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Yankees vs Astros Picks & Odds (June 30)

Chris Amberley

by Chris Amberley in MLB Baseball

Jun 29, 2022 · 8:56 PM PDT

Yankees win celebration
Jun 29, 2022; Bronx, New York, USA; New York Yankees center fielder Aaron Judge (99) slaps hands with third baseman DJ LeMahieu (26) after the game against the Oakland Athletics at Yankee Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Vincent Carchietta-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Yankees vs Astros odds are currently both listed at -110 for Thursday’s matchup (June 30th, 6:10 pm ET)
  • New York will send Luis Severino (4-2, 3.38 ERA) to the mound, while Houston will counter with Luis Garcia (5-5, 3.68 ERA)
  • Read below for the Yankees vs Astros odds, analysis and betting prediction

Thanks to the MLB’s reconfigured schedule due to the lockout that delayed the season, baseball fans will be treated to a one-game showdown on Thursday between baseball’s two best teams. The AL West leading Astros will host the AL East leading Yankees, after the two just battled for four games in the Bronx last week.

That series was extremely competitive as the teams split the matchups two games a piece. It’s no surprise then on Thursday, oddsmakers are expecting a close contest.

Yankees vs Astros Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
New York Yankees -110 +1.5 (-205) O 8 (-120)
Houston Astros -110 -1.5 (+175) U 8 (+100)

Odds as of June 29th at Caesars Sportsbook. See available Caesars Sportsbook promo codes

Both the Yankees and Astros boast identical -110 moneyline odds, in a game with a total of 8. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10 pm ET at Minute Maid Park in Houston, Texas, with a 40% chance for showers and 82 degree temperatures in the forecast.

 

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New York vs Houston Starting Pitchers

The Yankees, who will begin the day as the favorites in the World Series odds, will send Luis Severino to the hill. Severino just faced the Astros last week, allowing three runs and five hits over 7 innings, while striking out seven.

He’s allowed three runs or less in nine of 12 starts this season, and has held Houston batters to a lifetime .247 average over 68 at-bats, with only four extra-base hits.

Severino vs Garcia

Luis Severino
VS
Luis Garcia
4-2 Record 5-5
3.38 ERA 3.68
1.07 WHIP 1.07
.211 OBA .214
4.1 SO/W Ratio 3.9

The Astros will counter with Luis Garcia, who’s won his last two starts while yielding just five runs and posting a 14-to-1 strikeout-to-walk rate.

Garcia, who’s struggled to keep the ball in the yard versus elite lineups this season, will have his hands full with the most potent bats in the league. He’s faced New York just once in his career, allowing three runs in 4.2 innings a season ago.

Yankees Betting Analysis

The Bronx Bombers enter play fresh off yet another sweep, this time of the Oakland A’s. New York rallied on Wednesday for it’s MLB-leading 24th comeback victory of the season, led by their version of the Bash Brothers.

AL MVP odds favorite Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton both homered, which is typically a sure sign of success. The Yankees are 25-1 all-time when the duo each go yard, and 9-0 this season.

The victory improved New York to 56-20 so far, which matches the best 76-game start in MLB history since 1930. New York has lived up to its Bronx Bombers billing, as the team has already slugged 57 dingers in June, the most by any team ever in a month.

Astros Betting Analysis

Houston meanwhile, got its 10th win in 13 games on Wednesday but it came at a major price. Star outfielder Yordan Alvarez had to be carted off the field after colliding with teammate Jeremy Pena late in the Astros victory over the Mets.

Alvarez was able to walk back to the clubhouse on his own, and is reportedly being evaluated for a concussion. No further update will be provided until Thursday, but his potential absence would be a devastating blow.

The 25-year-old leads the team in batting average, home runs, RBI, OBP and slugging, while ranking first in MLB in OPS. Alvarez is hitting an incredible .434 in June, with an .868 slugging percentage and 1.390 OPS. Those stats put video game numbers to shame.

NYY vs HOU Last 10 Meetings

Date Away Team Home Team Score
6/26/22 Astros Yankees NYY, 6-3
6/25/22 Astros Yankees HOU, 3-0
6/24/22 Astros Yankees HOU, 3-1
6/23/22 Astros Yankees NYY, 7-6
7/11/21 Yankees Astros HOU, 8-7
7/10/21 Yankees Astros NYY, 1-0
7/9/21 Yankees Astros NYY, 4-0
5/6/21 Astros Yankees HOU, 7-4
5/5/21 Astros Yankees NYY, 6-3
5/4/21 Astros Yankees NYY, 7-3

Yankees vs Astros Pick

With Alvarez potentially sitting, expect Houston to struggle to keep pace offensively with New York. Sure, the Astros combined to throw the first no-hitter against the Yankees in 19 years last week, but don’t expect the Houston arms to keep this offense at bay again.

The Bronx Bombers are fresh off scoring 22 times in their past four games, all victories, and lead MLB in runs per game, homers, slugging and OPS. Unlike most lineups who perform better at home, New York’s bats are actually more potent on the road.

The Yankees boast a better runs per game average and a higher batting average as visitors. Houston’s Garcia is a fine talent, but New York got to him in their only meeting last season, and can do so again.

Passing on baseball’s best team as essentially a pick’em against a club potentially missing their best player is not an option.

Pick: New York Yankees Moneyline (-110)

 

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