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Reds vs Phillies Odds, Picks & Starting Pitchers (April 9)

John Perrotto

by John Perrotto in MLB Baseball

Updated Apr 9, 2023 · 12:46 AM PDT

Phillies first baseman Kody Clemens. Reds vs Phillies
Apr 8, 2023; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; Philadelphia Phillies first baseman Kody Clemens (23) and center fielder Cristian Pache (19) congratulate second baseman Bryson Stott (5) for getting the winning hit after the ninth inning against the Cincinnati Reds at Citizens Bank Park. Mandatory Credit: Gregory Fisher-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Phillies are -175 home favorites over the Reds on Sunday
  • Connor Overton (0-0, 11.25) will pitch for the Reds against the Phillies’ Taijuan Walker (0-1, 8.31)
  • A look at the Phillies vs Reds matchup and odds can be found below with a pick

The Phillies will try to sweep a three-game series from the Cincinnati Reds when the teams meet at 1:05 p.m. ET Sunday at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia.

The Phillies (3-5, 2-0 home) have won three of their last four games following an 0-4 start to the season, including beating the Reds 3-2 on Saturday. Cincinnati (3-4, 0-2 road) has lost three straight games after winning three in a row.

ESPN+ will stream the game.

Reds vs Phillies Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
Cincinnati Reds +145 +1.5 (-135) +145
Philadelphia Phillies -175 -1.5 (+110) -175

The Phillies are -175 favorites on the moneyline over the Reds on Sunday in the MLB odds, giving them a 63.64% implied win probability. Philadelphia has +1800 World Series championship odds and Cincinnati is listed at +20000.

The weather forecast calls for a high of 59 degrees with sunny skies and a northeast wind at 5 mph.

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Odds as of April 8th at BetMGM.

Reds vs Phillies Probable Pitchers

Connor Overton (0-0, 11.25) will pitch for the Reds and face Taijuan Walker (0-1, 8.31). Both will be going on five days of rest.

Overton vs Walker

Connor Overton
VS
Taijuan Walker
0-0 Record 0-1
11.25 ERA 8.31
4.37 xERA 3.19
0.71 WHIP 2.25
6.00 SO/W 5.00

Overton had a rough time in his first start of the season Monday as he got touched for five runs and eight hits in four innings of a no-decision. Overton struck out five and walked one.

In his one career start against the Phillies in 2021, Overton took the loss as he allowed four runs in 2.2 innings.

Overton has pitched much better on the road in his career with a 3.03 ERA compared to 5.49 in home games. His ERA is 3.38 in the day and 4.21 at night.

Walker had a rough debut for the Phillies on Monday after signing a four-year, $72-million contract as a free agent in the offseason. He lost to the Mets in New York as he gave up four runs and four hits in 4.1 innings while striking out five and walking three.

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This will mark Walker’s fourth career start against the Reds. He is 2-1 with a 5.29 ERA.

Walker has a 3.81 lifetime ERA at home and 4.00 on the road and his mark at Citizens Bank Park is 5.25 in five outings. In day games, Walker pitches to a 3.61 ERA while that number jumps to 4.06 at night.

Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers

Reds Batters Batting Average vs Taijuan Walker
Kevin Newman .500
Jose Barrero .333
Wil Myers .200
Jonathan India .000
Curt Casali .000
Jake Fraley .000
Phillies Batters Batting Average vs Connor Overton
Nick Castellanos .000
Brandon Marsh .000

Reds catcher Curt Casali is hitless in five career at-bats against Walker.

Reds vs Phillies Betting Outlook

The Phillies rallied with three runs in the ninth inning to pull out the win over the Reds. Bryson Stott hit a walk-off single.

Stott finished with two hits. The Reds got two hits each from Tyler Stephenson and TJ Friedl while rookie Spencer Steer homered.

Reds vs Phillies Last 10 Games

Date Home Team Away Team Score
4/8/23 Phillies Reds PHI, 3-2
4/7/23 Phillies Reds PHI, 5-2
8/25/22 Phillies Reds PHI, 4-0
8/24/22 Phillies Reds PHI, 7-5
8/23/22 Phillies Reds PHI, 7-6
8/22/22 Phillies Reds PHI, 4-1
8/17/22 Reds Phillies CIN, 1-0
8/16/22 Reds Phillies PHI, 11-4
8/15/22 Reds Phillies PHI, 4-3
8/15/21 Phillies Reds CIN, 7-4

The Phillies are 18-11 against the Reds since the start of the 2016 season.

Reds vs Phillies Prediction

Walker’s expected ERA suggests he pitched better than his line indicated in his first start for the Phillies. Let’s go with Philadelphia, which is gaining traction following an awful start.

Pick: Phillies -175 ML

Season Record: 5-1 (+3.8 units) ML

 

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