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Auburn vs LSU Odds, Lines, and Spread

Chris Amberley

by Chris Amberley in College Basketball

Updated Feb 19, 2021 · 5:52 PM PST

JT Thor Auburn Tigers
Auburn's JT Thor, top, shoots over Kentucky's Isaiah Jackson (23) as Kentucky head coach John Calipari, right, reacts during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game in Lexington, Ky., Saturday, Feb. 13, 2021. (AP Photo/James Crisp)
  • LSU is a 4.5-point home favorite over visiting Auburn on Saturday (Feb. 20th, 4 pm EST)
  • The over is 6-1 in Auburn’s last seven games
  • See below for analysis, odds and a betting prediction

It’s an SEC battle of the Tigers on Saturday (Feb. 20th, 4 pm EST) as Auburn travels to Baton Rouge to face LSU. Louisiana State (13-6, 8-4 SEC) enters play fresh off back-to-back wins for the first time in over a month, while Auburn (11-11, 5-8 SEC) has dropped three of its last four.

Auburn vs LSU Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Auburn Tigers +4.5 (-110) OFF Over 161.0 (-110)
LSU Tigers -4.5 (-110) OFF Under 161.0 (-110)

Odds taken Feb. 19th.

LSU opened up as a 4.5-point favorite, in a game that features a total of 161. Both of these programs excel on offense and bring shaky defense to the table, which should set up for a high-scoring, entertaining affair.

LSU Takes Down Tennessee

LSU is coming off a 13-point win last time out over #19 Tennessee, a result that almost got them back into the AP Top-25 rankings this week. The Tigers received 16 AP Top-25 votes, but ultimately came up just short. They’re 26th in NET rankings and currently on pace to be an 8 or 9 seed at the NCAA tournament next month.

Freshman Cam Thomas led the way with 25 versus the Vols, despite missing 10-of-16 attempts. JaVonte Smart added 20, while the team shot an impressive 51.9% against one of the best defenses in the conference.

LSU ranks third in points per game in the SEC, fourth in field goal percentage and fifth in 3-point makes. Defensively however, is a different story. They’re 10th in points against, 14th at defending the 3-point line, and seventh in defensive rebounding.

Over their past six outings, they’ve surrendered at least 76 points on four separate occasions, and allowed 105 and 82 points to Alabama and Kentucky respectively last month.

Auburn Falls Short vs Kentucky

Auburn meanwhile, fell to Kentucky 82-80 the last time they hit the court. JT Thor paced the offense with 24 points and 9 assists, knocking down 5-of-6 triples along the way. Allen Flanigan poured in 23, while Freshman Sharife Cooper splashed 14 points and dished out 8 assists.

The Tigers buried 11 triples against the Wildcats, shot 41.1% and won the rebounding battle, but turned it over 17 times and allowed Kentucky to shoot 45.8% from 3.

Auburn ranks second in the SEC in points per game and 3-point makes, first in assists and fifth in shooting percentage. Like LSU, its strong offense is not backed up with a quality defense. They surrender 79.7 points per outing, allow the conference’s seventh best shooting percentage and have given up north of 80 points in five of their last six contests.

Expect Plenty of Offense

This is going to be fast paced, high scoring affair so don’t let the seemingly high total of 161 scare you. Shots are going to be falling from all over the floor, so if you’re a defensive purist you may want to sit this one out.

The over is 6-1 in Auburn’s last seven outings, and their games aren’t just squeaking past the number, they are flying over the total. In those seven contests, the over is being exceeded by an average of 15.2 points, and Auburn games have produced a total higher than 161 five times in the last month alone.

LSU, not to be outdone, has had the lion’s share of its games go over the number as well. The over is 6-3 in LSU’s last nine outings, and 8-4 overall in SEC contests. Seven of their last 11 games have produced a total over 150, and this matchup can easily get over 161.

Pick: Over 161 (-110)

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