UFC Perth Predictions, Picks & Odds for Della Maddalena vs Prates Card

• Saturday’s UFC Perth is headlined by the Jack Della Maddalena vs Carlos Prates welterweight fight
• Della Maddalena is coming off a 5 round decision loss to Islam Makhachev, his lone UFC defeat
• See the UFC Fight Night picks, predictions and odds for Della Maddalena vs Prates and more

The UFC is back in Australia Saturday, meaning you can enjoy some championship-level mixed martial arts with your morning coffee. The card is headlined by the Jack Della Maddalena vs Carlos Prates welterweight bout, with the Aussie listed as a small underdog by online sportsbooks.

The UFC Perth prelims get underway at 4 am ET on Paramount+, with the main card fights scheduled to start at 7 am ET, also on Paramount+.

Here are the UFC Perth predictions, picks and odds for Della Maddalena vs Prates and more.

UFC Perth Main Card Odds

Odds as of May 1 at Bet365. Check out the best UFC betting apps for UFC Perth on Saturday.

As of Friday afternoon, the Australian Della Maddalena is a +105 underdog to the Brazilian. This line feels like it’s being inflated by Della Maddalena’s title loss to Islam Makhachev. While the Aussie was busy battling one of the all-time greats, Prates has been stacking wins against inferior competition. The Brazilian is coming off back-to-back knockout victories, but that doesn’t mean he should be favored in this matchup.

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UFC Perth Predictions: Della Maddalena Moneyline

Having said that, I’ll gladly take plus-money odds on who I perceive to be the better fighter. It also doesn’t hurt that he’ll be fighting in front of his home country fans.

Prates may be a devastating Muay Thai specialist with a sizeable reach advantage, but Della Maddalena is considered the superior technical boxer. Prates has shown he can be very hittable in previous bouts, and Della Maddalena’s ability to overwhelm opponents in tight can exploit Prates’ tendency to become stationary under pressure.

Jack Della Maddalena vs Carlos Prates Tale of the Tape

Unlike Prates’ recent opponents who were caught by knockout blows, Della Maddalena is known for his high-level defense, even in furious exchanges. He’s able to maintain a strong guard without sacrificing offensive volume, which will be necessary to survive Prates’ power.

The Aussie hasn’t been knocked out in a decade, and averages two more significant strikes per minute than his opponent, who’s been finished in five of his seven defeats.

• UFC Perth Picks #1: Jack Della Maddalena Moneyline (+105 at Bet365)

UFC Perth Predictions: Gaziev Moneyline

In addition to backing one Aussie in Della Maddalena, I’m also fading Australian Brando Pericic. The 6-5, 261-pounder is a favorite over Shamil Gaziev in their heavyweight bout, which is disrespectful to the much more seasoned fighter. Pericic has only two UFC bouts on his resume, while Gaziev is viewed as a gatekeeper of the division.

Gaziev enters the fight with an 86% finishing rate, and can find success by getting in close and pressuring the Aussie. Pericic wants to keep this fight at a distance, to maximize his kickboxing skills, but Gaziev will do everything he can to muddy this fight up. I trust the veteran to turn this bout into a close strike war or wrestling test, which favors him and is the exact type of fight Pericic wants to avoid.

• UFC Perth Picks #2: Shamil Gaziev (+115 at Bet365)