- OKC Thunder rookie Chet Holmgren suffered a serious foot injury over the weekend in a Pro-am game
- His 2023 Rookie of the Year odds have dropped from +475 to +1000 as a result
- Is Holmgren still worth a bet or should you focus on another rookie like Paolo Banchero? Read on for the updated odds and analysis
Oklahoma City Thunder fans held their breath on Wednesday after it was revealed that rookie sensation Chet Holmgren has significant ligament damage after suffering a foot injury in Seattle over the weekend in a Pro-Am game. The second overall pick was guarding LeBron James and instantly came up hobbling. After the news broke, his 2023 NBA Rookie of the Year odds have faded from an average of +475 two months ago to +1000.
It’s unknown how much time Holmgren could miss as doctors determine his timetable for return, but it certainly has shaken up the ROTY race.
Editor’s note: this story was published prior to the announcement that Holmgren would miss the entirety of the 2022-23 season. He has since been take off the board in the NBA Rookie of the Year odds.
2023 NBA Rookie of the Year Odds
|Jabari Smith Jr
Odds as of August 24th at DraftKings Sportsbook.
Does Holmgren Still Have a Chance at ROTY?
There’s still around a month until training camp begins, but foot injuries can linger. Nevertheless, we just don’t know how much time he could truly miss. It’s a toss-up. Holmgren was surely going to have a rather established role for the Thunder from the get-go and that’s exactly why he was in the mix in the 2023 NBA Rookie of the Year odds.
— Bleacher Report (@BleacherReport) August 24, 2022
To be honest though, with how Holmgren’s built, I personally think it will take him some time to grow into his body and succeed at the NBA level. There’s also Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Josh Giddey on this OKC squad who are likely to get more touches than Holmgren.
Even at +475, Holmgren wasn’t worth a shot. Regardless of how long the big man is out, he’s not the ROTY pick.
Other 2023 NBA ROY Betting Options
Personally, I see Paolo Banchero of the Orlando Magic as the clear-cut Rookie of the Year favorite and the odds (+220) say just that. He’s stepping onto a team that is in dire need of a star who can take the bull by the horns and lead by example. Banchero is built for the NBA with a strong stature and very sound all-around skillset where he can score at all three levels. Sure, Orlando isn’t a contender in NBA Championship odds, but he will make them a lot better.
Massive news to the Rookie of the Year market. Chet Holmgren had the 2nd best odds on the board.
The biggest boost should be to Paolo Banchero. It felt like he and Chet were in their own tier. This news widens his gap from the field. https://t.co/xc6nzhC3vL
— Kevin Walsh Jr. (@TheKevinWalsh) August 24, 2022
Another dark horse is Sacramento Kings wing, Keegan Murray. He absolutely balled out in the Summer League, taking home MVP after averaging 23.3 points, 7.3 rebounds, and two assists per contest. With Sacramento a little bit thin at the forward position, Murray should get lots of opportunities to shine in Year 1. He just proved in Vegas that he’s more than capable of getting buckets at the pro level.
You also can’t sleep on Jabari Smith Jr or Jaden Ivey. Smith has a breathtaking shot and is a seamless fit on a young, exciting Houston Rockets team. Ivey meanwhile has a Ja Morant-like motor and also fits the direction the Detroit Pistons are heading.
Jaden Ivey in the lab with Russ 🤝
— NBA on ESPN (@ESPNNBA) August 23, 2022
Chet Holmgren is going to be a very good player for many years to come. If his injury isn’t too serious, I expect him to impress in his freshman campaign. But, there are better options in the 2023 NBA Rookie of the Year odds like Banchero.
Pick: Paolo Banchero (+220)