Combate Americas Monterrey Odds & Picks

Combate Americas Monterrey
Combate Americas Monterrey features high stakes featherweight bouts at the top of the card. Photo By @talkfootballhub (Combate Americas)
  • Combate Americas Monterrey goes Friday, October 18th at 11:00 PM ET
  • Can Elpidio score his tenth pro win or will Flores halt his ascent?
  • Who will suffer their fourth pro loss when Marroquín clashes with Gonzalez?

Combate Americas Monterrey goes Friday night at Dome Care in Monterrey, Mexico. The card showcases some of the best featherweights they have on their roster, all looking to make a lasting impression for the other 145 lb-ers in Combate.

Combate Americas always delivers and this card doesn’t look like it will be the exception to the rule. Some of the best featherweight fighters in Latin America compete. The pressure to win big and jettison themselves towards a future title shot should inspire some impassioned performances. Check out the odds for the fights below and peep my analysis of the main and co-main event.

Flores vs Elpidio Odds

Fighter Odds
Alejandro Flores -270
Marco Antonio Elpidio +210

*Odds taken 10/17/19

The main event pits two top ten featherweights in Mexico, per Tapology, and promises to deliver a fun fight. Flores is coming off of a win over co-main event fighter Levy Saúl Marroquín via unanimous decision. Elpidio is on a two-fight win streak ahead of Friday night.

Both men have rebounded from a loss to Combate featherweight title contender Andrés Quintana. A strong win here could place the victor favorably in the Combate contendership hierarchy at 145 lbs.

Flores Will Floor Elpidio

I think Flores is the more proven finisher. He has shown a varied game with multiple submissions and striking stoppages to his credit. Flores has more of a chance to end things than Elpidio does, on paper. Flores went unbeaten on the Combate Extremo circuit before signing up with Combate Americas.

Flores has the experience advantage but has also had a stronger strength of schedule than Elpidio. Reigning featherweight titlist Bruno Cannetti should keep his gaze firmly fixed on this main event fight. I theorize that the winner of this fight could have a strong case for getting the next crack at Combate featherweight glory.

We’ll see how things play out with that. Canetti could have a rubber match with Andrés Quintana but the main event winner at Combate Americas Monterrey could also be sitting pretty in the context of that contender conversation.

Flores vs Elpidio Tale of the Tape

Flores
VS
Elpidio

16-2 Record 9-3-1
6 Knockouts 1
2 Submissions 2
VFS Academy/
Lions Alpha Team
Gym/Camp affiliation Renzo Gracie Mexico
5’10 Height 5’6
70″ Reach N/A

The four-inch height advantage is a hard to ignore stat. Though Elpidio’s reach wasn’t available, I would theorize that the four-inch height advantage translates to an edge in reach for Flores. The odds are very much slanted in Elpidio’s favor for this bout. Elpidio seems like a durable guy so I don’t see a finish happening necessarily. I see Flores winning via unanimous decision in the top of the marquee prize fight for Combate Americas Monterrey.

Pick: Flores (-270)

Marroquín vs Gonzalez Odds

Fighter Odds
Levy Saúl Marroquín +101
 Enrique Gonzalez -131

The co-main is another bout that’s key for fleshing out the Combate featherweight rankings. Marroquin is looking to rebound from a loss he took in his last fight which was a unanimous decision loss to main event fighter Alejandro Flores. It will be interesting to see how Marroquin aims to bounce back after having a four-fight win streak under the Combate banner recently stopped.

Marroquin Returns to Win Column

Marroquin has a stronger strength of schedule than Gonzalez and also has additional experience. I’m admittedly puzzled as to how oddsmakers have Gonzalez as a decent favorite in this fight. There’s a lot of value in betting Marroquin as an underdog here. The winner of this fight could very well get the loser of the main event next or some other top-ten or even a top-five Combate featherweight.

It seems like there’s some recency bias with oddsmakers favoring Gonzalez who has back to back wins as opposed to Marroquin who’s on the heels of an L. If you look at it from a bigger picture perspective though, you’ll see that Gonzalez is 2-2 in his last four while Marroquin is 3-1. Gonzalez is also 1-0 under the Combate banners so there’s an element of “the shiny new toy” kind of rhetoric coming to the forefront.

I mean he’s technically undefeated with Combate but I think Marroquin’s CAMMA experience gives him a strong edge. Marroquin also has the home-field advantage with Monterrey being his hometown. I think the partisan crowd will galvanize Marroquin’s spirit en route to a unanimous decision win.

Pick: Marroquín (+101)

Combate Americas Monterrey Remaining Card Odds

Fighter Odds
Ana Palacios -170
Lezly Hinojosa Compean +140
Fighter Odds
Ivan Perez -180
Ernesto Quiroga Rodriguez +150
Fighter Odds
Fernando Gonzalez Trevino -155
Álvaro Herrera +125
Fighter Odds
Emanuel Rivero +275
Ricardo Arreola -350
Fighter Odds
Alma Cespedes +300
Criszaida Adames -400
Author Image
Discussion

Let's have fun and keep it civil.