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2021 Final Four Odds – No ACC Teams Among the Top Ten Favorites

Sascha Paruk

by Sascha Paruk in College Basketball

Dec 22, 2020 · 7:51 AM PST

Duke's Wendell Moore Jr. calls a play
Duke's Wendell Moore Jr. (0) calls a play during an NCAA college basketball game against Brown in Durham, N.C., Saturday, Dec. 28, 2019. (AP Photo/Ben McKeown)
  • The updated Final Four odds don’t include a single team from the ACC in the top ten
  • Duke and Virginia were both among the top ten in the preseason
  • See how the odds have shifted after some poor performances from the conference powerhouses

The 2020-21 college basketball season is still in its infancy, but the early returns for the Atlantic Coast Conference are pretty disappointing.

Both Duke and Virginia were considered top-ten teams by oddsmakers, while Florida State and North Carolina were right on the cusp.

Based on the updated Final Four odds one month into the season, it’s clear that the betting world is none too high on any team in the ACC anymore.

2021 Final Four Favorites

# Team Current Odds Preseason Odds
1 Gonzaga -135 +148
2 Villanova +118 +115
3 Baylor +120 +138
4 Iowa +140 +188
5 Illinois +190 +308
6 Kansas +220 +242
7 Wisconsin +260 +283
8 Michigan State +263 +425
9 West Virginia +320 +425
10 Houston +325 +450
11 Duke +375 +750
12 North Carolina +375 +267
13 Creighton +425 +525
14 Virginia +425 +175
15 Kentucky +450 +175

Odds updated Dec. 21st, 2020.

Duke Is Slippin’

Duke started the season rated number two at KenPom. Five games later, they have slipped all the way to 12th.

The Blue Devils were outclassed by both Michigan State (75-69) and Illinois (83-68). Worse yet, they lost those games in Durham.

The final score of the MSU game flatters Duke. After they jumped out to a 13-3 lead, it was all Spartans. Michigan State was up 13 with three minutes to play. The final score of the Illinois game paints an accurate picture; Ayo Dosunmu’s Illini started the game on a 15-2 run and led by 14 at halftime. The lead was never in single digits after the 12-minute mark.

Virginia Ain’t Played Nobody … and Also Took a Bad Loss

Tony Bennett’s Cavaliers are 3-1 on the season, but haven’t beaten a team rated higher than 145th (Kent State) at KenPom. They lost their only game against a top-100 team, falling 61-60 to the San Francisco Dons on a neutral court in Uncasville, CT. The Wahoos were favored by 15.5 points.

Marquette transfer Joey Hauser is leading the way on offense, averaging 14.5 points per game along with 6.8 rebounds and 1.8 assists. But it’s clear that scoring is going to be an issue. They sit just 57th in offensive efficiency. The defense is still solid, but not as stifling as years prior. Rated first to being the season, it’s already fallen to fifth after just four games.

Florida State Might Be the Best ACC Team

The 5-1 Seminoles, like every other team in the conference (other than 2-0 Wake Forest), already has an ugly L on its resume, losing 86-74 to 94th-rated UCF at home. However, unlike many of its ACC brethren, FSU also has a few quality wins to rest its hat on.

They beat Indiana (69-67 OT ), rival Florida (83-71), and Georgia Tech (74-61) in the span of a week.

The caveat here is that the Seminoles have yet to leave Tallahassee. Last season, they were just 7-5 straight up on the road.

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