MIN Timberwolves vs LA Lakers Odds, Player-Prop Picks & Predictions for Game 5
By Sascha Paruk in NBA Basketball
Published:
- The Lakers need a win at home in Game 5 to stave off elimination against the Timberwolves
- The Lakers are heavy favorites to extend the series on Wednesday night
- See the Game 5 Timberwolves vs Lakers odds, player-prop picks, and predictions on April 30
The Los Angeles Lakers (50-32, 31-10 home) were pushed to the brink of elimination on Sunday night during a narrow 116-113 road loss to the Minnesota Timberwolves (49-33, 24-17 away), a game LA led by as many as nine in the fourth quarter. Backs against the wall, the Lakers will host the T-Wolves at crypto.com Arena in Game 5 of the best-of-seven series on Wednesday at 7:10 pm PT/10:10 pm ET.
The good news for Lakers fans is that oddsmakers firmly believe they’ll live to see another day. Los Angeles is a 6.0-point home favorite in tonight’s Timberwolves vs Lakers odds.
Timberwolves vs Lakers Odds (Game 5)
On the moneyline, the Lakers are priced at -260 to win, which amounts to a 72.22% implied win probability. The T-Wolves come back at +210, which carries a 32.26% implied win probability. The game total is sitting at 209.5 with the over slightly favored at -115 in Wednesday’s NBA odds.
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Anthony Edwards (29.8 PPG, 7.8 RPG, 5.8 APG in postseason) was the hero in Minnesota’s Game 4 comeback victory, scoring a series-high 43 points on 52.2% shooting (12-of-23, including 5-of-10 from three). He also added nine rebounds and a team-high six assists with just one turnover while playing 44 of 48 minutes.
Jaden McDaniels (19.8 PPG, 7.3 RPG, 1.8 APG) and Rudy Gobert (3.5 PPG, 6.3 RPG) both finished with double-digit rebounds as Minnesota wound up +8 on the glass. The T-wolves now have a 52.1 REB% in the series to LA’s 47.9%. Luka Doncic (30.8 PPG, 7.0 RPG, 5.0 APG) had a team-high 38 points in a losing effort for the Lakers, going 13-of-28 from the floor.
MIN vs LAL Series Scores
Games 1 and 2 of the series stayed under the total by 3.5 and 32.5 points, respectively, but Games 3 and 4 both well went over (by 12.5 and 20.5 points).
The winner has also covered the spread in each of the first four games in the series. The closest was Game 4, when the T-Wolves won by three and covered as 2.5-point chalk.
Timberwolves vs Lakers Player Props (Game 5)
NBA player props from DraftKings on April 30.
Doncic has his highest point total of the series so far at 32.5 O/U, as does Edwards at 28.5 O/U after his 43-point explosion in Game 4.
LeBron James (26.3 PPG, 9.5 RPG, 5.5 APG) has the highest rebound total of the night at 9.5 O/U while he and Doncic both have assist totals of 6.5 O/U.
Minnesota Timberwolves vs Los Angeles Lakers Predictions & Picks
- Gobert under 8.5 rebounds (-105) at DraftKings
- Jaden McDaniels over 8+ rebounds (+250) at FanDuel
I’m staying away from any plays on the moneyline or total tonight. I backed Minnesota in Games 1 and 2, and I’m having a hard time figuring out which version of the Wolves we’ll see tonight.
One thing I am confident in, though, is that Rudy Gobert’s minutes will continue to be decreased to the benefit of both Nax Rid and Jaden McDaniels. Gobert is averaging just 26 MPG in the postseason (down from 33.2 MPG in the regular season) and he logged the most minutes in Minny’s Game 2 loss (29).
Everyone with eyes can see that Minnesota’s offense is way better with floor-spacing Naz Reid at the five, and the Lakers just don’t have the size to make the Timberwolves pay at the other end for going “small”.
A correlated play with the under on Gobert’s rebound total (8.5) is McDaniels to hit eight rebounds at a juicy price of +250. He went over that number in Games 1 and 4, while grabbing four boards in Game 2 and five in Game 3. He’s averaging 7.3 RPG for the series as a whole, while playing 36.8 MPG.
Yes, that’s a big jump from the 5.7 RPG he averaged during the regular season, but it’s fully explained by the increase in minutes (28.5 MPG in regular season) that I fully expect to continue in Game 5.
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Managing Editor
Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.
