Updated NBA Finals MVP Odds Entering Game 6: Kawhi Still Favored, Draymond Green’s Odds Get Boost With Durant Out

Kawhi Leonard defended by Klay Thompson
Kawhi Leonard is the favorite to win NBA Finals MVP. Photo from @AlexKennedyNBA (Twitter).
  • The Warriors have extended the NBA Finals with a wild win in Game 5
  • Kawhi Leonard is trying to wrap up his MVP campaign in style
  • Is there any other player worth betting for Finals MVP?

We’re getting awfully close to the end of the NBA season.

Minus a throwback performance from the Splash Brothers in Game 5, we might already be there.

The Toronto Raptors now move to Oracle Arena, taking swing two out of their three possible chances to clinch the title over the Warriors.

It’s time to check the latest odds for Finals MVP.

2019 NBA Finals MVP Odds

Player 2019 NBA Finals MVP Odds
Kawhi Leonard (Raptors) -275
Steph Curry (Warriors) +350
Draymond Green (Warriors) +550
Klay Thompson (Warriors) +1400
Kyle Lowry (Raptors) +3300
Pascal Siakam (Raptors) +3300
Serge Ibaka (Raptors) +3300
DeMarcus Cousins (Warriors) +5000
Marc Gasol (Raptors) +10000
Fred VanVleet (Raptors) +10000

*Odds taken 06/12/19

The most noticeable omission since the last set of odds were released is Warriors forward Kevin Durant sliding off the board and potentially off the court for the foreseeable future with a devastating Achilles injury.

With the wounded Warriors still standing, can they come back and steal the series, or is Kawhi’s coronation as the player in the NBA coming?

Leonard Almost Delivered Title in Toronto

Held mostly in check for much of Game 5, Kawhi came to life in the fourth quarter and delivered a spectacular two minute stretch of play that put the Raptors oh-so-close to capturing that elusive fourth win and franchise’s first NBA ‘chip.

Leonard’s personal 10-0 run, with a pair of deep contested triples and beastly drives to short pull-ups saw the Raptors go from a four point deficit to a six-point lead with 2:30 to play.

Leonard’s personal 10-0 run saw the Raptors go from a four point deficit to a six-point lead with 2:30 to play.

Alas, with a chance to expand the lead, Leonard tried a fadeaway that came up with air. On the very next trip down, Klay Thompson drilled a three to cut the lead to one possession, and the madness unfolded.

Steph Curry and Thompson splashed two more threes to give Golden State a lead they wouldn’t relinquish.

A smart double team on the Raptors’ final possession moved the ball out of Leonard’s hands, and a desperation Kyle Lowry shot was blocked by Draymond Green.

Despite not playing his best game, Leonard still finished with 26 points, 12 rebounds, six assists, two steals, and two blocks.

He’s putting together one of the best postseason runs in league history, averaging 30.9 points, 9.2 rebounds, and 4.0 assists, shooting 49.2% from the field and 38.6% from beyond the arc.

If Toronto wins the title, he’s the hands down MVP, and will receive strong consideration even if they lose.

What’s the Best Bet to Make?

If you didn’t get in on the ground floor with Leonard, you don’t really want him now at -275. But that’s still a better bet than taking the Raptors to win the series, a less enticing -315. If you think Toronto is taking it all, though, either bet will do.

It’s a little more confusing across the hall. The Warriors are literally running on fumes, with Steph and Klay doing much of the heavy lifting. The pair combined for 57 points and drilled 12 threes in Game 5, and Golden State barely had enough to bring it home.

The math is daunting for the Dubs: if the Splash Brothers go for 60, then the combination of Green, Andre Iguodala, Quinn Cook, Boogie Cousins, and Shaun Livingston (and whoever else they trot out there) is going to have to combine for something around 45-50 points to deliver a W. That’s a bad equation.

Fortunately, The Warriors bring title mettle, and Thompson has the ability and experience of needing to deliver in a Game 6. It’s also where the best value bet lies.

It’s a long shot, but if Thompson goes bonkers and lifts the Warriors to a winner-take-all Game 7, and the Dubs somehow win that, you can have the Warriors at +265 for the ‘chip, and Klay at a ridiculous +1400 to nab his first MVP.

You can also have Steph at +350. I mean, he is averaging 32.4 points this series, with a 47-point explosion in Game 3 on his Finals resume. If you are thinking Warriors, hedging might be a good option.

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