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Red Sox vs Yankees Odds, Lines & Picks (Sep. 23)

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in MLB Baseball

Sep 22, 2022 · 9:03 PM PDT

Red Sox vs Yankees odds
Sep 22, 2022; Bronx, New York, USA; New York Yankees pinch runner Tim Locastro (33) steals second base against Boston Red Sox shortstop Xander Bogaerts (2) during the eighth inning at Yankee Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports
  • The New York is a -225 home favorite over Boston in the Red Sox vs Yankees odds for Friday, September 23
  • The Yankees were 10-2 straight up in the last 12 home games against Boston
  • The Red Sox have lost the last four series played at Yankee Stadium

When they were drawing up the 2022 MLB schedule, certainly the thinking was that a late-September series between the New York Yankees (91-58, 53-22 home) and Boston Red Sox (72-77, 35-40 away) would hold serious playoff implications.

They were half right.

The Yankees are solidly entrenched atop the American League East. Meanwhile, the Red Sox are just as firmly entrenched in the AL East basement.

It’s not surprising then that the Yankees are -255 home favorites for this game. New York is 52-22 straight up as a home favorite this season.

Red Sox vs Reds Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
Boston Red Sox +185 +1.5 (-120) O 8 (+100)
New York Yankees -225 -1.5 (+100) U 8 (-120)

Odds as of September 22 at Caesars Sportsbook. Get Caesars Sportsbook bonus code.

At moneyline odds of -225, the Yankees have an implied probability of victory of 69.23% in the MLB betting line. A successful $10 wager on New York would create a payout of $14.40.

 

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First pitch at Yankee Stadium goes at 7:05 pm ET on Friday, September 23. The weather forecast is calling for clear skies with 18 mph wind and a temperature of 62 degrees.

MLB betting trends are showing that 58% of the public betting splits on the moneyline are backing the Red Sox. Boston is also drawing 97% of runline bets. There’s also 58% of public money going with the over in the total.

In the MLB pennant odds, the Yankees are the +190 second betting choice to win the AL flag. New York is also the third pick in the World Series odds at +500.

Boston vs New York Probable Pitchers

In Friday’s MLB lineups, the Red Sox give the ball to left-hander Rich Hill, who is just 1-2 in four September starts. However, he’s 3-2 over his past five decisions.

Hill has never won or lost more than two decisions in a row throughout the season. He’s allowed 13 earned runs over his past 17.2 innings of work.

He’ll be facing the Yankees for the first time this season. Hill is 4-2 with a 3.52 ERA in 14 career appearances against New York. The former Bronx Bomber is 2-2 with a 2.63 ERA in 18 career trips to the mound at Yankee Stadium.

Hill vs Cole Stats

Rich Hill
VS
Gerrit Cole
7-7 Record 12-7
4.70 ERA 3.41
4.30 xERA 3.23
1.34 WHIP 1.03
2.73 SO/W Ratio 3.77

It hasn’t been a vintage season for Yankees right-hander Gerrit Hill. Normally a leading contender in the AL Cy Young odds, this season, Cole isn’t even registering in this betting market.

He does rank among the top 7% of MLB hurlers in strikeout percentage (32.6). Cole leads the AL in strikeouts (236), strikeouts per nine innings (11.6) and games started (30). But he’s also #1 in home runs allowed (29).

An American League choice to the MLB All-Star Game, Cole is 2-0 in September. However, he’s served up six homers over his past three starts.

He’s 2-0 with a 5.48 ERA in four starts against Boston this season. Overall, he’s 7-3 with a 4.28 ERA in 14 times facing the Red Sox.

Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers

Yankees Batters Batting Average vs Hill Red Sox Batters Batting Average vs Cole
Aaron Hicks .500 Abraham Almonte 1.000
Kyle Higashioka .500 Triston Casas 1.000
Aaron Judge .500 Yu Chang .333
Isiah Kiner-Falefa .400 Enrique Hernandez .357
Anthony Rizzo .250 Tommy Pham .375

You can’t ask for a much better start to your career facing Cole than what Triston Casas achieved. He’s 1-for-1 (1.000) and that one hit was a two-run homer. Abraham Almonte is also 1-for-1 (1.000). Enrique Hernandez is 5-for-14 (3.57) with a solo homer. Tommy Pham is 9-for-24 (.375) with a homer and four RBI. Rafael Devers has homered six times off of Cole and driven in 15 runs. JD Martinez and Xander Bogaerts each have two homers.

For the Yankees, Aaron Hicks is 2-for-4 (.500) with a homer and three RBI when facing Hill. Aaron Judge (2-for-4) and Kyle Higashioka (1-for-2) are also batting .500. Isiah Kiner-Falefa is 2-for-5 (.400).

Red Sox vs Yankees Prediction

The Yankees walked off the Red Sox 5-4 in 10 innings on Thursday to clinch a spot in the AL playoffs.

New York has now won three straight, four of five and six of eight from Boston. They are 10-2 straight up against the Red Sox in the last 12 games at Yankee Stadium.

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Pick: New York Yankees ML (-225)

 

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