Yankees vs Red Sox Odds & Picks for Sunday Night Baseball (July 10)

By John Perrotto in MLB Baseball
Published:

- The Yankees are -130 road favorites over the Red Sox on Sunday Night Baseball
- Jameson Taillon (9-2, 3.63) will pitch for New York against Nick Pivetta (8-6, 3.68)
- A look at the odds and matchup can be found below with a prediction
The Boston Red Sox will try to gain a split of a four-game series when they host the New York Yankees at 7:08pm ET at Fenway Park on Sunday Night Baseball.
The Red Sox (46-39, 22-20 home) snapped a three-game losing streak Saturday night by rallying for a 6-5 victory over the Yankees in 10 innings. The American League-East leading Yankees (61-24, 27-15 road) had won three in a row.
Yankees vs Red Sox Odds
Team | Moneyline | Runline | Total |
---|---|---|---|
New York Yankees | -130 | -1.5 (+120) | Over 9.5 (+102) |
Boston Red Sox | +112 | +1.5 (-150) | Under 9.5 (-121) |
Odds as of July 9th at Barstool Sportsbook.
As -130 favorites, the Yankees have an implied win probability of 54.8%. The Yankees, at +400, are co-favorites in the World Series odds with the Los Angeles Dodgers while the Red Sox have odds of +3000.
The weather forecast calls for clear, a gametime temperature of 74 degrees with a low of 62 and southwest wind at 7-9 mph.
Yankees vs Red Sox Probable Pitchers
Jameson Taillon (9-2, 3.63) is scheduled to start for the Yankees against Nick Pivetta (8-6, 3.68). Both will be pitching on four days of rest.
Taillon’s AL Cy Young odds are +7000.
Taillon vs Pivetta Stats
9-2 | Record | 8-6 |
3.63 | ERA | 3.68 |
3.77 | xERA | 4.23 |
1.15 | WHIP | 1.16 |
6.73 | SO/W | 2.79 |
Taillon is coming off just his second loss of the season and first since April 11 when he fell to the Pirates in Pittsburgh on Tuesday. He was touched for five runs and six hits in 5.1 innings while striking out five and walking none.
It was an emotional return to his old home ballpark.
Jameson Taillon returns pic.twitter.com/OxpXsCKlhq
— Jeff Hathhorn (@jhathhorn) July 5, 2022
Taillon is 2-0 with a 1.46 ERA in four career starts against the Red Sox. He is 1-0 with a 0.64 ERA in two starts at Fenway Park.
In seven starts on the road this season, Taillon has a 4-1 record and 3.49 ERA. He is 5-2 with a 3.97 ERA in 10 starts at night.
Pivetta had a three-game winning streak stopped Tuesday by the Tampa Bay Rays at Fenway Park. He was tagged for seven runs on eight hits over 5.2 innings with four strikeouts and two walks.
In four career games (three starts) versus the Yankees, Pivetta has struggled with an 0-2 record and 6.75 ERA.
Nick Pivetta was HYPED after striking out the side in the 7th. 😤 pic.twitter.com/pkqs36m8Wa
— MLB (@MLB) June 19, 2022
Pivetta is 4-3 with a 3.78 ERA in eight starts at home this year. At night, he is 5-3 with a 4.04 ERA in 10 starts.
Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers
Yankees Batters | Batting Average vs Nick Pivetta |
---|---|
Giancarlo Stanton | .375 |
Anthony Rizzo | .286 |
John Donaldson | .278 |
DJ LeMahieu | .200 |
Joey Gallo | .200 |
Matt Carpenter | .167 |
Marwin Gonzalez | .167 |
Aaron Judge | .000 |
Gleyber Torres | .000 |
Kyle Higashioka | .000 |
Isiah Kiner-Falefa | .000 |
Red Sox Batters | Batting Average vs Jameson Taillon |
Christian Vazquez | .500 |
J.D. Martinez | .400 |
Kevin Plawecki | .375 |
Jackie Bradley Jr. | .333 |
Xander Bogaerts | .250 |
Alex Verdugo | .222 |
Rafael Devers | .200 |
Trevor Story | .167 |
Jarren Duran | .000 |
Franchy Cordero | .000 |
Bobby Dalbec | .000 |
Rob Refsnyder | .000 |
The Yankees’ Giancarlo Stanton is a .375 hitter (6-for-16) against Pivetta with two home runs. The Red Sox’s Kevin Plawecki has gone 3-for-8 with two doubles off Taillon but Jarren Duran is 0-for-5.
Yankees vs Red Sox Betting Outlook
Alex Verdugo hit a walk-off two-run single to cap a three-run, 10th-inning and rally the Red Sox to victory Saturday night. Verdugo forced extra innings with a run-scoring single in the eighth when he tied the score at 3-3 on his way to finishing with three hits and three RBIs.
"GOODNIGHT." – Dugie pic.twitter.com/amPBkkLyFk
— Red Sox (@RedSox) July 10, 2022
Rob Refsnyder homered and had two hits for the Red Sox, who also got two hits from Xander Bogaerts.
Third baseman Rafael Devers (back) is expected to miss his second straight game Sunday. Infielder Christian Arroyo (left groin strain) was placed on the 10-day injured list Saturday and infielder Jeter Downs was recalled from Triple-A Worcester.
The Yankees’ Aaron Hicks hit a home run.
Let's go, Rizzo 👏 pic.twitter.com/GfTIIIxZ1B
— New York Yankees (@Yankees) July 10, 2022
First baseman Anthony Rizzo returned to the lineup after missing four games with lower back stiffness and went 2-for-5 with a pair of doubles and two RBIs. Aaron Judge and Matt Carpenter also had two hits each.
The Yankees lead the season series 4-2 and hold a commanding 36-19 advantage over the Red Sox since 2019.
Yankees vs Red Sox Last 10 Games
Date | Home Team | Away Team | Score |
---|---|---|---|
7/9/22 | Red Sox | Yankees | BOS, 6-5 |
7/8/22 | Red Sox | Yankees | NYY, 12-5 |
7/7/22 | Red Sox | Yankees | NYY, 6-5 |
4/10/22 | Yankees | Red Sox | BOS, 4-3 |
4/9/22 | Yankees | Red Sox | NYY, 4-2 |
4/8/22 | Yankees | Red Sox | NYY, 6-5 |
10/5/21 | Red Sox | Yankees | BOS, 6-2 |
9/26/21 | Red Sox | Yankees | NYY, 6-3 |
9/25/21 | Red Sox | Yankees | NYY, 5-3 |
9/24/21 | Red Sox | Yankees | NYY, 8-3 |
Yankees vs Red Sox Prediction
Neither starting pitcher inspires confidence following rocky outings Tuesday. Yet look to Pivetta to bounce back in this one as an underdog and help the Red Sox get a split with their archrivals.
Pick: Red Sox ML (+112)
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Sports Writer
John Perrotto has been covering and writing about sports for various outlets for over 40 years. His work has appeared in the likes of USA TODAY, ESPN.com, SI.com, Forbes.com, The Associated Press, Baseball Digest, and more. John is based out of Beaver Falls, PA.