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Cavaliers vs Knicks Game 4 Predictions, Picks & Player Props to Target

Eric Rosales

by Eric Rosales in NBA Basketball

Updated Apr 22, 2023 · 11:12 PM PDT

Jalen Brunson thumbs up
Apr 21, 2023; New York, New York, USA; New York Knicks guard Jalen Brunson (11) reacts during the fourth quarter of game three of the 2023 NBA playoffs against the Cleveland Cavaliers at Madison Square Garden. Mandatory Credit: Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports
  • The New York Knicks are -140 favorites in their Game 4 matchup with the Cavaliers
  • Cleveland registered a league-low 79 points in a Game 3 loss to trail the series 2-1
  • Check out the latest Cavaliers vs Knicks Game 4 picks, plus injury news, betting splits and prop bets to target

It’s the throwback series of the East’s NBA Playoff Bracket, and the next slugfest between the Cleveland Cavaliers and New York Knicks will go a long way to determining who advances to Round 2.

The Knicks squeezed the Cavs in a 99-79 Game 3 win, to take a 2-1 series lead. With Brooklyn eliminated Saturday, the Knicks and Cavs are the two-lowest scoring teams left in the playoffs.

New York is trying to win their first playoff series since 2013.

Game 4 goes Sunday (April 23) at 1pm ET from Madison Square Garden in New York.

Cavaliers vs Knicks Game 4 Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Cleveland Cavaliers +2.5 (-110) +120 O 206.5 (-110)
New York Knicks -2.5 (-110) -140 U 206.5 (-110)

The NBA odds have the Knicks as 2.5-point favorites, and -140 on the moneyline, an implied win probability of 58.33%. The total is 206.5 points — a full five points below the Game 3 total that was set.

Both teams have yet to combine to score over 200 points in any game this series.

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Odds as of April 22 at DraftKings Sportsbook

Cleveland Betting Analysis

It was an absolute dud of a Game 3 for the Cavaliers, who were flying high into MSG after a 107-90 thumping last time out.

Besides a bleak 32-point first half, Cleveland went on to shoot just 31-for-80 from the field, a paltry 38.8% clip. That included a dismal 7-for-33 mark from distance (21.2%), and a 10-for-17 mark from the stripe.

It didn’t help that Cleveland turned the ball over 20 times. Their 79 points scored was the lowest output of any team in the NBA this season.

After a 32-point outburst in Game 2, Darius Garland couldn’t get it going, shooting just 4-for-21 from the field, scoring just 10 points, with three assists and four steals. Donovan Mitchell led the way with 22 points, seven boards and five dimes, but also committed a team-high six turnovers.

Cleveland shifted Isaac Okoro to the bench in favor of starting Caris LeVert, but that didn’t help, as LeVert started the game 0-for-6 shooting, before finishing with 17 points, four boards and three dimes.

New York Betting Analysis

With Julius Randle struggling, it was the perfect game for RJ Barrett to break out of his early-series funk.

The Canadian had 19 points, eight rebounds and three assists in Game 3, after shooting just 6-for-25 for 21 points in the first two games. Jalen Brunson led the team in scoring with 21 points, four rebounds and six assists, as five Knicks finished in double-digit scoring.

Randle shot just 3-for-15 from the field for 11 points, eight rebounds and three assists. He hit just 2-for-10 from downtown.

On the injury front, guard Quentin Grimes played just 13 minutes as he suffered a shoulder injury. He’s listed as questionable for Sunday.

New York is shooting just 42% in the playoffs, which ranks last, and they are 15th in 3-point shooting, hitting at a 27.5% clip from distance.

The Knicks are cashing in on Cleveland’s carelessness with the basketball. The Cavs are last in the playoffs, turning it over 17.7 times per game, and New York is scoring a playoff-best 27.7 points off turnovers. The Knicks are also tied with the Nuggets for the 2nd-most fast-break points at 16.

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Cavaliers vs Knicks Prop Bets & Predictions

Cleveland has gone as Garland has gone. He went for 17 in Game 1 and 10 in Game 3, sandwiched between a 32-point gem in Game 2. If you think he’s bouncing back, then targeting him to crack 21.5 points at -105 odds is the right play.

After dropping 27 in a Game 1 win, Brunson has averaged 20.5 over the last two on 42.9% shooting. His assist totals, however, have climbed to six per contest. I think he’s due for a breakout scoring game, and at +105 odds to go under the 5.5 assist mark, there’s value there.

This game may seems like a prime Mitchell star-level performance. In the last two games, he’s gone under the points-rebounds-assists total set for Sunday of 38.5. However, working on the assumption Garland gets back to his high level of play, though, Mitchell’s statline should fall under the total again.

As for the game, these teams have hit the under in five of the last six meetings, while New York is 5-1 against the spread in the last six meetings. Cleveland has struggled in Gotham of late, going 2-5 ATS.

Pick: UNDER 206.5 points (-110)

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