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Dodgers vs Rays Odds, Lines, and Picks for World Series Game 5 – Kershaw vs Glasnow

Bryan Thiel

by Bryan Thiel in MLB Baseball

Oct 24, 2020 · 10:04 PM PDT

Mookie Betts laughing on the field
Los Angeles Dodgers outfielder Mookie Betts has seen his odds to win the 2020 NL MVP award improve steadily over the last week. Photo by Brian Rothmuller/Icon Sportswire.
  • The Rays walked off the Dodgers in improbable fashion on Saturday, tying the World Series 2-2
  • The Dodgers’ Clayton Kershaw faces the Rays’ Tyler Glasnow in a rematch of Game 1
  • Game 5 starts at 8:08 pm ET from Globe Life Field in Texas

Brett Phillips: World Series hero. Obviously, right?

Game 4 of the Fall Classic was what everyone wants in the World Series. After both teams scored in each of the fifth, sixth and seventh, the Dodgers went up 7-6 in the top of the eighth. Then with Kenley Jansen on to close it out, Brett Phillips had the walk-off single to tie the World Series 2-2.

Tampa won’t have much time to celebrate, however. Game 5 is set for Sunday (October 25th) at 8:08 pm ET.

Dodgers vs Rays Odds – Game 5

Team Moneyline Runline Total
Los Angeles Dodgers (C. Kershaw) -152 -1.5 (+116) Over 7.5 (-115)
Tampa Bay Rays (T. Glasnow) +132 +1.5 (-136) Under 7.5 (-105)

Odds as of Oct 24th from FanDuel.

Despite the Rays’ heroics, it wasn’t enough to steal favorite status from the Dodgers. LA (-152) is favored once again in Game 5.

After an explosive Game 4, the over has hit in all four World Series games. With the unpredictability of the series so far, the books have shaved the total back to 7.5.

Glasnow Looks for Redemption vs Kershaw

In Game 1, two pitchers with checkered postseason pasts faced off. Clayton Kershaw turned in a gem, while Tyler Glasnow added to his spotty history.

Now he gets a second chance with the opportunity to give the Rays a 3-2 lead.

Kershaw vs Glasnow: Game 1

6.0 Innings Pitched 4.1
2 Hits 3
1/1 Runs/Earned Runs 6/6
8 Strikeouts 8
1 Walks 6
1 Home Runs 1
78 Pitch Count 112
7/5 Ground Balls/Fly Balls 5/4

Glasnow faced 23 batters on Tuesday, averaging 4.87 pitches per at-bat. Raising pitch counts is something that Dodger hitters have been very good at this postseason.

Saying his playoff results have been mixed would be kind to Glasnow. In seven starts he has finished the fifth inning three times. In four outings of his outings he’s allowed four earned runs. This year he’s allowed 14 walks over 23.2 innings, for a WHIP of 1.44.

Tampa meanwhile, played right into Kershaw’s hands. He cruised through six innings with the lone blemish, unsurprisingly, a solo home run. The Rays have hit a lot of those. Their boom or bust potential has killed them against the Kershaw/Buehler/Urias trio, and there’s little reason to expect that to change.

If Kershaw can get in and out of at-bats quickly in Game 5, he should make quick work of Tampa.

What’s Left in Rays’ Bullpen?

Ryan Yarbrough’s 3.1 innings in Game 4 continued a troubling trend for Rays starters.

Yarbrough has now combined with Glasnow (4.1), Blake Snell (4.2), and Charlie Morton (4.1) to throw 16.2 innings over five starts. Needless to say, it’s put a lot of pressure on Tampa’s bullpen.

Rays World Series Bullpen Usage

Pitcher Appearances Innings Pitched Runs/Earned Runs Inherited Runners/Scored Hits Strikeouts Walks Pitch Count
John Curtiss 3 3.0 1/1 4/0 4 3 1 47
Nick Anderson 2 2.2 2/2 4/2 4 3 1 42
Pete Fairbanks 2 2.2 2/2 0/0 4 2 0 35
Ryan Thompson 2 1.2 0/0 1/0 0 2 0 11
Aaron Loup 2 1.1 2/2 1/0 2 3 0 22
Diego Castillo 2 1.1 1/1 0/0 1 2 2 29
Ryan Yarbrough 1 0.2 0/0 2/2 2 0 0 19
Josh Fleming 1 2.2 2/2 0/0 5 2 1 40
Ryan Sherriff 1 1.0 0/0 0/0 0 1 1 17
Shane McClanahan 1 1.0 0/0 0/0 1 0 0 26

Thompson, Fairbanks, Castillo, Loup, Anderson, and Curtiss all pitched in Game 4. It’s tough to see Castillo, Anderson, or Curtiss appearing in Game 5 based on usage, leaving Loup and Thompson to appear again. Tampa’s bullpen gave up nine hits and five runs over 5.2 innings of work.

Both Glasnow and Snell were spotted in the bullpen Saturday night. Twice each. It could be an indication that the Rays are on their last legs.

The Dodgers themselves were guilty of bullpen abuse in Game 5, using five relievers after Julio Urias was dominant for 4.2 innings. It’s very likely that Blake Treinen, Brusdar Graterol and Kenley Jansen are all unavailable on Sunday, but Dustin May could pitch.

Dodgers Forced to Regroup for Game 5

Until the last possible moment it looked like LA was going to head to Game 5 up 3-1.

Instead they’re tied 2-2.

But these aren’t the Dodgers of old. After coming back against the Braves, they shouldn’t blink. And the world saw how desperate the Rays’ pitching situation has become by the end of Game 4.

Expect LA to regroup and attack the Rays to try and tax the bullpen even more on Sunday night.

The Pick: Dodgers (-152), Over 7.5 (-115)

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