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MLB Player Props and Picks for Opening Day 2023

Chris Amberley

by Chris Amberley in MLB Baseball

Updated Mar 29, 2023 · 9:15 PM PDT

Aaron Judge smiling at the plate
Mar 21, 2023; Tampa, Florida, USA; New York Yankees center fielder Aaron Judge (99) smiles before striking out against the Detroit Tigers during the first inning at George M. Steinbrenner Field. Mandatory Credit: Dave Nelson-USA TODAY Sports
  • 15 games are on the MLB Opening Day schedule on Thursday (March 30)
  • There are hundreds of player props available to bet on
  • See the main MLB player props for Opening Day, plus a pair of wagers to target

Baseball is back with a jam packed 15-game Opening Day slate for us to sweat on Thursday. The action gets underway early at 1:05 pm ET with a pair of games, while 10 of the 15 contests are matinee affairs.

There’s no shortage of options for betting Opening Day, and a bevy of great bonus offers to take advantage of. My favorite market to target for any sport is player props, and online sportsbooks didn’t hold anything back on their Opening Day menu.

MLB Player Props for Opening Day

Braves vs Nationals 1+ Home Run  Hits RBIs Pitcher Strikeouts
Austin Riley +425 0.5 (-260o/+190u) 0.5 (+155o/-205u) N/A
Corey Dickerson +1100 0.5 (-175o/+130u)  0.5 (+275o/-400u) N/A
Ildemaro Vargas +1100 0.5 (-160o/+120u)  0.5 (+290o/-425u) N/A
Jeimer Candelario +800 0.5 (-175o/+130u)  0.5 (+235o/-340u) N/A
Joey Meneses +650 0.5 (-200o/+145u)  0.5 (+250o/-360u) N/A
Keibert Ruiz +1100 0.5 (-180o/+135)  0.5 (+245o/-350u) N/A
Lane Thomas +900 0.5 (-190o/+140u)  0.5 (+275o/-400u) N/A
Marcell Ozuna +550 0.5 (-190o/+145u)  0.5 (+195o/-270u) N/A
Matt Olson +450 0.5 (-215o/+160u)  0.5 (+150o/-200u) N/A
Michael Harris +850 0.5 (-200o/+150u)  0.5 (+215o/-310u) N/A
Orlando Arcia +850 0.5 (-155o/+115u)  0.5 (+255o/-370u) N/A
Ozzie Albies +500 1.5 (+180o/-245u)  0.5 (+150o/-205u) N/A
Ronald Acuna Jr. +475 0.5 (-250o/+185u)  0.5 (+190o/-265u) N/A
Sean Murphy +600 0.5 (-205o/+155u)  0.5 (+190o/-265u) N/A
Travis d’Arnaud +700 0.5 (-220o/+160u)  0.5 (+190o/-265u) N/A
Victor Robles +1200 0.5 (-115o/-115u)  0.5 (+380o/-600u) N/A
Max Fried N/A N/A N/A 5.5 (+115o/-150u)
Patrick Corbin N/A N/A N/A 3.5 (-170o/+125u)
Giants vs Yankees 1+ Home Run  Hits RBIs Pitcher Strikeouts
Aaron Hicks +1100 0.5 (-130o/+100u) 0.5 (+280o/-425u) N/A
Aaron Judge +340 0.5 (-205o/+155u)  0.5 (+180o/-250u) N/A
Anthony Rizzo +550 0.5 (-185o/+140u)  0.5 (+190o/-260u) N/A
Anthony Volpe +1100 0.5 (-150o/+110u)  0.5 (+280o/-425u) N/A
Brandon Crawford +800 0.5 (-115o/-115u)  0.5 (+310o/-475u) N/A
David Villar +850 0.5 (+100o/-135u)  0.5 (+340o/-550u) N/A
DJ LeMahieu OFF 0.5 (-260o/+190u)  0.5 (+310o/-475u) N/A
Giancarlo Stanton +550 0.5 (-175o/+130u)  0.5 (+180o/-250u) N/A
Gleyber Torres +800 0.5 (-190o/+145)  0.5 (+215o/-310u) N/A
Joc Pederson +550 0.5 (-115o/-115u)  0.5 (+245o/-360u) N/A
Joey Bart +1000 0.5 (+110o/-145u)  0.5 (+390o/-650u) N/A
Jose Trevino +1100 0.5 (-150o/+115u)  0.5 (+255o/-370u) N/A
Josh Donaldson +750 0.5 (-145o/+110u)  0.5 (+250o/-360u) N/A
LaMonte Wade Jr. +800 0.5 (-105o/-125u)  0.5 (+380o/-600u) N/A
Michael Conforto +650 0.5 (-115/-115u)  0.5 (+270o/-390u) N/A
Mike Yastrzemski +700 0.5 (+105o/-140u)  0.5 (+310o/-475u) N/A
Logan Webb N/A N/A N/A 5.5 (+120o/-160u)
Gerrit Cole N/A N/A N/A 7.5 (-160o/+120u)
Orioles vs Red Sox 1+ Home Run  Hits RBIs Pitcher Strikeouts
Adam Duvall +475 0.5 (-175o/+130u) 0.5 (+170o/-230u) N/A
Adley Rutschman +700 0.5 (-235o/+170u)  0.5 (+200o/-275u) N/A
Alex Verdugo +1100 0.5 (-270o/+195u)  0.5 (+260o/-380u) N/A
Anthony Santander +400 0.5 (-205o/+150u)  0.5 (+140o/-190u) N/A
Austin Hays +900 0.5 (-210o/+155u)  0.5 (+235o/-340u) N/A
Cedric Mullins +750 0.5 (-245o/+180u)  0.5 (+225o/-320u) N/A
Christian Arroyo +900 0.5 (-235/+175u)  0.5 (+220o/-310u) N/A
Gunnar Henderson +650 0.5 (-185o/+140u)  0.5 (+205o/-290u) N/A
Jorge Mateo +900 0.5 (-155/+115u)  0.5 (+265o/-390u) N/A
Justin Turner +700 0.5 (-245o/+180u)  0.5 (+175o/-235u) N/A
Kike Hernandez +750 0.5 (-185o/+140u)  0.5 (+210o/-295u) N/A
Kyle Stowers +650 0.5 (-155o/+120u)  0.5 (+230o/-320u) N/A
Rafael Devers +500 1.5 (+200o/-280u)  0.5 (+170o/-235u) N/A
Ryan Mountcastle +550 0.5 (-225o/+165u)  0.5 (+185o/-310u) N/A
Triston Casas +750 0.5 (-145o/+110u)  0.5 (+155o/-255u) N/A
Corey Kluber N/A N/A N/A 4.5 (-115o/-125u)
Kyle Gibson N/A N/A N/A 3.5 (-145o/+110u)
Brewers vs Cubs 1+ Home Run  Hits RBIs Pitcher Strikeouts
Brian Anderson +900 0.5 (-160o/+120u) 0.5 (+245o/-350u) N/AA
Brice Turang +1200 0.5 (-150o/+110u)  0.5 (+265o/-390u) N/A
Christian Yelich +800 0.5 (-225o/+165u)  0.5 (+250o/-360u) N/A
Cody Bellinger +600 0.5 (-135o/+100u)  0.5 (+225o/-320u) N/A
Dansby Swanson +650 0.5 (-165o/+125u)  0.5 (+255o/-370u) N/A
Edwin Rios +950 0.5 (+115o/-150u)  0.5 (+360o/-575u) N/A
Eric Hosmer +1000 0.5 (-155o/+115u)  0.5 (+285o/-425u) N/A
Garrett Mitchell +1000 0.5 (-170o/+125u)  0.5 (+285o/-425u) N/A
Ian Happ +800 0.5 (-145o/+110u)  0.5 (+245o/-360u) N/A
Jesse Winker +650 0.5 (-195o/+145u)  0.5 (+210o/-290u) N/A
Luis Urias +800 0.5 (-150o/+110u)  0.5 (+235o/-340u) N/A
Nico Hoerner +1100 0.5 (-225o/+180u)  0.5 (+320o/-500u) N/A
Patrick Wisdom +600 0.5 (+120o/-155u)  0.5 (+290o/-425u) N/A
Rowdy Tellez +650 0.5 (-175o/+130u)  0.5 (+195o/-270u) N/A
Trey Mancini +800 0.5 (-130o/-105u)  0.5 (+275o/-400u) N/A
Tucker Barnhart OFF 0.5 (+105o/-140u)  0.5 (+450o/-750u) N/A
William Contreras +700 0.5 (-160o/+120u) 0.5 (+240o/-350u) N/A
Corbin Burnes N/A N/A N/A 6.5 (-160o/+120u)
Marcus Stroman N/A N/A N/A 4.5 (-145o/+110u)

