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Dodgers vs Braves Game 6 Odds, Picks, and Probable Pitchers

John Perrotto

by John Perrotto in MLB Baseball

Updated Oct 22, 2021 · 4:31 PM PDT

Los Angeles Dodgers' Chris Taylor hitting a home run
Los Angeles Dodgers' Chris Taylor watches his two-run home run in the second inning against the Atlanta Braves in Game 5 of baseball's National League Championship Series Thursday, Oct. 21, 2021, in Los Angeles. Pujols scored on the hit. (AP Photo/Jae C. Hong)
  • The Dodgers are -170 road favorites over the Braves in NLCS Game 6 on Saturday night
  • The Dodgers’ Max Scherzer (15-4, 2.46 regular season) will face rookie Ian Anderson (9-5, 3.58)
  • The odds and matchups can be found below with a prediction

The Atlanta Braves will again try to close out the National League Championship Series when they host Los Angeles Dodgers in Game 6 at 5:08 p.m. or 8:08 p.m. ET Saturday at Truist Park.

The Dodgers (112-61, 50-36 road) stayed alive in the best-of-seven series with a 11-2 rout in Game 6 on Thursday night in Los Angeles. The Braves (94-76, 46-38 home) still hold a 3-2 series lead.

Since putting together a 10-game winning streak, the Dodgers have split their last 10 games. The Braves have lost two of their last three games following a five-game winning streak.

The Dodgers are favored in Game 6, which will be televised by TBS.

Dodgers vs Braves Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
Los Angeles Dodgers -170 -1.5 (+100) Over 8 (-110)
Atlanta Braves +150 +1.5 (-120) Under 8 (-110)

Odds as of October 22nd at DraftKings.

The moneyline has gone up after the Dodgers opened as -150 favorites. The weather will be a bit chilly in Atlanta with the low temperature forecasted for 51 degrees with calm winds and no chance of rain.

Probable Pitchers

In a rematch of Game 2, Dodgers ace Max Scherzer (15-4, 2.46 regular season) will face rookie Ian Anderson (9-5, 3.58). Neither pitcher factored in the decision as the Braves went on to win 5-4 in Atlanta.

Scherzer said after the game he had dead arm. He gave up two runs and four hits in 4.1 innings on two days’ rest after pitching the ninth inning of the winner-take-all Game 5 in the Dodgers’ victory over the San Francisco Giants in a National League Division Series.

Scherzer vs Anderson

Max Scherzer
VS
Ian Anderson
15-4 Record 9-5
2.46 ERA 3.58
2.89 xERA 4.30
0.86 WHIP 1.23
6.56 SO/W 2.34

Scherzer has not won in his last five starts, going 0-1 with a 4.85 in that span. He also has only one quality start in those outings.

Overall, Scherzer has notched a QS in 19 of 33 starts this year and his teams are 23-10 when he starts. The Dodgers have gone 12-2 in Scherzer’s starts after acquiring him from the Washington Nationals in a July 30 trade but have lost the last two.

Scherzer is 10-2 on the road this season with a 2.64 ERA in 18 games (17 starts). At night, he has a 7-3 record and 2.78 ERA in 20 games (19 starts).

This will be Scherzer’s fourth start against the Braves in 2021 and he is 0-0 with a 3.31 ERA. His career numbers against Atlanta are so-so as he is 10-9 with a 3.89 ERA in 28 games (26 starts), including 3-3 with a 3.76 ERA in seven starts at Truist Park.

In the postseason, Scherzer has gone 7-6 with a 3.22 ERA in 26 games (21 starts).

Anderson was yanked after three innings in Game 2 when he walked three batters. He was charged with two runs while allowing three hits and striking out two.

Despite the short outing, Anderson is 5-0 with a 3.35 ERA in his last eight starts.

Anderson has notched 10 quality starts in 26 tries this season and the Braves have a 15-11 record when he pitches. Anderson is 6-1 with a 3.38 ERA in 13 home starts and 8-2 with a 3.55 ERA in 18 starts at night.

Anderson is 0-1 with a 7.36 ERA in two starts against the Dodgers and 0-1 with a 3.77 in four starts.

Anderson has been impressive in October, going 3-0 with a 1.35 in six career postseason starts.

Hits Hard to Find

While Anderson doesn’t have much of a track record against the Dodgers, center fielder Cody Bellinger is 0 for 6 with three strikeouts and third baseman Chris Taylor has punched out four times while going 0 for 5.

Batting Averages vs Starting Pitchers

Dodgers Batters Batting Average vs Anderson Braves Batters Batting Average vs Scherzer
Mookie Betts .400 Orlando Arcia .500
Will Smith .286 Eddie Rosario .500
Gavin Lux .250 Ehire Adrianza .333
Corey Seager .200 Johan Camargo .250
AJ Pollock .143 Freddie Freeman .225
Cody Bellinger .000 Dansby Swanson .200
Chris Taylor .000 Adam Duvall .182
Trea Turner .000 Joc Pederson .179
Travis d’Arnaud .179
Ozzie Albies .148
Austin Riley .125
Jorge Soler .000

Taylor, though, tied an MLB postseason record by hitting three home runs in Game 5 as he took over at the hot corner for the injured Justin Turner. Injured in Game 4, Turner is out for the rest of the postseason with a strained left hamstring.

Right fielder Mookie Betts is 2 for 5 with three walks in eight plate appearances.

The Braves got right fielder Jorge Soler back for Game 5 following a stint on the COVID-19 injured list. He struck out as a pinch-hitter but could return to the lineup Saturday.

After being acquired from the Kansas City Royals in a trade July 30, Soler hit .269/.368/.524 with 14 home runs in 55 regular season games.

Braves first baseman Freddie Freeman is just 11 for 49 against Scherzer with three home runs and 14 strikeouts while catcher Travis d’Arnaud is 5 for 28 with 11 whiffs and second baseman Ozzie Albies is 4 for 27 with 10 Ks.

Dodgers vs Braves Pick

The Dodgers have won six of the 11 games between the teams this year, but the Braves are 4-1 in Atlanta, including winning the first two games of the NLCS.

In Game 5, the Dodgers boat raced the Braves. In addition to Taylor’s three homers, left fielder AJ Pollock went deep twice and had four RBIs.

It is easy to say the Dodgers have all the momentum after such a convincing victory on Thursday and it is hard to buck Los Angeles’ seven-game winning streak in elimination games. However, the Braves are still in control of the series and looked poised to wrap up the pennant against Scherzer, who looked completely gassed his last time out.

The Pick: Braves moneyline (+150)

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