Padres World Series Odds Shorten to +800 From +2000 After Soto Trade
By Robert Duff in MLB Baseball
Published:
- The San Diego Padres made their second major acquisition in as many days, adding outfielder Juan Soto from the Washington Nationals
- On Monday, the Padres picked up closer Josh Hader from the Milwaukee Brewers
- San Diego’s World Series odds have shortened from +2000 to +800
The San Diego Padres are making moves on the diamond and in the World Series futures.
Tuesday, San Diego added the most sought-after player at the MLB trade deadline. They acquired outfielder and two-time All-Star Juan Soto from the Washington Nationals.
It’s costing them plenty. The price for Soto supposedly includes infielder CJ Abrams, highly-touted rookie pitcher MacKenzie Gore, outfielders Robert Hassell III and James Wood, right–handed pitcher Jarlin Susana, and first baseman Eric Hosmer.
Shortly after the deal was announced, the World Series odds on the Padres shortened from +2000 to +800. Â San Diego went from the #8 favorite to win the Fall Classic to #5.
2022 World Series Odds
| Team | Odds |
|---|---|
| New York Yankees | +360 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers | +380 |
| Houston Astros | +430 |
| New York Mets | +700 |
| San Diego Padres | +800 |
| Atlanta Braves | +1100 |
| Toronto Blue Jays | +1500 |
| Milwaukee Brewers | +3500 |
| Seattle Mariners | +4000 |
| Chicago White Sox | +4000 |
| St Louis Cardinals | +4000 |
| Philadelphia Phillies | +5000 |
| Tampa Bay Rays | +5000 |
| Minnesota Twins | +5000 |
Odds as of August 2 at Caesars Sportsbook. See the available Caesars Sportsbook promo code.
San Diego has never won the World Series. The Padres were swept in the 1998 World Series by the New York Yankees and fell to the Detroit Tigers in the 1984 World Series in five games.
At odds of +800, the Padres are offering an implied probability of victory of 11.11%. A successful $10 wager on San Diego winning the World Series would return a payout of $90.00.
The Padres have improved to +475 in the MLB pennant odds.
Soto Most Sought After Player
Of all the players being mentioned leading up to the August 2 MLB trade deadline, Soto was seen as the biggest difference maker in the bunch. The winner of the Home Run Derby at the MLB All-Star Game, Soto, 23, is batting .246 with 21 home runs and 46 RBI. Over his career, Soto is slashing 291/.427/.538 Â with a 160 OPS+ and 119 home runs. He won a World Series with the Nationals in 2019.
Soto recently rejected a 15-year, $440-million contract offer from the Nationals. That was when the decision was reached to place him on the trading block. He won’t become a free agent until 2024, giving the Padres at least two years with Soto in their lineup after this season.
Juan Soto will be the 1st player in MLB history, age 23 or younger, to change teams midseason the year he was an All-Star.
Padres will get a WS champion, MVP runner-up, 2-time Silver Slugger, HR Derby champion and also the youngest player in NL history to win a batting title. pic.twitter.com/LM4Z95UJGE
— ESPN Stats & Info (@ESPNStatsInfo) August 2, 2022
The Padres are also getting first baseman Josh Bell from Washington as part of the deal. In 103 games this season Bell is showing a slash line of .301/.384/.493  with a 152 OPS+ and 14 home runs. He walks (49) almost as often as he strikes out (61). Bell is an improvement at first base over Hosmer.
Hosmer’s no trade clause vetoes a move to the Nationals. However, published reports were indicating that even without Hosmer, the two sides will still find a way to make the deal work.
Padres Looking to Close Deal
On Monday, the Padres were adding closer Josh Hader from the Milwaukee Brewers. San Diego was sitting with the #2 closer in terms of saves in Taylor Rogers. But they opted to deal him to Milwaukee in order to get Hader, the MLB save leader with 29.
With Josh Hader & Juan Soto, the Padres would be the 8th team to acquire 2 players midseason, both who were All-Stars that season, joining:
2021 LAD
2016 TEX
2015 TOR
2014 OAK
2003 NYY
1998 LAD
1937 WSN (Senators)— Sarah Langs (@SlangsOnSports) August 2, 2022
The difference is that Rogers has also blown seven saves this season, compared to two blown saves for Hader.
Are Padres Worth a World Series Wager?
San Diego is clearly going for it. The Padres show a starting rotation featuring Yu Darvish, Joe Musgrove, Mike Clevinger, Sean Manaea and Blake Snell.
Shortstop Fernando Tatis Jr, last season’s National League leader with 42 homers, will soon begin a rehab assignment. He’s been out all season with a broken wrist. Third baseman Manny Machado is a six-time all-star.
BREAKING: Juan Soto is going to the Padres, per @JeffPassan 😳 @BRWalkoff
There's a new big three in San Diego. pic.twitter.com/q9sGEXq2DR
— Bleacher Report (@BleacherReport) August 2, 2022
Even with the additions of Soto and Hader, it would be wrong to project the Padres as the team to beat in the World Series hunt. At the same time, their chances to win it all just grew significantly stronger.
At +800, San Diego is worth a small wager but don’t bet the farm on the Padres.
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Sports Writer
An industry veteran, Bob literally taught the course on the history of sports at Elder College. He has worked as a Sports Columnist for Postmedia, appeared as a guest on several radio stations, was the Vice President of the Society For International Hockey Research in Ontario, and written 25 books.
