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Reds vs Giants Picks and Odds (June 24)

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in MLB Baseball

Jun 23, 2022 · 8:14 PM PDT

Reds vs Giants odds
San Francisco Giants second baseman Thairo Estrada (39) is hit by a pitch in the fifth inning during a baseball game against the San Francisco Giants, Sunday, May 29, 2022, at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati. The San Francisco Giants won, 6-4. San Francisco Giants At Cincinnati Reds May 29 0053
  • The San Francisco Giants are -185 home favorites over the Cincinnati Reds in a National League game slated for Friday, June 24
  • San Francisco is 6-1 straight up over the team’s last seven home games
  • All of the Giants vs Reds odds and picks are assembled and assessed in the story below

The San Francisco Giants (38-31, 19-14 home) are 7-2 straight up in their last nine  games against the Cincinnati Reds (23-46, 11-23 away). San Fran is also 6-1 SU in the club’s last seven home games.

Add it all up and it bodes well for the Giants. That’s certainly the way the scenario is being viewed by oddsmakers. San Francisco is set as a -185 home favorite in the opener of a three-game weekend series. The Reds share the National League low with just 11 road wins this season.

First pitch for this game at Oracle Park is set for 10:15pm ET on Friday, June 24. The weather forecast for San Francisco is calling for a mix of sun and clouds, 16 mph wind and a temperature of 64 degrees.

Reds vs Giants Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
Cincinnati Reds +165 +1.5 (-130) O 8 (-110)
San Francisco Giants -185 -1.5 (+110) U 8 (-110)

Odds as of June 23rd at Caesars Sportsbook. See available Caesars Sportsbook promo codes

 

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At odds of -185, the Giants are offering an implied probability of victory of 64.91% in the MLB betting line. A successful $10 wager on San Francisco would deliver a payout of $15.40.

The MLB betting trends show that in the NL Division odds, odds of +1100 are available on the Giants to win the NL West. The MLB pennant odds show the Giants at +1200 to win the NL flag. San Francisco is at +2800 to win it all in the World Series odds.

Cincinnati vs San Francisco Probable Pitchers

Veteran Giants right-hander Alex Cobb’s underlying numbers are suggesting his season is better than the most prevalent digits might be indicating. A two-start stretch in May in which he allowed 20 hits and 13 earned runs over 11.1 innings pitched ballooned his ERA from a respectable 3.98 to 6.25.

He went on the IL with a neck strain in early in June. Over his last two starts. Cobb has allowed four earned runs and eight hits across a 10-inning span. The first of those two games was a May 29 six-inning stint against the Reds. He didn’t figure in the decision of a 6-4 Giants victory.

Cobb is 2-2 with a 4.91 ERA in five home starts. He’s 2-0 with a 1.80 ERA in three career starts against Cincinnati.

Ashcraft vs Cobb

Graham Ashcraft
VS
Alex Cobb
3-1 Record 3-2
3.51 ERA 5.62
3.45 xERA 2.25
1.17 WHIP 1.46
2.71 SO/W Ratio 3.77

For the most part, there’s been little to complain about since rookie right-hander Graham Ashcraft was summoned from Triple-A by the Reds. He’s showing a .750 winning percentage (3-1) for a team that is showing an NL-worst .333 winning percentage on the season. In fact, the Reds are 5-1 in Ashcraft’s six starts.

There are some red flags of late that suggest perhaps MLB clubs are beginning to get a book on Ashcraft’s tendencies. In his last two starts he’s 0-1. Ashcraft has surrendered 17 hits and 10 earned runs over 9.2 innings pitched during that span. Ashcraft’s ERA has jumped from a season-low 3.32 to a season-high 3.88 over his last two trips to the mound.

He’s 0-0 with a 6.00 ERA in two career road starts. Ashcraft’s first big-league win was against San Francisco. He pitched 6.1 scoreless innings May 27 in a 5-1 win over the Giants.

Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers

Giants Batters Batting Average vs Ashcraft Reds Batters Batting Average vs Cobb
Brandon Belt .000 Albert Almora Jr .500
Curt Casali .000 Brandon Drury .333
Brandon Crawford .667 Kyle Farmer .000
Thairo Estrada .000 Aramis Garcia .000
Wilmer Flores .000 Jonathan India .600
Tommy La Stella .000 Mike Moustakas .000
Evan Longoria .500 Chris Okey .000
Joc Pederson .333 Tommy Pham .000
Darin Ruf .000 Matt Reynolds .000
Austin Slater .000 Max Schrock .000
Donovan Walton .000 Nick Senzel .000
Austin Wynns .000 Donovan Solano .333
Mike Yastrzemski .000 Joey Votto .200

For the Giants, Brandon Crawford is 2-for-3 (.667) when facing Ashcraft. Evan Longoria is 1-for-2 (.500) and Joc Pederson is 1-for-3 (.333).

Reds outfielder Albert Almora is 1-for-2 (.500) with an RBI against Cobb. Designated hitter Mike Moustakas is 5-for-15 (.333) with a home run and four RBI. Brandon Drury and Donovan Solano are both 1-for-3 (.333).

Reds vs Giants Prediction

The Giants are getting their second look at Ashcraft. That should be helpful now that they have a book on the rookie.

Cobb’s analytics are better than his win-loss mark and ERA. Plus, he’s never lost to the Reds and San Francisco is playing solid ball at home.

Pick: San Francisco Giants ML (-185)

 

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