Diamondbacks vs Reds Odds and Picks (June 9)
- The Cincinnati Reds are -140 home favorites over the Arizona Diamondbacks in a National League afternoon game on Thursday, June 9
- Cincinnati entered play Wednesday 8-5 straight up over the previous 13 games
- All of the Diamondbacks vs Reds odds and picks are analyzed in the story below
The improving Cincinnati Reds (20-35, 12-15 home) appear to be solving the problem they’ve had with the Arizona Diamondbacks (26-31, 12-15 away).
Entering play Wednesday, the Reds were winners in the first two games of a four-game home set with the Diamondbacks. Prior to those two games, Arizona had won five in a row overall from Cincinnati and five of the previous seven games played at Cinci.
In general, even though they still rate as the worst team in the National League, the Reds are playing better baseball. Cincinnati was 8-5 straight up over the prior 13 games. Oddsmakers are buying into the new and improved Reds.
Diamondbacks vs Reds Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Runline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona Diamondbacks | +120 | +1.5 (-170) | O 9.5 (-120) |
| Cincinnati Reds | -140 | -1.5 (+145) | U 9.5 (+100) |
Odds as of June 8th at Caesars Sportsbook. See available Caesars promo codes.
It’s Cincinnati that’s set as the -140 home favorites in the fourth and final game of this set with Arizona. The Diamondbacks are 11-14 straight up as a road underdog this season.
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First pitch at Great American Ballpark in this Thursday, June 9 game is set for 12:35 pm ET. The forecast is calling for cloudy skies, 9 mph wind and a temperature of 74 degrees.
At odds of -140, the Reds are offering an implied probability of victory of 58.33. A successful $10 wager on Cincinnati would be providing a return of $17.10.
The Reds may be the home team but in MLB betting trends, it’s the Diamondbacks getting the love. Public betting in both the moneyline and spread splits is supporting Arizona at 53%. The public is also backing the under at 53%.
As far as the NL Division odds are concerned, Cinci is +40000 to win the NL Central. You’ll get a betting line of +30000 on Arizona winning the NL West. The World Series odds show the Diamondbacks at +50000 and the Reds at +100000.
Arizona vs Cincinnati Probable Pitchers
Reds right-hander Tyler Mahle appears to be finding his footing following a dreadful start to 2022. Four of his last five starts registered as quality starts. In those last five starts he’s showing a 4.34 ERA and 1.21 WHIP. He’s struck out 32 while walking only 11 over the past 29 innings pitched.
Mahle shares the NL led with 12 games started. He led the league last season with 33 starts.
I thought Tyler Mahle would break out and take that next step for the past 2 years. He fools me each year. He’s elite in spurts. Bad in spurts. But most a little above average?
— Troy Hyde (@troyhyde44) June 4, 2022
In six home starts, Mahle is 0-3 with a 5.60 ERA. In day games, Mahle is 13-18 with a 4.33 ERA.
He’s 0-1 with a 3.00 ERA in three career starts facing the Diamondbacks. In 50 career starts at Great American Ballpark, Mahle is 11-16 with a 5.16 ERA.
Davies vs Mahle
| 2-3 | Record | 2-5 |
| 4.18 | ERA | 5.43 |
| 3.76 | xERA | 3.87 |
| 1.25 | WHIP | 1.39 |
| 2.05 | SO/W Ratio | 2.29 |
Diamondbacks right-hander Zach Davies has lost nine of his last 11 decisions going back to last season. He’s allowed 12 earned runs in his last 13 innings pitched. Over than span, Davies has surrendered five home runs.
Among MLB pitchers, Davies rates in the top 6% in exit velocity (85.3) and in the top 9% of hard-hit percentage (29.6). He’s 1-2 with a 5.13 ERA in five road starts. Davies is 23-18 with a 4.01 ERA in day games.
Zach Davies put on a clinic against the #Pirates ⚾️
Season Stats: 4.18 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, and 43 K in 56 IP pic.twitter.com/9fjhDWiKQm
— The Base Hit (@the_basehit) June 5, 2022
Against the Reds, Davies is 3-5 with a 4.41 ERA in 16 career starts. At Great American Ballpark, he’s 0-1 with a 2.36 ERA in five starts.
Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers
| Reds Batters | Batting Average vs Davies | Diamondbacks Batters | Batting Average vs Mahle |
|---|---|---|---|
| Albert Almirola Jr | .250 | Jake Hager | .000 |
| Aristides Aquino | .000 | Jose Herrera | .000 |
| Brandon Drury | .167 | Cooper Hummel | .000 |
| Kyle Farmer | .400 | Jordan Luplow | .200 |
| TJ Friedl | .000 | Ketel Marte | 1.000 |
| Aramis Garcia | .000 | Jake McCarthy | .000 |
| Alejo Lopez | .000 | David Peralta | .333 |
| Tommy Pham | .125 | Geraldo Perdomo | .000 |
| Matt Reynolds | .000 | Josh Rojas | .000 |
| Nick Senzel | .167 | Pavin Smith | .000 |
| Tyler Stephenson | .286 | Alek Thomas | .000 |
| Joey Votto | .375 | Daulton Varsho | .000 |
| — | — | Christian Walker | .000 |
Reds slugger Joey Votto is 12-for-32 (.375) with two homers and three RBI when facing Davies. Kyle Farmer is batting .400 (2-for-5).
ALEK THOMAS ROBS JOEY VOTTO! pic.twitter.com/aiwWB8Ult4
— Bally Sports Arizona (@BALLYSPORTSAZ) June 9, 2022
Arizona’s Ketel Marte is 2-for-2 (1.000) with a homer and three RBI off of Mahle. David Peralta is 1-for-3 (.333).
Diamondbacks vs Reds Prediction
Arizona has proven to be a good road play on the runline this season, going 17-10 against the spread. Meanwhile, Cincinnati is a solid home over play, going 18-9 on the total in home games.
As for the game itself, while Mahle appears to be finding a rhythm, Davies looks to be completely out of tune. He has pitched well against Cinci in the past but Arizona was 1-4 SU in the past five games. Considering that they were playing the Pirates and the Reds, that’s not good news.
Pick: Cincinnati Reds ML (-140)
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An industry veteran, Bob literally taught the course on the history of sports at Elder College. He has worked as a Sports Columnist for Postmedia, appeared as a guest on several radio stations, was the Vice President of the Society For International Hockey Research in Ontario, and written 25 books.
