Thunder vs Pacers Picks, Player Props & Odds for Game 6

• The OKC Thunder and Indiana Pacers meet in Game 6 at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Thursday
• The Thunder are one win away from their first championship since moving from Seattle
• See the Thunder vs Pacers picks, player props, and best bets for June 19th

The Oklahoma City Thunder and Indiana Pacers meet on Thursday night at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in what could be the last game of the season. Up 3-2 in the best-of-seven series, the Thunder are one win away from bringing the first NBA championship to Oklahoma City. Game 6 tips-off at 7:35 pm CT/8:35 pm ET and the Thunder are a sizable favorite, as they have been in each and every game of the NBA Finals (and the entire postseason).

Thunder vs Pacers Odds & Betting Lines

The spread currently ranges from OKC -6.0 to -6.5. Thunder bettors can get -6.0 at -110 at Caesars, while Pacers bettors can get +6.5 (-114) at FanDuel. On the moneyline, Caesars – counterintuitively – has the longest odds on an Indiana win at +205. The best odds on an OKC victory are -230 at either bet365 or DraftKings. Over bettors should head to BetMGM where the game total is 221.5 with -115 odds on the over. Under bettors can find the best number at DraftKings, where under 222.0 is price at -108.

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OKC’s NBA championship odds shot to a hyper-short -1638, on average, after taking Game 5. Indiana is now a +913 longshot to win its first NBA title in franchise history.

OKC Thunder vs IND Pacers Player Props (Game 6)

NBA player props from bet365 on June 19th.

SGA’s point total has come down a point to 34.5, which is still ten more than any other player on either team. Coming off his massive 40-point outburst on Monday, Jalen Williams’ point total has increased from 21.5 to 23.5, his highest of the series. Williams has gone over 23.5 in three straight.

On the Indiana side, Pascal Siakam’s point total has increased from 19.5 to 21.5. The Pacers’ leading scorer had 28 in Game 5, but that was the first time he went over 21.5 in the NBA Finals.

The player whose point total rose the most is Indiana backup point guard TJ McConnell, who went from 7.5 to 10.5 O/U. McConnell poured in a 18 points in 22 minutes in Game 5, and stands a good chance to see increased minutes in Game 6. All-Star point guard Tyrese Haliburton () is a game-time decision due to a calf injury that has noticeably slowed him down.

Thunder vs Pacers Picks for Game 6

• McConnell over 10.5 points (-105) at bet365
• Pacers moneyline (+205) at Caesars

Even while Haliburton was mostly healthy in the first four games of the series. McConnell was averaging 10.0 PPG without playing more than 18 minutes in any of the four games. With increased minutes in Game 5, the Arizona product took full advantage, shooting 8-of-14 from the field. He’s now connecting at 54.8% from the field against OKC and has shown an increased willingness to shoot the three, averaging one attempt three-point attempt per game compared to just 0.6 in the regular season. He’s also connecting at a higher clip (3-of-5 in the finals and 42.1% in the postseason as a whole, compared to 30..6% in the regular season).

I’m also backing the Pacers on the moneyline, just as I did in Games 3 and 4. Indiana was full value for their Game 3 victory at home (116-107) and took a seven-point lead into the fourth quarter of Game 4 before imploding and failing to cover the spread in a 111-104 loss.

The simple fact is that, in Indiana, these games are far more of a pick’em than the odds indicate. OKC’s -230 price tag gives the Thunder a 69.70% implied win probability. At +205, Indiana has just a 32.79% implied win probability, meaning the Pacers have positive expected-value if their real chance to win is at least 33%.