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Padres vs Nationals Picks & Odds (Aug 14)

John Perrotto

by John Perrotto in MLB Baseball

Aug 13, 2022 · 8:21 PM PDT

Washington Nationals celebrate
Aug 2, 2022; Washington, District of Columbia, USA; Washington Nationals center fielder Victor Robles (16) and catcher Keibert Ruiz (20) celebrate after the game against the New York Mets at Nationals Park. Mandatory Credit: Brad Mills-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Padres are -250 road favorites over the Nationals on Sunday
  • Lefty Blake Snell (4-6, 3.96) will pitch for San Diego against Paolo Espino (0-4, 4.04)
  • A look at the Padres vs Nationals odds and matchup can be found below with a prediction

The San Diego Padres and host Washington Nationals will play the rubber game of their three-game series at 12:05 p.m. ET Sunday at Nationals Park.

The Nationals (38-77/18-41 home), who have the worst record in the major leagues, notched just their fourth win in the last 16 games when they edged the Padres 4-3 on Saturday night. The Padres (64-52/31-28 road) had their three-game winning streak snapped.

Padres vs Nationals Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
San Diego Padres -250 -2.5 (+105) Over 9 (-105)
Washington Nationals +200 +2.5 (-130) Under 9 (-115)

Odds as of August 13th at BetMGM

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San Diego as a -250 favorites to give them a 71.43% implied win probability. The Padres have +1400 World Series odds while the Nationals are extreme longshots at +200000.

The weather forecast is good as it calls for sunny, a high temperature of 80 degrees and south wind at 6 mph.

Padres vs Nationals Probable Pitchers

Left-hander Blake Snell (4-6, 3.96) is expected to start for the Padres against Paolo Espino (0-4, 4.04). Snell will be pitching on five days of rest and Espino on four.

Snell vs Espino

Blake Snell
VS
Paolo Espino
4-6 Record 0-4
3.96 ERA 4.04
3.37 xERA 4.87
1.33 WHIP 1.27
2.64 SO/W 4.46

Snell is 2-1 with a 1.53 ERA in his last three starts but had his four-game winning streak snapped with a tough-luck loss to the San Francisco on Monday in San Diego. He allowed one run on six hits in 5.2 innings with eight strikeouts and two walks.

Snell is 1-0 with a 3.77 ERA in two career starts against the Nationals. His lone appearance at Nationals Park came last season and he had a no-decision while surrendering four runs in four innings.

In seven games (six starts) on the road this season, Snell has a 1-2 record and 4.86 ERA. He is 0-1 with a 6.91 ERA in four games (three starts) during the day. The Padres are 5-10 in games in which Snell has toed the slab.

Espino will again look for his first win in his 12th start and 32nd game of the season. He is 0-4 with a 5.14 ERA in 12 starts since moving from the bullpen to the rotation June 12.

Against the Cubs on Tuesday in Chicago, Espino pitched well in a no-decision. He gave up one run and six hits over five innings while striking out five and walking none.

He has had some good moments in a winless season.

Espino has faced the Padres only once, yielding three runs in 2.1 relief innings last season while not factoring in the decision.

Espino is 0-2 with a 4.15 ERA in 14 games (five starts) at home in 2022. He has an 0-2 mark and 5.03 ERA in seven games (four starts) during the day. The Nationals have gone 4-7 in Espino’s starts.

Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers

Padres Batters Batting Average vs Paolo Espino
Jake Cronenworth 1.000
Wil Myers .500
Jesus Alfaro .000
Brandon Drury .000
Josh Bell .000
Trent Grisham .000
Manny Machado .000
Nationals Batters Batting Average vs Blake Snell
Ildemaro Vargas .500
Nelson Cruz .333
Luke Voit .167
Victor Robles .000

No Padres players have more than three career appearances against Espino.

The Nationals’ Nelson Cruz has hit Snell at a .333 clip (4-for-12) with a home run. Luke Voit is just 2-for-12 (.167), though his two hits have gone for extra bases – a double and homer.

Padres vs Nationals Betting Outlook

Victor Robles snapped a 3-3 tie by singling in the winning run in the seventh inning Saturday night for the Nationals against the Padres.

The Nationals’ Cesar Hernandez had three hits and scored the winning run. Nelson Cruz and rookies Joes Meneses had two hits each. Cruz raised his career total to 2,000.

Yadiel Hernandez hit a two-run homer for Washington and Meneses added a solo blast. Meneses has five home runs in his first nine career games.

Nationals shortstop Luis Garcia missed the game with a strained left groin but should be back in action Sunday.

Manny Machado and Trent Grisham both homered and had two hits for the Padres.

San Diego catcher Jorge Alfaro is expected to return to the lineup after sitting out four games with right knee soreness.

This is the first series of the season between the team. The series has been tight in recent years with the Padres holding a 9-7 edge since 2019.

Padres vs Nationals Last 10 Games

Date Home Team Away Team Score
8/13/22 Nationals Padres WAS, 4-3
8/12/22 Nationals Padres SD, 10-5
7/18/21 Nationals Padres WAS, 8-7
7/17/21 Nationals Padres SD, 10-4
7/16/21 Nationals Padres SD, 24-8
7/8/21 Padres Nationals SD, 9-8
7/7/21 Padres Nationals WAS, 15-5
7/6/21 Padres Nationals SD, 7-4
7/5/21 Padres Nationals WAS, 7-5
6/9/19 Padres Nationals WAS, 5-2

Padres vs Nationals Prediction

Snell has turned his season around and it’s hard to be against him against Espino, who is still winless in the middle of August, despite being the Padres being heavy road favorites.

Pick: Padres moneyline (-250)

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