clubs that have been clashing annually since 1901.
The Phillies have owned the Cubs lately, both at home and in the overall scheme of things. Philadelphia is 5-1 straight up and against the runline over the past six home games. In the big picture, in all games between the two teams, the Phillies are 9-2 SU and against the runline.
Oddsmakers aren’t anticipating any changes in this MLB betting trend. It’s the Phillies who are set as -130 home favorites as this rivalry is renewed on Friday. Philadelphia is 21-18 SU as a home favorite this season.
First pitch at Citizens Bank Park is set for 7:05pm ET on Friday, July 22. Clear skies are in the forecast, with 10 mph wind and a temperature of 94 degrees.
Cubs vs Phillies Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Runline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Cubs | +110 | +1.5 (-170) | O 9 (-110) |
| Philadelphia Phillies | -130 | -1.5 (+143) | U 9 (-110) |
Odds as of July21st at Caesars Sportsbook. See available Caesars Sportsbook promo codes.
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At odds of -130, the Phillies are offering an implied probability of victory of 56.52% in the MLB betting line. A successful $10 wager on Philadelphia would deliver a payout of $17.70.
Public wagering is showing to be in line with the oddsmakers on this game, slightly leaning toward Philadelphia. The Phillies are drawing 56% of the moneyline and runline action. There’s also 56% of bets backing the over.
The MLB betting trends show that in the NL Division odds, Philadelphia is +1000 to win the NL East. Chicago is +4000 to win the NL Central. The MLB pennant odds show the Phillies at +1800 to win the NL flag. Chicago is a +100000 long shot. Philadelphia is at +4000 to win it all in the World Series odds. You’ll get a betting line of +200000 on the Cubs winning the Fall Classic.
Chicago vs Philadelphia Probable Pitchers
Cubs left-hander Justin Steele is winless in July (0-1) after going unbeaten (2-0) in June. Since the beginning of June, Steele has held the opposition to one earned run in four of his past seven starts. He’s worked at least five innings in eight consecutive starts.
Justin Steele is one of the best contact managers among all starting pitchers in MLB (min. 80 IP).
Exit Velocity: 87.1 MPH (12th)
Hard%: 33.5% (9th)
Launch Angle: 6.9 degrees (8th)Barrel%: 2.9% … 1st in MLB!
— Michael Cerami (@Michael_Cerami) July 14, 2022
However, Steele’s struggles on the road are continuing. He’s 0-2 in six starts away from Wrigley Field with a 5.86 ERA. His road WHIP is 1.52.
This will be the first time in his career that Steele is facing the Phillies.
Steele vs Gibson
| 3-6 | Record | 5-3 |
| 4.15 | ERA | 4.35 |
| 3.56 | xERA | 4.25 |
| 1.41 | WHIP | 1.20 |
| 2.14 | SO/W Ratio | 3.08 |
A career .500 pitcher (84-86), Phillies right-hander Kyle Gibson is 9-9 since coming to Philadelphia last season from the Texas Rangers. His current strikeouts/walks ratio of 3.08 would be a career high if Gibson maintains that pace through the end of the season.
Kyle Gibson and the #Phillies take on the Cubs tomorrow. Here is the current Cubs roster against Kyle.
— 53 PA
— .220 xBA
— .388 xSLG
— 24.5 K%♦️ Kyles last 2 starts: 13 IP, 6 H, 1 ER, 10 K#RingTheBell pic.twitter.com/VaWYg2sK32
— PhillieSavant (@Phillie_Savant) July 21, 2022
Gibson is 1-0 with a 0.69 ERA over his last two starts, allowing six hits and striking out 10 over 13 innings of work. He’s lost just one of his past 10 starts.
He’s faced the Cubs twice and is 0-2 with a 5.40 ERA. However, Gibson’s strikeouts/walks ratio of 4.33 against Chicago is his best number against any MLB team.
Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers
| Phillies Batters | Batting Average vs Steele | Cubs Batters | Batting Average vs Gibson |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Bohm | .000 | David Bote | .000 |
| Johan Camargo | .000 | Willson Contreras | .500 |
| Nick Castellanos | .500 | Yan Gomes | .406 |
| Didi Gregorius | .000 | Ian Happ | .000 |
| Darick Hall | .000 | PJ Higgins | .000 |
| Odubel Herrera | .000 | Nico Hoerner | .000 |
| Rhys Hoskins | .000 | Christopher Morel | .000 |
| Yairo Munoz | .000 | Rafael Ortega | .167 |
| JT Realmuto | .000 | Alfonso Rivas | .500 |
| Kyle Schwarber | .000 | Frank Schwindel | .000 |
| Bryson Stott | .000 | Seiya Suzuki | .000 |
| Garrett Stubbs | .000 | Nelson Velazquez | .000 |
| Matt Vierling | .000 | Patrick Wisdom | .500 |
Phillies outfielder Nick Castellanos is 4-for-8 (.500) with a solo homer when facing Steele.
Patrick Wisdom vs Kyle Gibson#CubTogether
Home Run 💣
Exit velo: 110.4 mph
Launch angle: 24 deg
Proj. distance: 447 ftNo doubt about that one 🔒
That's a dinger in all 30 MLB ballparksCHC (2) @ PHI (1)
🔺 5th pic.twitter.com/cnZ5uUqjRG— Would it dong? (@would_it_dong) September 15, 2021
Chicago’s Patrick Wisdom is 1-for-2 (.500) with a two-run homer against Gibson. Alfonso Rivas is 1-for-2 with a solo homer. Wilson Contreras is 1-for-2 (.500) as well. Yan Gomes is 13-for-32 (.406) with two homers and five RBI.
Cubs vs Phillies Prediction
Perhaps the best bet to play on this game is to take the over on the total. The Cubs and Phillies have combined to go over nine runs in seven of their last nine meetings.
The over is 4-0-1 against the total of nine in the past five Cubs-Phillies games played at Philadelphia.
Pick: Over 9 runs (-110)
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Sports Writer
An industry veteran, Bob literally taught the course on the history of sports at Elder College. He has worked as a Sports Columnist for Postmedia, appeared as a guest on several radio stations, was the Vice President of the Society For International Hockey Research in Ontario, and written 25 books.
