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Marlins vs Cubs Odds & Picks (Aug 5)

Blair Johnson

by Blair Johnson in MLB Baseball

Aug 5, 2022 · 7:36 AM PDT

Patrick Wisdom and Frank Schwindel celebrating at home plate
Aug 4, 2022; St. Louis, Missouri, USA; Chicago Cubs third baseman Patrick Wisdom (16) is congratulated by first baseman Frank Schwindel (18) after scoring against the St. Louis Cardinals during the seventh inning at Busch Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jeff Curry-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Miami Marlins and Chicago Cubs face off at Wrigley Field on Friday, August 5th
  • The Marlins are trying to stay in contention of the NL Wild Card race, while the Cubs are in full rebuilding mode
  • Read below for the Marlins vs Cubs odds and betting preview

The Miami Marlins (48-57) face the Chicago Cubs (41-63) on Friday at Wrigley Field. The opener of a three-game series has a scheduled first pitch of 2:20 pm ET. The Fish will send Edward Cabrera to the mound, while the Cubbies counter with Justin Steele.

The Cubs are the favorite in this one, but face long +30000 odds to win the NL Central. Meantime, Don Mattingly’s club faces identical +30000 odds to win the NL East in the MLB Division odds.

Marlins vs Cubs Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
Miami Marlins +122 +1.5 (-178) O 8.0 (-104)
Chicago Cubs -144 -1.5 (+146) U 8.0 (-118)

Odds as of August 4th at FanDuel Sportsbook


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Miami vs Chicago Probable Pitchers

The Fish will trot out the rookie Cabrera in his first start since June 12th. He last pitched six days ago for AAA Jacksonville and went five innings, striking out seven. When he was part of the rotation two months ago, he performed well. Miami was 2-1 in his outings — two of which were quality ones.

The big right-hander got roughed up a bit in his most recent appearance. He only managed 3.2 innings while allowing seven hits, five earned runs and three walks while striking out two in an eventual 9-4 loss to Houston.

Meantime, the Cubs have gone 7-12 in Smyly’s starts this season, with five one of those being of the quality variety. The North Siders have dropped three of the last four turns by the 27-year-old lefty, including last Thursday’s outing against the Giants — which saw Steele go 3.2 innings and allow five hits, no earned runs and a walk while striking out six in an eventual 4-2 defeat.

There could be some optimism for Cubs fans in this spot, though, as four of the last nine turns by Steele have been quality ones. He owns a 3-2 record and 2.65 ERA over that stretch.

Cabrera vs Steele Stats

Edward Cabrera
Justin Steele
2-1 Record 4-7
3.45 ERA 3.86
4.52 xERA 3.75
21.7% K% 21.6%

The Marlins have only managed a 5-9 record since the All-Star break and prior to a 3-0 victory against the Reds on Wednesday, Miami had lost five straight. Offense has been an issue over the last week for the Fish — with the squad only scoring 12 total runs in the last six games.

One of the few bright spots over the last week has been shortstop Charles Leblanc. The 26-year-old rookie launched his first career big fly and has gone 6-for-17 (.353) in that timeframe.

Meanwhile, the home team enters the Friendly Confines scuffling in a major way. Chicago has dropped six of its last seven — including falling in both ends of a doubleheader to rival St. Louis on Thursday.

After Wisdom’s first inning long ball of the nightcap, David Ross’ group only managed one more hit the entire way in a 7-2 loss. However, much was made about the team failing to move either Willson Contreras or Ian Happ at the deadline — and both All-Stars are still formidable aspects of this lineup.

The Cubs currently are currently +100000 longshots to win the Fall Classic, while the Marlins are at +25000 in the World Series odds.

MIA vs CHC Last 10 Meetings

Date Home Team Away Team Score
8/15/22 Marlins Cubs MIA, 4-1
8/14/22 Marlins Cubs MIA, 5-4
8/13/22 Marlins Cubs CHC, 14-10
6/20/22 Cubs Marlins CHC, 2-0
6/19/22 Cubs Marlins MIA, 11-1
6/18/22 Cubs Marlins MIA, 10-2
10/2/20 Cubs Marlins MIA, 2-0
9/30/20 Cubs Marlins MIA, 5-1
5/9/19 Cubs Marlins CHC, 4-1
5/8/19 Cubs Marlins CHC, 3-2

Marlins vs Cubs Prediction

It’s not like either team is setting the world on fire right now. And outside of Sandy Alcantara starts, it’s hard to pick Miami to win with a compromised big league roster.

Yes, the Cubs have struggled. But I like them to fry the Fish in this spot.

Pick: Chicago ML (-144)

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