Dodgers vs Padres Odds, Picks, and Probable Pitchers (August 25)

By John Perrotto in MLB Baseball
Published:

- The Los Angeles Dodgers are -142 road favorites over the San Diego Padres on Wednesday night
- Walker Buehler (13-2, 2.11) will start for the Dodgers against lefty Blake Snell (6-5, 4.82)
- Odds and analysis can be found below with a prediction
National League Cy Young Award favorite Walker Buehler will be on the mound for the Los Angeles Dodgers when they visit the San Diego Padres at 10:10 pm ET Wednesday in the middle game of a three-game series at Petco Park.
After having a nine-game winning streak snapped Sunday, the Dodgers (79-47) bounced back to beat the Padres 5-2 on Tuesday night in the series opener. Los Angeles has won 14 of its last 17 games.
The Padres (68-59) have lost six of seven and 10 and 12 and, not surprisingly, are underdogs against Buehler.
Dodgers vs Padres Odds
Team | Moneyline | Runline | Total |
---|---|---|---|
Los Angeles Dodgers | -142 | -1.5 (+116) | Over 8.5 (-104) |
San Diego Padres | +120 | +1.5 (-140) | Under 8.5 (-118) |
Odds as of August 25th at FanDuel
The Dodgers opened as -145 favorites on the moneyline and that has changed just slightly. The weather forecast calls for some haze at game time with the temperature at 77 degrees and wind from the northwest at 5-10 mph.
Probable Pitchers
Buehler (13-2, 2.11) will oppose Padres left-hander Blake Snell (6-5, 4.82), who happened to win the American League Cy Young Award in 2018 while pitching for the Tampa Bay Rays.
Buehler has gone 2-0 in his last three starts and 6-1 with a 1.51 ERA in his past 10 outings. He has reeled off eight straight quality starts, 17 in his last 18 games and a total of 22 in 25 games this season.
Buehler vs Snell Stats
13-2 | Record | 6-5 |
2.11 | ERA | 4.82 |
2.96 | xERA | 5.62 |
0.93 | WHIP | 1.52 |
4.15 | SO/W | 2.14 |
In his previous turn, Buehler did not factor in the decision last Friday against the New York Mets in Los Angeles. He allowed two runs and six hits in 7.2 innings with eight strikeouts and no walks.
However, Buehler wasn’t entirely happy.
Now we know why Walker Buehler had some words for the home plate umpire, ultimately getting thrown out
The RBI single from Pete Alonso went off his foot pic.twitter.com/TW2mTRdCpb
— Blake Harris (@BlakeHHarris) August 21, 2021
Buehler has a perfect 5-0 record on the road in 10 starts this season with a 2.07 ERA. He is 9-2 with a 2.36 ERA in 21 games at night. The Dodgers are 17-8 in his starts.
Buehler has faced the Padres twice this season and is 0-0 despite a fine 2.77 ERA. He is 4-0 with a 1.76 ERA in seven career starts versus San Diego and 1-0 with a 2.65 ERA in three games at Petco Park.
While Snell certainly isn’t a Cy Young candidate, he has pitched better lately, going 2-1 with a 2.45 ERA in four starts in August. He pitched well in a home loss to the Philadelphia Phillies last Friday when he gave up three runs, two hits and two walks in five innings while striking out nine.
Snell has had just four quality starts in 23 outings this season and those are the only times he has pitched at least six innings. The Padres are 11-12 he takes the mound.
At least, he has looked good warming up.
Tonight's starting pitcher for YOUR San Diego Padres, Blake Snell! @snellzilla4 @Padres #HungryForMore pic.twitter.com/lHi3PmxJPC
— Roy, excited for Padres baseball!âš¾ (@Zippy_TMS) August 21, 2021
Petco Park has been a friendly place for Snell in his first year with the Padres as he has a 4-2 record with a 2.68 ERA in 10 starts at home. At night, he is 5-3 with a 3.55 ERA in 15 starts.
Snell has made three of his four career regular season starts against the Dodgers this season and is 1-0 with a 2.35 ERA. He is also 1-0 lifetime with a 2.08 ERA.
Bad Matchup for Muncy
Snell has given Max Muncy fits as the Dodgers first baseman is hitless in nine career at-bats against him with five strikeouts, though he has drawn three walks. Muncy is also currently in a 1-for-19 slump.
Center fielder Chris Taylor is 4 for 10 with a double and two homers off Snell.
Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers
Dodgers Batters | Batting Average vs Snell |
---|---|
Austin Barnes | .500 |
Chris Taylor | .400 |
Billy McKinney | .333 |
Will Smith | .273 |
Trea Turner | .250 |
Justin Turner | .222 |
Corey Seager | .200 |
AJ Pollock | .167 |
Albert Pujols | .125 |
Max Muncy | .000 |
Cody Bellinger | .000 |
Padres Batters | Batting Average vs Buehler |
Austin Nola | 1.000 |
Jake Marisnick | .500 |
Fernando Tatis Jr. | .333 |
Trent Grisham | .300 |
Manny Machado | .250 |
Adam Frazier | .167 |
Wil Myers | .154 |
Eric Hosmer | .143 |
Jurickson Profar | .111 |
Jake Cronenworth | .111 |
Tommy Pham | .000 |
Victor Caratini | .000 |
The Dodgers are 13-3 since acquiring second baseman Trea Turner from the Washington Nationals in a trade. He is hitting .323 (20 for 62) in those 16 games with 14 runs scored while batting leadoff.
It’s as if Turner floats on air.
"Smooth" by Santana (feat. Trea Turner) @Dodgers pic.twitter.com/otmqeYNYuc
— Lisa J (@ElsieBWriter) August 11, 2021
Padres’ right fielder Fernando Tatis has had some success against Buehler, going 5 for 15 with two home runs. However, first baseman Eric Hosmer is 3 for 21 with six strikeouts.
Dodgers vs Padres Pick
The Padres hold a 7-4 edge over the Dodgers in the season series, including 5-3 at home. However, the Dodgers won every season series in a 10-year span 2011-20, going 118-61.
On Tuesday night, AJ Pollock hit a two-run single and robbed Manny Machado of a two-run homer to lead the Dodgers. Will Smith homered for Los Angeles.
Not Manny guys can do what AJ just did. 😱 pic.twitter.com/ib9F97Vcdi
— Los Angeles Dodgers (@Dodgers) August 25, 2021
The scales seem ready to tip back in the Dodgers’ favor against their rivals to the south and Los Angeles is especially tough to beat when Buehler is on the mound.
The Pick: Dodgers -142

Sports Writer
John Perrotto has been covering and writing about sports for various outlets for over 40 years. His work has appeared in the likes of USA TODAY, ESPN.com, SI.com, Forbes.com, The Associated Press, Baseball Digest, and more. John is based out of Beaver Falls, PA.