Upcoming Match-ups

Miami vs Pitt Odds, Lines, and Spread

Chris Amberley

by Chris Amberley in College Basketball

Updated Mar 10, 2021 · 1:43 PM PST

Justin Champagnie Pittsburgh Panthers
Pittsburgh's Justin Champagnie (11) shoots as North Carolina State's DJ Funderburk (0) defends during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game, Wednesday, Feb. 17, 2021, in Pittsburgh. (AP Photo/Keith Srakocic)
  • Pittsburgh is a 3-point favorite over Miami in the 1st Round of the ACC Tournament on Tuesday (March 9th, 2 pm ET)
  • The Panthers have seen their second and third leading scorers leave the team in the last two weeks
  • See below for analysis, odds and a betting prediction

The ACC Tournament tips off on Tuesday (March 9th, 2 pm ET) in Greensboro, NC with a matchup between two teams who look at lot different now than they did at the beginning of the season.

Pittsburgh (10-11, 6-10 ACC) has seen two of its top three scorers leave the program within the last two weeks, while Miami (8-16, 4-15 ACC) has been ravaged by injuries all year, and are down to six healthy scholarship players on its roster.

Miami vs Pittsburgh Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Miami Hurricanes +3.0 (-110) OFF Over 136.5 (-110)
Pittsburgh Panthers -3.0 (-110) OFF Under 136.5 (-110)

Odds taken March 8th at FanDuel.

The Hurricanes opened up as a 3-point underdog, in a game that features a total of 136.5. Miami has grown accustom to playing without plenty of players who were on their opening day roster, but for Pittsburgh, suiting up shorthanded is not something they’re used to.

Pitt Is a Team In Turmoil

A day after Xavier Johnson left the Panthers to enter the transfer portal, Au’Diese Toney did the same thing. The team’s second and third leading scorers accounted for 40% of Pittsburgh’s offense before their departures, and each shot above 50% from inside the three-point line.

Their absences now put even more pressure on Justin Champagnie, who is having arguably the best season of any player in the ACC. Champagnie leads the conference in rebounding (11.1 rpg) and ranks second behind Duke’s Matthew Hurt in points per game (18.4). He’s the only ACC player who averages a double-double per night, and is now the only Panther who pours in more than 8.9 points per contest.

Pitt has dropped two of three games since losing Johnson and Toney, with its lone win coming over a Wake Forest program that dropped seven straight to close out the season. The Panthers weren’t an elite offensive team before the departures, and have struggled to score since, averaging only 64.6 points per game. They managed just 62 points in their season finale, a 15-point loss to Clemson, and rank in the bottom-third of the ACC in points per game and field-goal percentage.

Miami Enters With Momentum

The Hurricanes meanwhile, finished the season on a high note, outlasting Boston College 80-76 to snap a six-game losing streak. Kameron McGusty led the way with a season-high 27 points, while Nysier Brooks splashed a career-high 21, and Anthony Walker racked up 17 points and 7 rebounds.

Miami has seen five of its players go down with season ending injuries this year, but has still produced some impressive outcomes. They beat Duke, and at the time a ranked Louisville team, while suffering two losses to #22 Virginia Tech by a combined 6 total points, and one possession defeats to UNC and Clemson.

Their offensive and defensive stats are porous, but keep in mind they’ve rarely had the same lineup on the floor for more than a game or two at a time. Now, with some stability restored, the trio of McGusty, Walker and Brooks playing well, and Isaiah Wong providing leadership at the point, the Hurricanes could make some noise this week.

Cash With the Canes

This is an easy fade Pittsburgh spot. The team is in turmoil, and you have to believe Miami will do everything they can to keep the ball away from Champagnie. The rest of the Panthers roster doesn’t scare anyone, while the Hurricanes have been kind to bettors recently.

Miami has covered its last two games as an underdog, and is 10-7 ATS this season. Pittsburgh on the other hand, is 4-8 in its last 12 ATS, and will likely struggle to find enough offense to win this game, let alone cover.

Pick: Miami Hurricanes +3 (-110)

Author Image