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January 23rd NBA Props – Best Player Prop Bets for Seven Saturday Games

Chris Amberley

by Chris Amberley in NBA Basketball

Updated Jan 23, 2021 · 7:15 AM PST

Zion Williamson and Brandon Imgram
Brandon Ingram ha been hot from beyond the arc recently, draining 7 of his past 14 long range looks. Photo by: Erik Drost [Flickr]
  • The NBA season rolls on Saturday with seven games
  • Player props are available for many of the league’s biggest stars
  • See below to find out where we think the betting value lies

Basketball junkies are going to have a hard time pulling themselves off the couch on Saturday. In addition to a loaded college hoops slate, the NBA is rolling out seven games with the first one tipping off at 8 pm EST.

Many of the games biggest stars will be in action, as the Lakers, Nets and Warriors are all suiting up, but it’s not necessarily the big names that attracting our eye in the player props market.

NBA Player Props – Saturday January 23

Heat vs Nets Points Rebounds Assists Three Pointers Made
Kyrie Irving (BKN) 24.5 (Ov -110 / Un -110) 4.5 (Ov -104 / Un -118) 5.5 (Ov +116 / Un -142) 2.5 (Ov -164 / Un +128)
Kevin Durant (BKN) 27.5 (Ov -102 / Un -120) 6.5 (Ov -132 / Un +108) 5.5 (Ov +120 / Un -148) 2.5 (Ov -120 / Un -105)
James Harden (BKN) 24.5 (Ov -110 / Un -110) 6.5 (Ov +100 / Un -122) 9.5 (Ov +104 / Un -128) 3.5 (Ov +124 / Un -158)
Pelicans vs Timberwolves Points Rebounds Assists Three Pointers Made
Brandon Ingram (NOP) 22.5 (Ov -114 / Un -107) 5.5 (Ov -128 / Un +104) N/A 2.5 (Ov +128 / Un -164)
Zion Williamson (NOP) 24.5 (Ov -110 / Un -110) 8.5 (Ov +102 / Un -124) 5.5 (Ov +118 / Un -144) N/A
D’Angelo Russell (MIN) 22.5 (Ov -104 / Un -118) 3.5 (Ov -118 / Un -104) 4.5 (Ov +120 / Un -148) 3.5 (Ov -130 / Un +102)
Malik Beasley (MIN) 18.5 (Ov -116 / Un -106) 9.5 (Ov +108 / Un -132) 4.5 (Ov -138 / Un +112) 3.5 (Ov +104 / Un -132)
Warriors vs Jazz Points Rebounds Assists Three Pointers Made
Stephen Curry (GSW) 29.5 (Ov -108 / Un -114) 5.5 (Ov +114 / Un -140) 5.5 (Ov -116 / Un -114) 4.5 (Ov +108 / Un -138)
Andrew Wiggins (GSW) 17.5 (Ov -104 / Un -118) 5.5 (Ov -134 / Un +110) 2.5 (Ov +126 / Un -154) 1.5 (Ov -156 / Un +122)
Donovan Mitchell (UTA) 26.5 (Ov -106 / Un -116) 4.5 (Ov +112 / Un -138) 5.5 (Ov +120 / Un -148) 3.5 (Ov +105 / Un -135)
Bojan Bogdanovic (UTA) 14.5 (Ov -116 / Un -106) 2.5 (Ov +104 / Un -128) N/A 2.5 (Ov -108 / Un -114)
Lakers vs Bulls Points Rebounds Assists Three Pointers Made
LeBron James (LAL) 25.5 (Ov -110 / Un -120) 7.5 (Ov -139 / Un +115) 8.5 (Ov +110 / Un -134) N/A
Anthony Davis (LAL) 23.5 (Ov -104 / Un -120) 9.5 (Ov +110 / Un -134) 3.5 (Ov -107 / Un -114) 2.5 (Ov +110 / Un -143)
Zach LaVine (CHI) 24.5 (Ov -110 / Un -110) 5.5 (Ov +132 / Un -162) 4.5 (Ov -139 / Un +115) N/A
Coby White (CHI) 15.5 (Ov +102 / Un -124) N/A 4.5 (Ov -120 / Un -110) N/A
Rockets vs Mavericks Points Rebounds Assists Three Pointers Made
Tim Hardaway Jr 17.5 (Ov +100 / Un -122) 3.5 (Ov -122 / Un +100) N/A 3.5 (Ov +126 / Un -162)
Luka Doncic (DAL) 28.5 (Ov -102 / Un -120) 9.5 (Ov -118 / Un -104) 10.5 (Ov +118 / Un -144) 2.5 (Ov +112 / Un -142)
Kristaps Porzingis (DAL) 21.5 (Ov -106 / Un -116) 9.5 (Ov -115 / Un -105) N/A 2.5 (Ov +142 / Un -184)
Nuggets vs Suns Points Rebounds Assists Three Pointers Made
Nikola Jokic (DEN) 22.5 (Ov -118 / Un -106) 10.5 (Ov -104 / Un -118) 8.5 (Ov -110 / Un -110) 1.5 (Ov +196 / Un -260)
Jamal Murray (DEN) 19.5 (Ov -102 / Un -120) 3.5 (Ov -105 / Un -115) 4.5 (Ov -110 / Un -110) 1.5 (Ov -178 / Un +138)

Odds taken Jan. 23rd from FanDuel.

Prop #1: Brandon Ingram Over 22.5 Points

Betting overs on player props is not something I usually do, but it’s hard to resist picking on the Minnesota Timberwolves’ atrocious defense. Minny ranks fourth worst in points allowed, and are yielding the league’s sixth highest field goal percentage to enemy shooters. They’ve surrendered at least 124 points seven times already entering play on Friday, which sets up perfectly for New Orleans’ Brandon Ingram.

The lanky small forward is fresh off one of his most efficient shooting performances of the season, knocking down 57.1% of his looks against a tough Utah Jazz defense. He’s launched at least 15 attempts in four of his past five games, shooting 18 times in three of those outings. He’s regained his outside touch, burying 7 of his past 14 long range attempts, and has a career high usage rate through 14 games.

Also working in his favor is the fast paced nature of Timberwolves games. Only six teams play at a faster pace than Minnesota, meaning increased possessions are coming Ingram’s and the Pelicans way.

Pick: Brandon Ingram Over 22.5 points (-114)

Prop #2: Andrew Wiggins Under 17.5 Points

While we want to target players facing the Timberwolves, it’s usually a good rule of thumb to avoid players against the Utah Jazz. Utah is limiting enemy shooters to the lowest field goal percentage in the West (44.1%), and only two teams in the entire league allow fewer points per game.

That spells trouble for Golden State’s Andrew Wiggins, who despite being in the midst of a fantastic stretch of ball, is worth fading on Saturday.

Wiggins has been getting it done with his jumper lately and is shooting a career-high 39.7% from beyond the arc. The Jazz are sixth best at defending the three, and should they lock down the Canadian, don’t expect him to get to the hoop. He’s gotten to the line three or fewer times in six of his past nine games, and when he does get there he’s knocking down only 64.1% of his free looks.

Betting on him to eclipse this number is betting on his extreme efficiency to continue and that’s not something I’m willing to do. Also working against him is Utah’s slow, methodical pace. Only three teams play slower than Utah, which should cost Golden State a few possessions in this matchup.

Pick: Andrew Wiggins Under 17.5 points (-118)

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