Mets vs Nationals Odds, Picks, and Probable Pitchers (Sep. 4)

• The Mets continue their five-game set with the Nationals on Saturday, September 4th (1:05pm ET)
• New York enters as a -160 road favorite in the first game of a doubleheader
• Read on to find the odds, preview, and prediction

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Following the series opener on Friday evening, the New York Mets (67-67, 26-40 away) and Washington Nationals (55-78, 31-37 home) are back at it on Saturday afternoon with game one of a doubleheader. The first pitch is scheduled for 1: 05 PM EST at Nationals Park in DC. NY has won six of the last seven games against Washington.

Marcus Stroman takes the mound for the Mets while the Nats counter with righty Erick Fedde, who actually got hit around by New York last weekend.

Mets vs Nationals Odds

Odds as of September 3rd at DraftKings.

Probable Pitchers

The Mets couldn’t have a better arm on the mound than Stroman, who has undoubtedly been their ace with Jacob deGrom injured. The 30-year-old might have a 9-12 record, but that’s simply because he’s received limited run support from his offense. Stroman’s 2.85 ERA goes to show just how effective he’s been though. The right-hander also made a team-high 28 starts this season and sits 6th in the majors in ERA. Last time out, Stroman faced the Nationals as well, tossing six frames while allowing just two earned runs.

🗣️ HE'S A GOLD GLOVER FOR A REASON @STR0 pic.twitter.com/8IE8HF8aLT

— SNY (@SNYtv) August 28, 2021

When it comes to pitching on the road, the former Duke standout has enjoyed even more success, posting a 2.76 ERA in 14 outings. However, in 2021 alone, he’s pitched against Washington three times and has a 4.11 ERA. They tend to swing it relatively well off him, with Juan Soto and Yadiel Hernandez batting over .400.

Stroman vs Fedde

Pitching is a weak spot for the Nats this season and Fedde has definitely been one of their more unreliable arms. The 28-year-old has an ERA over five while also compiling a 6-9 record. The Mets tagged Fedde for five earned runs in his last start where he lasted just 5.1 innings. However, the former first-rounder did string together three decent outings before that, surrendering only six runs during that span.

Francisco Lindor just finessed Erick Fedde

https://t.co/9DiCfOpoIo

— Dillard Barnhart (@BarnHasSpoken2) August 29, 2021

While his strikeout numbers have been impressive, Fedde has had his problems with command, allowing 43 walks. But, it’s been improved over the last few weeks, giving up a maximum of three free passes in his last eight appearances. The Mets also have his number in 2021, with the Fedde posting a 4.22 ERA in four outings against them. In fact, he’s never won a start vs. New York in his career.

Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers

The Mets have been in a rhythm lately. After Friday’s extra-innings win, New York has won five in a row after taking two out of three from the Nats last weekend then also sweeping the Miami Marlins earlier this week. However, they’re still 4 games out in the National League East and in the Wild Card race.

On the first pitch he saw… @JRvillar6 | @SIRIUSXM pic.twitter.com/47J9BKh5Q4

— New York Mets (@Mets) September 3, 2021

There’s definitely still work ahead for the Mets if they want to actually make the postseason, but it’s certainly not out of reach at this point. While the offense has been dismal, Pete Alonso, Brandon Nimmo, and Jonathan Villar have all stepped up recently, batting well over .300 in their last 15 games.

The Nationals are far out of contention and currently losers of six straight games while going 2-8 in their last 10 contests. They just got swept by the Philadelphia Phillies in a three-game set and allowed almost eight runs per game. In fact, Washington is just 24-39 against divisional opponents this season and has been atrocious vs. New York, winning one of their last six meetings.

When they don’t pitch to him, he walks.

When they pitch to him, he homers.

When they shift against him, he hits it to the other side and steals 2nd.

Juan Soto is unreal.@JuanSoto25_ // #NATITUDE pic.twitter.com/hOQVIesWIm

— Washington Nationals (@Nationals) September 2, 2021

Mets vs Nationals Prediction

Even though Stroman has struggled against the Nats, I fully expect him to put together a quality start here. New York is also rolling and this entire series means a lot for their playoff hopes. Fedde also pitched poorly at home. With that being said, take the Mets on the moneyline.

Pick: New York Mets moneyline (-160)