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Marlins vs Phillies Odds & Picks (Aug 11)

Blair Johnson

by Blair Johnson in MLB Baseball

Aug 10, 2022 · 8:29 PM PDT

Philadelphia Phillies first baseman Rhys Hoskins tags Miami Marlins second baseman Joey Wendle out at first base
Aug 10, 2022; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; Philadelphia Phillies first baseman Rhys Hoskins (17) catches Miami Marlins second baseman Joey Wendle (18) off base for an out during the first inning at Citizens Bank Park. Mandatory Credit: Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Miami Marlins and Philadelphia Phillies face off at Citizens Bank Park on Thursday, August 11th
  • The Fish have fallen out of postseason contention since the break, while the Fightins are now firmly entrenched in one of the NL Wild Card spots
  • Read below for the Marlins vs Phillies odds and betting preview

The Miami Marlins (49-61) face the Philadelphia Phillies (62-48) on Thursday at Citizens Bank Park. The finale in a three-game series has a scheduled first pitch of 1:05 pm ET. Miami will send Edward Cabrera to the mound, while the Phillies counter with Kyle Gibson.

The home team is the favorite in this spot and have +7500 odds to win the NL East. Meantime, Don Mattingly’s club has +30000 odds in the MLB Division odds.

Marlins vs Phillies Odds

Team Runline Moneyline Total
Miami Marlins +1.5 (-145) +140 Ov 8 (-120)
Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (+122) -165 Un 8 (+100)

Odds as of August 10th at Caesars Sportsbook. See available Caesars Sportsbook bonus code

 

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Miami vs Philadelphia Probable Pitchers

The first two starts of Cabrera’s 2022 season couldn’t have gone much better. They were both of quality outings which saw him go 2-0 with an 0.75 ERA over 12 innings. But the Fish have dropped the two most recent turns by the 24-year-old rookie, which saw him go 0-1 with a 5.19 ERA over 8.2 innings.

The Dominican native was got little run support in his last outing, going scoreless five innings and allowing no hits and three walks while striking out eight in an eventual 2-1 defeat to the Cubs last Friday.

Meantime, Philadelphia has flourished in Gibson’s starts this season — going 13-8. The 34-year-old journeyman has tossed 11 quality outings this season, including four in which he went at least seven innings. He was especially filthy in his most recent turn.

Gibson ended up going eight innings, allowing a pair of hits, an earned run and a walk while striking out four in a 7-2 win over Washington last Friday.

Cabrera vs Gibson Stats

Edward Cabrera
VS
Kyle Gibson
2-1 Record 7-4
2.61 ERA 4.36
3.86 xERA 4.22
26.7% K% 18.4%

Miami has struggled in the second half, going  6-13 since the break and are trying avoid being swept on Thursday. The Marlins’ record has been even worse since the calendar turned to August, going 2-6 as the dog days have settled in. Offense has been the issue this month, as the Fish have only scored  13 total runs and have failed to plate more than three runs in any August contest.

The former first-round pick and Keystone State native Bleday has been the lone bright spot for Miami over the last seven days. The 24-year-old rookie blasted his second career home run in Tuesday’s 4-1 loss and fell a homer short of the cycle in Wednesday’s 4-3 defeat. He’s gone 8-for-20 since August 3rd and is one of only two Marlin regulars (Charles Leblanc being the other) hitting above .214.

Meantime, the Fightins have gone 13-5 since the break, with contributors up and down the lineup. Six Philly regulars (Rhys Hoskins, Darick Hall, JT Realmuto, Kyle Schwarber, Jean Segura and Bryson Stott) are hitting at least .300 over the last days, with Hoskings slugging four big flies over the stretch.

The Phillies currently have +4000 odds to win the Fall Classic, while the Marlins are at +30000 in the World Series odds.

MIA vs PHI Last 10 Meetings

Date Home Team Away Team Score
8/10/22 Phillies Marlins TBD
8/9/22 Phillies Marlins TBD
7/17/22 Marlins Phillies PHI, 4-0
7/16/22 Marlins Phillies PHI, 10-0
7/15/22 Marlins Phillies PHI, 2-1
6/15/22 Phillies Marlins PHI, 3-1
6/14/22 Phillies Marlins MIA, 11-9
6/13/22 Phillies Marlins PHI, 3-2
4/17/22 Marlins Phillies MIA, 11-3
4/16/22 Marlins Phillies PHI, 10-2

Marlins vs Phillies Prediction

The Phillies are 40-19 since Rob Thomson replaced Joe Girardi as manager and 25-13 since Bryce Harper was placed on the Injured List. Only the Mets and Dodgers are better in the NL during that span.

Cabrera has been solid, but Gibson has been better. It’s hard go against Philly in this spot and complete the sweep.

Pick: Phillies ML (-165)

 

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