Mets’ World Series Odds Take One of the Biggest Drops Ever, Going from 60/1 to Nearly 200/1 in a Week

• The New York Mets (39-48) now have only a 9% chance of making the playoffs according to Fangraphs
• The Washington Nationals (44-41) have a +20 run differential and are currently holding onto a NL Wild Card spot
• Max Scherzer is in prime position to win the Cy Young award for the fourth time in his career
  

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The New York Mets’ World Series odds have taken a big hit. After losing eight of their last 10 games and falling 12 games back in the NL East, they’re now listed among the extreme longshots.

2019 World Series Odds for NL Teams

*Odds taken 07/04/19

When it comes to the Mets, the price point doesn’t matter. My money is staying in my pocket.  Edwin Diaz will surely improve at some point, and Steven Matz may prove useful out of the bullpen, but nothing will shift them from their current position into title consideration. Teams that are nine games under .500 in July aren’t worth of your money. It’s a simple rule.

Seinfeld Night for the ⁦@Mets⁩ on Friday. ⁦Mets fan @JerrySeinfeld⁩ will be at the game. This is the bobblehead that will be given out to the first 25,000 fans. pic.twitter.com/RZhSzu3K8N

— Darren Rovell (@darrenrovell) July 3, 2019

That said, there is a long shot on this list that could be worth a look.  You don’t need me to tell you the Los Angeles Dodgers are the favorites, but check out this case for why you might want to sprinkle some action on the Washington Nationals while the value is still there.

Nationals Still Offering Great Value

Many pundits wrote the Nationals off when Bryce Harper left in free agency but the reality is Washington is still in the thick of the playoff race. In fact, they currently hold the second Wild Card spot in the NL and would face those Phillies in a one game showdown if the post season started today.

Comparing the two teams it’s easy to see that the Nationals are more likely to hold strong. They have a +20 run differential whereas Philadelphia has actually allowed more runs than they’ve scored this season.

Happy birthday, America.#July4th // #OnePursuit pic.twitter.com/GCk91QHI6f

— Washington Nationals (@Nationals) July 4, 2019

There are other contenders for playoff spots, of course, with the Chicago Cubs, Colorado Rockies, and St. Louis Cardinals looming, but the Nationals have a great chance to get in and at +3500 are offering great value.

Scherzer and Rendon Leading the Way in Washington

Max Scherzer has won the Cy Young award three times and is solidly in the conversation to add another to his mantle.  He’s 8-5 with a 2.43 ERA and 1.00 WHIP with 170 strikeouts in only 122.1 IP.  If the Nationals end up playing a Wild Card game, there isn’t a pitcher in baseball you’d rather have to put on the hill than Scherzer.

Max Scherzer gives a sneak peek of the Expos throwbacks the @Nationals will wear on Saturday.

? OR ❄️?#MLB | ? @masnNationals pic.twitter.com/R6EFvqMGqY

— Tim and Sid (@timandsid) July 3, 2019

At the dish, Anthony Rendon has more than filled the shoes of Harper. He leads the team with a .307 AVG, 19 HR and 58 RBI.  He’s an All-Star at the dish and in the field. While one player can’t carry a team offensively in the playoffs, it surely helps to have an elite run producer when the games matter most.

While the Mets would be nothing more than a lottery ticket, there is a legitimate chance Washington makes a run at the World Series thanks to Scherzer, Rendon and their current spot in the standings.

Pick: Washington Nationals (+3500)