Mets vs Giants Odds, Picks, and Betting Lines (August 16)
By John Perrotto in MLB Baseball
Published:
- The San Francisco Giants are -195 home favorites over the New York Mets on Monday night
- Lefty Rich Hill (6-4, 4.05) pitches for the Mets against Kevin Gausman (11-5, 2.29)
- Odds and analysis can be found below along with a prediction
Two teams headed in opposite directions meet when the New York Mets visit the San Francisco Giants at 9:45 p.m. ET Monday in the opener of a three-game series at Oracle Park.
The Mets (59-58) were swept in a three-game series by the Los Angeles Dodgers over the weekend at home and have lost 12 of their last 17 games. The Giants (76-42) have won seven of their last eight games and 12 of 15 to improve upon the best record in the major leagues and are favored again.
Mets vs Giants Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Runline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| New York Mets | +165 | +1.5 (-120) | Over 8 (-115) |
| San Francisco Giants | -190 | -1.5 (+100) | Under 8 (-105) |
Odds as of August 16th at DraftKings.
The Giants opened as -180 favorites on the moneyline and that has gone up. It is forecasted to be a windy night at Oracle Park with a west wind at 19-24 mph and gusts up to 32 mph to go with a game time temperature of 67 degrees.
Probable Pitchers
The Mets will send left-hander Rich Hill (6-4, 4.05) to the mound against Kevin Gausman (11-5, 2.29).
Hill has not given the Mets’ pitching staff the boost they were looking for when they acquired him from the Tampa Bay Rays last month in a trade. Since coming to New York, he has no record and a 5.00 ERA in three starts and one relief appearance.
Hill vs Gausman
| 6-4 | Record | 11-5 |
| 4.05 | ERA | 2.29 |
| 4.45 | xERA | 3.27 |
| 1.19 | WHIP | 0.96 |
| 2.40 | SO/W | 3.77 |
Hill pitched in relief for the first time this season in his last outing last Tuesday against the Washington Nationals in New York. Taking over at the resumption of a suspended game, Hill went three innings and was touched for three runs and four hits with four strikeouts and three walks.
Hill’s struggles with the Mets haven’t been for a lack of hustle, though.
Dick Mountain, Bunt attempt (yakety sax remix).
🍆⛰️🎶h/t @evoque pic.twitter.com/RXbXaxb1jH
— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) August 11, 2021
Out of his 22 starts this season, just five have been quality. He has also taken 12 turns in the rotation since his last QS on May 25 while with the Rays.
Hill has a 3-1 record and 3.75 ERA in 10 road starts this season. He is 2-3 with a 4.38 in 12 starts at night.
Though he hasn’t faced them this season, the 41-year-old Hill has been tough on the Giants throughout his long career. He is 8-2 with a 2.23 ERA in 17 starts, including 2-1 with a 3.21 in eight outings at Oracle Park.
Gausman has won back-to-back starts, allowing three runs (two earned) in 11 innings. He pitched five innings to beat the Arizona Diamondbacks at home last Wednesday, being charged with two runs (one earned) on four hits with five strikeouts and four walks.
Kevin Gausman, Dirty Splitters. 😨 pic.twitter.com/oaq3w1qKTf
— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) August 12, 2021
Gausman has 15 quality starts in his 23 outings this season but only one QS in his last five games. At home, Gausman is 5-3 with a 3.21 ERA in 10 starts and has a 5-3 record and a 2.95 ERA in 13 night starts.
Gausman has never beaten the Mets in his career, going 0-3 with a 5.09 ERA in four games (three starts).
Giants Vets Know Dick Mountain
Two longtime Giants, catcher Buster Posey and first baseman Brandon Belt, have had success against Hill.
Posey is 10 for 20 (.500) with a double and a home run. Belt has gone 6 for 15 (.400) with two doubles and a homer.
Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers
| Mets Batters | Batting Average vs Gausman |
|---|---|
| Jeff McNeil | .667 |
| Kevin Pillar | .359 |
| Michael Conforto | .250 |
| James McCann | .200 |
| Brandon Nimmo | .000 |
| Pete Alonso | .000 |
| Brandon Drury | .000 |
| Giants Batters | Batting Average vs Hill |
| Donovan Solano | .667 |
| Buster Posey | .500 |
| Brandon Belt | .400 |
| Brandon Crawford | .333 |
| Wilmer Flores | .333 |
| Kris Bryant | .308 |
| Evan Longoria | .235 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | .200 |
| Curt Casali | .000 |
| Austin Slater | .000 |
Mets outfielder Kevin Pillar has extensive history against Gausman from their days in the American League East. Pillar is 14 for 39 (.359), though with only one extra-base hit (a double) and 10 strikeouts.
A DRIVE INTO DEEP LEFT BY KEVIN PILLAR AND THE METS HAVE A 14-10 LEAD IN THE 11TH!!!! pic.twitter.com/fLI621AO7F
— SNY (@SNYtv) July 20, 2021
Mets right fielder Anthony Conforto is on a 14-game on base streak, hitting .333 (14 for 42) with 10 runs, four doubles, two home runs, five RBIs and seven walks. In his last six games, first baseman Pete Alonso is 8 for 25 (.320) with five runs four doubles, one homer, two RBIs and a walk.
Mets-Giants Pick
The Mets and Giants will be meeting for the first time since July 21, 2019. The Giants won the season series 4-3 that year, including taking three of four in San Francisco. Gausman hasn’t been as dominant lately as he was earlier in the season and Hill has had plenty of success against the Giants. However, the Giants are rolling right now while the Mets are reeling.
Ride the wave.
- The Pick: Giants -190
Sports Writer
John Perrotto has been covering and writing about sports for various outlets for over 40 years. His work has appeared in the likes of USA TODAY, ESPN.com, SI.com, Forbes.com, The Associated Press, Baseball Digest, and more. John is based out of Beaver Falls, PA.
