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Padres vs Phillies Game 4 NLCS Predictions & Odds

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in MLB Baseball

Oct 22, 2022 · 5:15 AM PDT

Padres vs Phillies Game 4 NLCS Predictions & Odds
Oct 21, 2022; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; Philadelphia Phillies left fielder Kyle Schwarber (12) celebrates in the dugout after hitting a home run during the first inning during game three of the NLCS for the 2022 MLB Playoffs against the San Diego Padres at Citizens Bank Park. Mandatory Credit: Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports
  • Both the San Diego Padres and Philadelphia Phillies are given -110 odds to win in Game 4 of the NLCS on Saturday, October 22
  • The Phillies are leading this best-of-seven series 2-1
  • See all the Padres vs Phillies Game 4 NLCS Predictions & Odds in the story below

Neither the San Diego Padres (6-4, 3-3 away) or Philadelphia Phillies (7-2, 3-0 home) have lost successive games so far in the MLB postseason. This trend will get another test on Saturday afternoon and this time, it’s the Padres who must come up with the answers.

Philadelphia took Game 3 of the NLCS by a 4-2 count after dropping the verdict in Game 2. It will San Diego’s turn to avoid double-dipping in the loss column as the two teams get back at it in Game 4.

Oddsmakers are at a loss to pick a winner in this game. Both the Phillies and the Padres are being assigned -110 odds.

Padres vs Phillies Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
San Diego Padres -110 +1.5 (-210) O 8.5 (-110)
Philadelphia Phillies -110 -1.5 (+175) U 8.5 (-110)

Odds as of October 22 at Caesars Sportsbook. Get a Caesars Sportsbook bonus code.

At moneyline odds of -110, a bet on either team would have an implied probability of victory of 52.38% in the MLB betting line. A successful $10 wager on Philadelphia or San Diego would create a payout of $19.10.

 

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First pitch at Citizen Bank Park goes at 7:45pm ET on Saturday, October 22. The weather forecast is calling for cloudy skies with 2 mph wind and a temperature of 67 degrees. The Phillies are given -220 odds to take this set and advance in the MLB playoff bracket. The Phillies winning the series in five games is the +240 chalk in a series correct score wager.

In the World Series odds, Philadelphia is set as the +250 second betting choice in this betting line. San Diego is third at +550.

San Diego vs Philadelphia Probable Pitchers

In the MLB lineups, right-hander Mike Clevinger will be seeking a better fate that his performance in Game 1 of the NLDS against the Los Angeles Dodgers. Taking the loss in a 5-3 verdict, Clevinger allowed four earned runs in 2.2 innings. He’s showing a 13.50 ERA and 3.00 WHIP.

Over nine MLB postseason appearances, including three starts, Clevinger is 0-1 with a 5.74 ERA. This season he is 4-4 with a 5.46 ERA in 14 road appearances.

During the regular season, Clevinger faced the Phillies at Citizens Bank Park on May 17. Working five innings of one-hit shutout ball, he struck out five and got the win in a 3-0 victory.

Clevinger vs Falter Stats

Mike Clevinger
VS
Bailey Falter
7-7 Record 6-4
4.33 ERA 3.86
4.65 xERA 4.62
1.20 WHIP 1.21
6.33 SO/W Ratio 4.35

Second-year Phillies left-hander Bailey Falter will be making his MLB postseason debut as Philadelphia’s Game 4 starter. It’ll be his first trip to the mound since Oct. 5, when he worked one scoreless inning against the Houston Astros, allowing two hits.

Falter is 6-1 over his last seven decisions after starting the season 0-3. He’s worked at least five innings in eight of his last 11 starts.

The Philadelphia southpaw shows a 3-3 record and 5.49 ERA in 10 home appearances this season. Falter will be facing the Padres for the first time during his MLB career. Among NL pitchers, he rates in the bottom 6% in Max EV (115.9).

Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers

Phillies Batters Batting Average vs Clevinger Padres Batters Batting Average vs Falter
Alec Bohm .500 Josh Bell .800
Nick Castellanos .130 Jake Cronenworth 1.000
Kyle Schwarber .000 Trent Grisham .1000
Jean Segura .200 Juan Soto .375

Philadelphia’s Kyle Schwarber has slugged two homers in three games of this series. However, he’s 0-for-3 when facing Clevinger. Alec Bohm is 1-for-2 (.500) against Clevinger. Jean Segura and Nick Castellanos have each driven in a run.

San Diego’s Josh Bell absolutely crushes it at the plate against Falter. He’s 4-for-5 (.800) with two homers and four RBI. Juan Soto is 3-for-8) (.375) with three RBI. Both Jake Cronenworth and Trent Grisham are 1-for-1 (1.000).

Padres vs Phillies Prediction

The Phillies are hoping to get three innings out of Falter to start Game 4. Then they’ll hand the ball to veterans Noah Syndergaard of Kyle Gibson.

Certainly, San Diego’s struggles against left-handers this season is playing a role in the decision to go with Falter. Padres hitters rated 18th in MLB against lefties this season, batting just .245. San Diego was 13th in OPS (.705) when facing left-handers.

Pick: Philadelphia Phillies ML (-110)

 

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