Reigning champ and current second-favorite in the AL MVP odds, Aaron Judge has the shortest odds to hit a home run at +340, after belting 62 dingers last season. His Yankee teammate Gerrit Cole has the highest strikeout prop at 7.5, while Washington starter Patrick Corbin has the lowest strikeout over/under at 3.5.

 

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Odds as of March 29 at DraftKings Sportsbook

Pick #1: Patrick Corbin Under 3.5 Strikeouts

Corbin is coming off the worst statistical season of his career. He posted a 6-19 record in 2022, recording a personal worst 6.31 ERA and 1.70 WHIP.

His K/9 rate has been trending down for several seasons now, and last year he averaged only 7.5 strikeouts per 9 innings.

His matchup is incredibly challenging on Opening Day, as the 2021 champion Braves are in town. Atlanta currently boasts the third shortest World Series odds, and has a lineup full of hitters that have smacked around Corbin in the past.

Braves batters own a lifetime .333 average against Corbin, with a .954 OPS. He faced Atlanta four times last season, failing to make it out of the second inning on two occasions, and finishing with fewer than four strikeouts a pair of times as well.

Washington is a sizeable underdog to the Braves in the MLB odds, and at +125 odds, fading Corbin’s K total is an easy choice on Thursday.

Pick: Patrick Corbin Under 3.5 Strikeouts (+125) 

Pick #2: Aaron Judge Over 0.5 RBI

Back to Judge now, who’s the second target on our Opening Day MLB player props card. Like Corbin, this is a plus money selection, as Judge boasts +180 odds to drive a runner in.

Sure, the matchup with Giants starter Logan Webb is a challenging one, but this line is too good to pass up. Judge led the AL in home runs, RBI and OPS last season. He drove in 131 runs, including 96 against right handed pitching.

Aaron Judge 2022 Stats With Runners in Scoring Position

At-Bats HR RBI AVG OPS
104 11 68 .346 1.241

The Yankees lineup is full of stars, and chances are good Judge will see one or more plate appearances with runners in scoring position. Judge was incredibly clutch in those situations last season, and there’s no reason to think things will change now. He batted .346 with runners on second and/or third in 2022, with 11 home runs, 68 RBI and a 1.241 OPS.

Pick: Aaron Judge Over 0.5 RBI (+180)

 

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