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Opening 2020-21 NBA Season Win Totals Replaced by Percentages – See Numbers for All 30 Teams

Eric Rosales

by Eric Rosales in NBA Basketball

Nov 26, 2020 · 6:30 AM PST

Khris Middleton holding ball and talking to team at halfcourt
Khris Middleton and the Milwaukee Bucks are in Tampa to take on the Raptors Wedesday night. (Photo by Jevone Moore/Icon Sportswire)
  • Milwaukee Bucks given top win percentage odds for upcoming NBA season
  • Reigning NBA Champion Lakers are second; Cleveland Cavaliers are last
  • We look at the win total percentage odds, and tell you which ones we like best

Keeping with the “new normal” theme, even NBA betting is being taken for a loop.

Because of the reduced 72-game schedule — courtesy of COVID-19 — and the fact the league is only releasing the first 36 games, in part to fill in any potential postponements in the first half of the year into the second half, oddsmakers are going by win total percentage.

That’s a change from the usual win totals, and it may be a little jarring to adjust. That’s what we’re here for: to break these down and find the best bets.

NBA Win Total Odds

Team Total Win Percentage Over Odds Under Odds
Atlanta Hawks 47.5 -106 -118
Boston Celtics 63.5 -108 -115
Brooklyn Nets 62.5 -112 -112
Charlotte Hornets 36.5 -105 -120
Chicago Bulls 41.5 -113 -110
Cleveland Cavaliers 30.5 -113 -110
Dallas Mavericks 57.5 -113 -110
Denver Nuggets 60.5 -110 -113
Detroit Pistons 32.5 -113 -110
Golden State Warriors 54.5 -106 -118
Indiana Pacers 54.5 -106 -118
Los Angeles Clippers 65.5 -109 -114
Los Angeles Lakers 66.5 -114 -109
Memphis Grizzlies 40.5 -118 -106
Miami Heat 59.5 -115 -107
Milwaukee Bucks 68.5 -107 -117
Minnesota Timberwolves 41.5 -114 -109
New Orleans Pelicans 48.5 -113 -110
New York Knicks 31.5 +108 -125
Oklahoma City Thunder 35.5 +108 -134
Orlando Magic 43.5 -106 -118
Philadelphia 76ers 59.5 -114 -109
Phoenix Suns 52.5 -117 -107
Portland Trail Blazers 56.5 -109 -114
Sacramento Kings 40.5 -109 -114
San Antonio Spurs 42.5 -110 -113
Toronto Raptors 57.5 -113 -110
Utah Jazz 59.5 -114 -109
Washington Wizards 39.5 -113 -110

Odds from DraftKings taken on November 25

If you count the table and notice just 29 teams, it’s not by chance. Missing from action are the Houston Rockets, who are in such major limbo even sportsbooks don’t know what to do with them. While we wait to see how that plays out, let’s look at some notable Win Total odds, starting with the team projected to lead the league once again in regular season W’s.

Fear The Dear Season

With back-to-back MVP Giannis Antetokounmpo entering the final season of what could be a doomsday scenario, the Milwaukee Bucks are still topping the charts, which would be a third straight season they’ve led the league in regular season wins.

The .685 winning percentage is a dip from the last two seasons, where they’ve gone .767 last year and .732 in 2018-19. It’s hard enough to stay at a 75% win clip and even harder when you overhaul your roster in the hopes your best player signs a supermax.

That’s exactly what Milwaukee did, shipping out regulars George Hill, Eric Bledsoe, Wesley Matthews, Robin Lopez, Marvin Williams and Kyle Korver. Incoming are Jrue Holiday, DJ Augustin, Bobby Portis, Bryn Forbes, Torrey Craig.

The good: Holiday is easily the best player in this multi-swap, and his presence alone will allow Khris Middleton to take that 3,000 pound pressure gorilla off his back when the team needs additional support beyond Giannis.

The bad: a botched sign-and-trade that was supposed to bring them stud Bogdan Bogdanovic hurts, and the rest of the pieces that Milwaukee now has are good, but not great. If that sounds familiar, unless Holiday all-stars out, it’s because it is.

Thankfully, that’s postseason talk. With Giannis at the helm and at the peak of his athletic powers (he averaged 29.5 points, 13.6 rebounds and 5.3 assists on 55.3% shooting in under 31 minutes a game last year), the regular season wins will continue to come easy.

Cleveland Doesn’t Rock

At the other end of the spectrum, it’s hard times in the land that LeBron left (twice). Cleveland was one of four teams last season that failed to break the .300 win barrier, and they lost one of their few best players in Tristan Thompson.

Kevin Love must be dying  to resurrect his career elsewhere. Assuming he’s on the outs, a mish-mash of guys with experience like Andre Drummond, JaVale McGee, Dante Exum, Larry Nance Jr and Cedi Osman are left to help nurture and develop Collin Sexton, Darius Garland, Kevin Porter and this year’s top draft pick Isaac Okoro.

It’s bleak in Cleveland, and expect them to plunge under that 30.5 total.

The LA Story

Fresh of their NBA title, which was literally just a month ago, the Los Angeles Lakers have been given a generous total of 66.5. Total that up over a 72-game slate, and the Lakers would need to go 48-24 to hit the over.

Even if I do believe they will start out little sluggish, barring injury, there’s literally no way Los Angeles doesn’t win 50 games this year.

James and Anthony Davis are the best duo in the league, and Rob Pelinka went to town on the offseason, putting together a roster that can compete all year without taxing their superstars.

The Clippers are right behind their Staples Center bros at 65.5. Their regular season means something, but like the Bucks, their demon-slaying will happen after Game 72.

Rumors that Kawhi Leonard’s load management was a sticking point won’t change, as Leonard is likely in this mode for the rest of his career. Paul George needs a renaissance season to remind everyone he was once an MVP candidate. But even with chemistry issues, this team mashed in the West. They’re just more talented than most in the regular season.

Intriguing Options

Who know who’s intriguing? The Golden State Warriors. They aren’t winning a title without Klay Thompson, but with Steph Curry back and at least a serviceable roster with Draymond Green, Kelly Oubre and second overall pick James Wiseman flanking him, GState is better equipped to handle a the regular season than they were last year, when they collapsed to the worst winning percentage in the league (.231).

They’d need to go 40-32 to crack the over, and I think they just fall short.

But a team that should hit 41 wins this year with some ease are the Portland Trail Blazers. Lauded as having one of the top offseasons in the NBA, Dame Lillard and CJ McCollum have some running mates. Jusuf Nurkic, Rodney Hood and Robert Covington round out a solid top five, while ‘Melo, Gary Trent, Zach Collins, Enes Canter, Harry Giles and Derrick Jones Jr give them interchangeable parts to play any style.

And sprinkle some on the Toronto Raptors. Do you know that the only team North of the border has played better than .600 basketball in the last five seasons, and haven’t dipped below their projected threshold since the 2012-13 year? That’s when they were still picking up the pieces after losing Chris Bosh.

This team has been playing at a high clip for a long time. Losing Serge Ibaka and Marc Gasol might hurt a bit, but locking up Fred Vanvleet keeps a a serious core intact with talent developing in the TO pipeline. They crush 57.5 with wins to spare.

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