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Rays vs Dodgers Odds, Lines, and Picks for World Series Game 6 – Snell vs Gonsolin

Bryan Thiel

by Bryan Thiel in MLB Baseball

Oct 25, 2020 · 9:47 PM PDT

Mookie Betts laughing on the field
Los Angeles Dodgers outfielder Mookie Betts has seen his odds to win the 2020 NL MVP award improve steadily over the last week. Photo by Brian Rothmuller/Icon Sportswire.
  • The Dodgers scored four runs against Tyler Glasnow to take a 3-2 series lead on Sunday night
  • Tampa sends Blake Snell to the mound in a must-win Game 6 while LA counters with a struggling Tony Gonsolin
  • After an off-day, Game 6 goes on Tuesday, October 27th, at 8:08 pm ET from Globe Life Field

A night after both bullpens struggled to get outs and the Rays won in the craziest way possible, Game 5 was much more pedestrian.

The Dodgers ran up the pitch count early against Tyler Glasnow and scored all four runs in his five innings of work. Clayton Kershaw, Dustin May, and the bullpen did the rest, as LA now sits a win shy of its seventh World Series title.

Tampa will get a day to rest and regroup as they prepare for their third elimination game of the postseason. Game 6 from Globe Life Park goes Tuesday (October 27th) at 8:08 pm ET.

Rays vs Dodgers Odds – Game 6

Team Moneyline Runline Total
Tampa Bay Rays (B. Snell) +124 +1.5 (-158) Over 8.0 (-118)
Los Angeles Dodgers (T. Gonsolin) -142 -1.5 (+134) Under 8.0 (-104)

Odds as of Oct. 26th from FanDuel.

With a chance for their first World Series title since 1988, the Dodgers enter as favorites. They’ve been the favorite in all 18 of their playoff games in 2020.

Game 5 actually saw the under cash for the first time in the World Series, mainly because the Dodgers only had two baserunners in the final four innings.

Pitch Counts Continue to Haunt Rays

In Game 5, a Rays starter did something they hadn’t done in a World Series since 2008: complete the fifth inning.

While it wasn’t pretty, Tyler Glasnow made it through five, giving up four runs on 102 pitches.

Blake Snell will have to replicate Glasnow’s length while improving on his results.

Rays’ Depth of Start: 2020 World Series

Pitcher (Game) IP R/ER Hits K BB Pitch Count Pitches Per Hitter
Tyler Glasnow (G1) 4.1 6/6 3 8 6 112 4.89
Blake Snell (G2) 4.2 2/2 2 9 4 88 4.40
Charlie Morton (G3) 4.1 5/5 7 6 1 91 4.14
Ryan Yarbrough (G4) 3.1 2/2 5 1 1 69 4.31
Tyler Glasnow (G5) 5.0 4/4 6 7 3 102 4.34

Because of the abbreviated outings, the Rays have relied heavily on their bullpen. That usage was explored ahead of Game 5. It was a big storyline coming into the World Series too, as each of their top-six relievers made at least three appearances in the ALCS.

The day off will be big for Aaron Loup and Diego Castillo, who pitched in both Games 4 and 5, as well as Nick Anderson and John Curtiss who had long outings in Game 4.

Gonsolin a Go for Dodgers

In his postgame interview with Ken Rosenthal, Dave Roberts revealed that Game 6 belongs to Tony Gonsolin.

Gonsolin started Game 2 of the World Series, and it went about as well as the rest of his playoffs have. He lasted just 1.1 innings in that outing, giving up one run. For the postseason, he’s thrown 7.2 innings in three appearances (two starts), with seven walks, nine strikeouts, and eight runs.

Mookie’s Gone MIA for LA

Through the first three games, Mookie Betts was everything the Dodgers could want from the star outfielder.

But the past two games have been deadly quiet from the $365-million man.

Mookie Betts: Games 4 and 5

Game H/AB RBI Runs K BB SB
Game 4 0/5 0 0 1 0 0
Game 5 1/5 0 1 1 0 0

With the crazy way things wrapped up in Game 4, it’s fair to wonder if it would have gotten to that point if LA had gotten a little more from Mookie.

Cody Bellinger has been similarly cold for LA. Removing Game 1 – when he went 1-for-4 with a home run – Bellinger is 2-for-15 with four strikeouts, two walks, an RBI, and a run scored.

It’s not surprising that the Dodgers are 2-2 over those four games. But the fact they’ve scored 21 runs over that stretch with their biggest guns going cold is a testament to their depth.

Rays Must Capitalize in Do-Or-Die

If the Dodgers go with Gonsolin, it will be music to the Rays’ ears, as he carries a playoff ERA of 9.39 into Game 6, surrendering three home runs.

That’s good news for a team that lives off of the home run. With Julio Urias and Dustin May pitching Saturday and Sunday, there isn’t a ton of length in the bullpen behind him if he gets a quick hook.

If it ends up being Gonsolin, take the Rays and the runs.

The Pick: Rays (+124), Over 8.0 (-118)

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