Phillies vs Marlins Odds & Picks (July 15)

By John Perrotto in MLB Baseball
Published:

- The Marlins are -165 home favorites over the Phillies on Friday night
- Kyle Gibson (4-3, 4.53) will start for Philadelphia against Sandy Alcantara (9-3, 1.73)
- A look at the Phillies vs Marlins odds can be found below with a pick
Two National League East rivals begin a three-game series when the Philadelphia Phillies visit the Miami Marlins at 6:40 p.m. ET Friday at loanDepot Park.
The Phillies (46-43, 22-22 road) are on a four-game losing streak. They were off Thursday after being swept in a two-game series by the Blue Jays in Toronto, including losing 8-2 on Wednesday.
The Marlins (43-45, 22-19 home) beat the Pittsburgh Pirates 3-2 in 11 innings Thursday at home to salvage a split of a four-game series. The Marlins have won 10 of their last 15 games.
Phillies vs Marlins Odds
Team | Moneyline | Runline | Total |
---|---|---|---|
Philadelphia Phillies | +140 | +1.5 (-170) | Over 7 (-105) |
Miami Marlins | -165 | -1.5 (+145) | Under 7 (-115) |
Odds as of July 14th at Caesars Sportsbook.
The Marlins are -165 favorites and have a 62.26% implied win probability. Philadelphia has +3500 World Series odds and Miami’s odds are +18000.
The loanDepot Park roof will likely be closed as there is a 50% chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Philadelphia vs Miami Probable Pitchers
Kyle Gibson (4-3, 4.53) is scheduled to pitch for the Phillies against Sandy Alcantara (9-3, 1.73). Gibson will be working on five days of rest and Alcantara on four. Alcantara is the favorite in the National League Cy Young Award odds at -105.
Gibson vs Alcantara
4-3 | Record | 9-3 |
4.53 | ERA | 1.73 |
4.28 | xERA | 2.54 |
1.23 | WHIP | 0.91 |
3.00 | SO/W | 3.58 |
Gibson is winless in his last five starts, notching an 0-1 record and 4.82 ERA.
However, he pitched seven scoreless innings against the Cardinals last Saturday in a no-decision at St. Louis. He surrendered just two hits and did not walk a batter while striking out five.
Kyle Gibson, Nasty 91mph Cutter. ✂️ pic.twitter.com/DOkL6GO5oj
— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) July 9, 2022
The Marlins have given Gibson fits as he is 0-2 against them in three career starts with a 6.50 ERA. He has lost both starts at loanDepot Park while compiling a 10.80 ERA.
Gibson is winless in eight road starts this season, going 0-2 with a 5.22 ERA. He has a 2-2 record at night and 4.97 ERA in eight starts. The Phillies have gone 10-8 when he pitches.
Alcantara is on quite a roll with a 7-1 record and 1.24 ERA in his last 12 starts.
Last Sunday, Alcantara pitched seven scoreless innings against the Mets in New York but did not factor in the decision. He allowed six hits, struck out four and walked one.
In 12 career starts against the Phillies, Alcantara has a 6-4 record and 3.03 ERA.
https://twitter.com/MarlinStatMuse/status/1545644785851109377h
Alcantara is 5-2 with a 1.59 ERA in nine starts at home this season and 6-2 with a 1.56 in 11 starts at night. The Marlins have won 12 of his 18 starts.
Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers
Phillies Batters | Batting Average vs Sandy Alcantara |
---|---|
Nick Castellanos | .333 |
Mickey Moniak | .333 |
Kyle Schwarber | .308 |
J.T. Realmuto | .300 |
Alec Bohm | .286 |
Yairo Munoz | .250 |
Didi Gregorius | .231 |
Rhys Hoskins | .207 |
Odubel Herrera | .200 |
Matt Vierling | .000 |
Bryson Stott | .000 |
Marlins Batters | Batting Average vs Kyle Gibson |
Jesus Sanchez | .625 |
Miguel Rojas | .571 |
Jon Berti | .500 |
Garrett Cooper | .500 |
Joey Wendle | .353 |
Nick Fortes | .333 |
Jesus Aguilar | .286 |
Billy Hamilton | .200 |
Avisail Garcia | .156 |
Bryan De La Cruz | .000 |
Jacob Stallings | .000 |
Phillies slugger Kyle Schwarber is 4 for 13 (.308) with two doubles against Alcantara but rookie Bryson Stott is 0-for-6.
Phillies vs Marlins Betting Outlook
Brian Anderson’s two-run triple in the bottom of the 11th inning won it for the Marlins over the Pirates on Thursday.
Joey Wendle had two hits for Miami.
Andy got the treasure pic.twitter.com/5FlrQeEghW
— Miami Marlins (@Marlins) July 14, 2022
Both Marlins middle infielders left the game early. Second baseman Jon Berti was removed in the second inning with a mild groin struck and shortstop Miguel Rojas exited in the ninth after being struck in the head while tagging out the Pirates’ Oneil Cruz.
Berti and Rojas are considered questionable for Friday.
Marlins designated hitter Garrett Cooper did not start for a second straight game because of a bruised left knee and center fielder Jesus Sanchez was a late scratch because of a personal reason. Both entered the game in the late innings.
Stott accounted for all the Phillies’ scoring with a two-run homer Wednesday in their loss to the Blue Jays. That was just one of two hits for Philadelphia.
Catcher J.T. Realmuto and third baseman Alec Bohm will return to the active roster Friday. Both were placed on the restricted list for the two-game series in Toronto as they were unable to enter Canada because of their vaccination status.
“I’m not going to let Canada tell me what I do or don’t put in my body.” – JT Realmuto#RingTheBell | #BCIB pic.twitter.com/dDzsPWI4an
— The Liberty Line (@LibertyLinePHL) July 12, 2022
The Marlins have won four of seven games from the Phillies this season and the teams split a four-game series in April at loanDepot Park.
Rojas has hit .375 (9 for 24) for the Marlins with two doubles, one triple and one home run while Sanchez is 9 for 26 (.346) with one double and two triples. The Phillies Bohm is 8 for 15 (.533) with a double and Rhys Hoskins is 11 for 26 (.423) with four doubles, a triple and two homers.
Miami is 31-24 against Philadelphia since the start of the 2019 season.
PHI vs MIA Last 10 Games
Date | Home Team | Away Team | Score |
---|---|---|---|
6/15/22 | Phillies | Marlins | PHI, 3-1 |
6/14/22 | Phillies | Marlins | MIA, 11-9 |
6/13/22 | Phillies | Marlins | PHI, 3-2 |
4/17/22 | Marlins | Phillies | MIA, 11-3 |
4/16/22 | Marlins | Phillies | PHI, 10-3 |
4/15/22 | Marlins | Phillies | MIA, 7-1 |
4/14/22 | Marlins | Phillies | MIA, 4-3 |
10/3/21 | Marlins | Phillies | MIA, 5-4 |
10/2/21 | Marlins | Phillies | MIA, 3-1 |
10/1/21 | Marlins | Phillies | PHI, 5-0 |
Phillies vs Marlins Prediction
Alcantara is the NL Cy Young favorite for a reason and it’s hard to bet him against, even at a high price.
Pick: Marlins ML (-165)
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Sports Writer
John Perrotto has been covering and writing about sports for various outlets for over 40 years. His work has appeared in the likes of USA TODAY, ESPN.com, SI.com, Forbes.com, The Associated Press, Baseball Digest, and more. John is based out of Beaver Falls, PA.