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NBA Title Odds Favor Warriors at -400 After Game 5 Win

Eric Rosales

by Eric Rosales in NBA Basketball

Jun 13, 2022 · 9:38 PM PDT

Andrew Wiggins hi-five with Draymond Green
Jun 13, 2022; San Francisco, California, USA; Golden State Warriors forward Andrew Wiggins (22) and forward Draymond Green (23) celebrate during the first half in game five of the 2022 NBA Finals against the Boston Celtics at Chase Center. Mandatory Credit: Kyle Terada-USA TODAY Sports
  • Warriors win Game 5 over Celtics, now heavy favorites to win NBA Championship
  • Boston loses consecutive games for the first time in the 2022 playoffs
  • We look at the updated Finals odds below and share our best betting advice

The Golden State Warriors are a win away from getting back to the top of the mountain.

After a 104-94 win over the Boston Celtics in Game 5 of the NBA Finals, the Dubs will look to claim their fourth championship since 2015.

Not surprisingly, GState is now an overwhelming favorite in the NBA Championship odds.

2022 NBA Finals Series Odds

Team Odds
Golden State Warriors -400
Boston Celtics +320

Odds as of June 13 at FanDuel Sportsbook

After moving to a -150 favorite following their crucial win in Game 4, the Warriors have extended to -400 title favorites. Boston, meanwhile, are now listed at a +320 series price.


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Warriors vs Celtics Series Analysis

Perhaps the biggest criticism of this edition of the Warriors was their lack of support around Steph Curry. Golden State, at least for one game, silenced that noise as their star guard struggled mightily Monday night.

A game after essentially saving the Warriors’ season with a 43-point bomb, Curry was held to 16 points on 7-for-22 shooting. That included an 0-for-9 mark from downtown — the first time he’s failed to nail a moneyball since November 2018.

Andrew Wiggins led the Dubs with 26 points and 13 boards, following up on his 17-point, 16-rebound effort in Game 4, making his case for Finals MVP. Klay Thompson added 21, including a 5-for-11 mark from deep.

Draymond Green, much maligned for his poor play in the Finals, had eight points, eight rebounds and seven assists. Jordan Poole and Gary Payton II combined for 29 points off the bench.

Boston dropped consecutive games for the first time in these playoffs, now 7-1 in that scenario. This is not unfamiliar territory for the Celtics, though. In the East semifinal, they trailed the Milwaukee Bucks 3-2 in their best-of-7, before rallying to win.

Their formula for success could be as simple as taking care of the basketball. The Celtics turned the ball over 18 times, falling to 1-7 in the postseason when crossing 16 turnovers. If they go sub-16 TOs, Boston is a sparkling 13-2. Jayson Tatum, Jaylen Brown and Marcus Smart combined for half of Boston’s turnovers in Game 6.

With the stakes at an all-time high, Celtics head coach Ime Udoka rolled the dice with his stars and rotation, playing Tatum and Brown the entire second half.

The results were mixed: the two helped spark Boston’s second-half surge, wiping out a 12-point deficit and winning the third quarter (35-24) for the first time in the Finals. They shot 5-for-10 from the floor, with three 3-point makes.

They didn’t seem to have much punch in the fourth quarter, though, shooting a combined 2-for-9, as the Warriors closed out Game 5 winning the final frame 29-20.

What’s the Best Bet?

Here’s hoping you laid down a wager on the Warriors far before the championship series, as there’s little value hopping on them at these current odds. They’ve got a chance to clinch in Boston in Game 6, with a Game 7 at Chase Center in their back pocket if necessary.

Barring a major injury, there’s likely no way GState is not still the series favorite even if this goes the distance.

Curry won’t play this poorly again, but can his co-stars play at an adequate level again to help close it out? The C’s have the deeper roster, but haven’t been able to find the best combination of size, shooting and ball handling for an entire 48 minutes.

Still, this is a prime opportunity to lay a wager on Boston (if you haven’t already). These will likely be the longest odds you can get on a team this close to winning a championship. Boston is just 6-5 at home in the playoffs, but this is setting up for a winner-take-all Game 7. Buckle up.

The pick: Celtics (+320)

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