Mets vs Yankees Picks and Odds – Aug. 29
By Chris Amberley in MLB Baseball
Updated: March 9, 2021 at 2:02 pm ESTPublished:
- The New York Mets and New York Yankees clash on Saturday afternoon (Aug. 29th, 1:05 pm EST)Â
- Robert Gsellman (0-0, 7.71 ERA) will start for the Mets, while the Yankees will counter with J.A. Happ (1-1, 6.39 ERA)
- Read below for a preview and betting prediction for the game
The New York Yankees losing streak has reached seven games thanks to a walk-off defeat at the hands of the Mets on Friday night.
The old walk-off in the 7th inning of a rain-delayed doubleheader, in the Bronx but we're the home team…Classic 2020. #MetsWin pic.twitter.com/jM7YyWAYFu
— New York Mets (@Mets) August 29, 2020
The loss, which marked the second time in three days the Yankees have been swept in a twin bill, dropped New York to 16-13 and they now sit four games behind Tampa Bay in the AL East. The Bronx Bombers and Mets square off again on Saturday, with the first pitch scheduled for 1:05 pm EST.
Mets vs Yankees Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Runline | Total at FanDuel |
|---|---|---|---|
| New York Mets | +100 | +1.5 (-190) | Over 10 (-118) |
| New York Yankees | -114 | -1.5 (+160) | Under 10 (-104) |
Odds taken Aug. 29th.
The Yanks opened up as -114 favorite in the Mets vs Yankees odds, in a game that features a total of 10. The Mets have won three straight, and six of their past eight, and will have another favorable matchup against a struggling J.A. Happ.
Happ-Less in 2020
Happ has surrendered nine runs in 12.2 innings this season, and has already been taken deep four times. His fastball velocity is the lowest it’s been since 2012, and he’s yet to record a quality start this season.
37 year old J.A. Happ and his 6 ERA was is acting like he’s a Cy Young Contender right now. J.A., you’ve been bad for 2 years! That’s why they’re skipping you! https://t.co/naCTCu0Ppk
— Tom Smith (@Tom_Smith717) August 25, 2020
His spot in the rotation has been skipped multiple times already, even though the rest of the Yankee starters, not named Gerrit Cole, have been a huge disappointment. The scary thing for Yankees fans is that the numbers suggest Happ is lucky his stats are only as bad as they are. He has a 7.11 BB/9 rate and opposing hitters are hitting only .189 on balls in play. For context, Happ’s career low BABIP is .262, which suggests negative regression is right around the corner.
Mets Career Stats vs Happ
| Player | AB | H | HR | RBI | K | AVG. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nimmo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 |
| Pete Alonso | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 |
| Robinson Cano | 31 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 5 | .290 |
| Dominic Smith | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 |
| Michael Conforto | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 |
| J.D. Davis | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 |
| Amed Rosario | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 |
| Jeff McNeil | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 |
| Wilson Ramos | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .333 |
The Mets meanwhile, continued their power surge on Friday belting four more home runs. They’ve now gone deep 13 times in their last six victories, which spells trouble for Happ and his 2.84 HR/9 rate.
Yanks Look to Rough Up the Reliever
The Mets will counter with Robert Gsellman, which basically means it will be a bullpen game. Gsellman, has been primarily a reliever over the past three seasons, and hasn’t lasted more than 2 innings in either of his two starts this season. The right-hander has struggled in 2020, posting a 7.71 ERA and 2.14 WHIP, while allowing opposing batters to hit .364 and slug .591 against him.
all games should be seven innings so the mets bullpen has less of a chance of blowing it
— steph (@whutyearisit) August 29, 2020
The Mets bullpen has been shaky so far this season, but were incredible against the Yankees in Friday’s doubleheader. They held the Bronx Bombers scoreless in 7 innings over the two games, surrendering just three hits.
Yankees Career Stats vs Gsellman
| Player | AB | H | HR | RBI | K | AVG. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Hicks | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 |
| Luke Voit | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 |
| Miguel Andujar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 |
| Gio Urshela | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 |
| Mike Tauchman | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 |
| Brett Gardner | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 |
| Gary Sanchez | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 |
| Clint Frazier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 |
| Tyler Wade | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 |
Yankees Are a Mess
The Yankees offense is ice cold, which is understandable considering they’re missing DJ LeMahieu, Gleybar Torres, Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton. They’ve averaged just 2.7 runs per game during their losing streak and while LeMahieu is scheduled to return on Sunday, Saturday’s offensive outlook appears bleak.
How wild was that? Full disclosure..For a split second I didn’t even realize the Mets won the game! Watching them pour out of the dugout jolted me back to reality. Road uniforms, Yankee Stadium, seventh inning, watching on TV. What a goofy season, huh?
— Howie Rose (@HowieRose) August 29, 2020
Also working against the Yanks is the fact that Happ is a mess, and the Mets are finally starting to hit. It’s hard to imagine, but nobody should be surprised when the losing streak is extended to eight.
Pick: New York Mets moneyline (+100)
Sports Writer
As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.
