Mets vs Marlins Odds, Picks, and Probable Pitchers (Sep. 7)

• The Mets are -170 road favorites over the Marlins on Tuesday night
• Carlos Carrasco (0-2, 6.59) will pitch for the Mets against rookie Edward Cabrera (0-1, 5.23)
• Odds and analysis can be found below with a prediction

The New York Mets will try to move back above .500 when they visit the Miami Marlins at 6:40 p.m. ET Tuesday in the opener of a three-game series at loanDepot Park.

The Mets (69-69) have dropped two of their last three games after winning six in a row. They are third in the National League East, four games behind the first-place Atlanta Braves, and 4.5 games out of the second NL wild-card spot.

The Marlins (57-80) were off Monday after winning two of three against the Philadelphia Phillies over the weekend at home.

The Mets are sizable favorites in a game that will be nationally televised by FS1.

Mets vs Marlins Odds

Odds as of September 7th at DraftKings.

New York opened at -155 and the moneyline quickly rose from there. The loanDepot Park roof will likely be closed as the game time temperature is forecast to be 83 degrees with a 30% chance of showers or thunderstorms and a southeast wind at 6 mph.

Probable Pitchers

Two pitchers without a win this season face off as Carlos Carrasco (0-2, 6.59) will start for the Mets against rookie Edward Cabrera (0-1, 5.23).

Carrasco has made seven starts since missing the first four months of the season with a torn right hamstring. He has only one quality start and the Mets are 3-4 when he pitches.

Carrasco vs Cabrera

Carrasco also faced the Marlins in his previous start last Thursday in New York and did not factor in the decisions. In 5.1 innings, he yielded three runs on four hits with five strikeouts and one walk.

The guy they call Cookie finished strong.

Carlos Carrasco has set down the last 12 Marlins he's faced 💪 pic.twitter.com/DeKvelpFmG

— SNY (@SNYtv) September 3, 2021

Carrasco is 0-1 with a 4.82 ERA in four road starts this season and 0-2 with a 5.53 ERA in six nighttime outings. This season, he has faced the Marlins twice and has an 0-0 record with a 4.66 ERA. He is 1-0 with a 2.14 ERA against them in four career starts.

Carrasco’s lone appearance at loanDepot Park came on Aug. 4. He was charged with two runs in 4.1 innings of a no-decision.

Cabrera will be making his third career MLB start since being called up from Triple-A Jacksonville on Aug. 25. He faced the Mets last Tuesday in New York and lost as he allowed three runs on seven hits in four innings while striking out two and walking none.

The 23-year-old cuts an imposing figure.

Edward Cabrera is 6'5" and weighs in at 217 LBS! 👀#JuntosMiami #MLB pic.twitter.com/Wv6doiqNtl

— Bally Sports Florida: Marlins (@BallyMarlins) August 31, 2021

The Marlins have split Cabrera’s two outings after he went 3-4 with a 2.93 ERA in 13 combined starts at three levels of the farm system.

History on Aguilar’s Side

First baseman Jesus Aguilar is the only Marlins’ hitter with much history facing Carrasco, going 3 for 9 with a double.

Mets right fielder Michael Conforto belted a two-run home run off Cabrera last week and was hit by a pitch in his other plate appearance.

Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers

Mets second baseman Javier Baez has been hot in 15 games since coming off the injured list Aug. 22. He is hitting .327 with five doubles, four home runs and seven RBIs.

.@javy23baez was on yesterday. #CarryTheFreight pic.twitter.com/IyVFzgXUiO

— New York Mets (@Mets) September 6, 2021

Center fielder Kevin Pillar is 11 for 23 (.478) in his last eight games with seven runs, two doubles, four homers and 10 RBIs.

Marlins shortstop Miguel Rojas is questionable after leaving Sunday’s loss to the Phillies with left trapezius soreness. Catcher Jorge Alfaro sat out with knee soreness.

Mets vs Marlins Pick

The teams have split 12 games this season with the Marlins going 5-2 in Miami. Mets outfielder/first baseman Dominic Smith is hitting .333 (13 for 39) with one double. Marlins center fielder Lewis Brinson is 7 for 22 (.318) with a double and a home run.

Lewis Brinson. For the lead. Bad Boy! pic.twitter.com/DVQZUU7QAP

— Marlins Radio Network (@MarlinsRadio) September 5, 2021

Carrasco is a proven major league pitcher with 88 career wins. He is beginning to round into form following his lengthy absence and is the play here.

• The Pick: Mets -170