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Oklahoma St vs Oklahoma Odds, Lines, and Spread

Jordan Horrobin

by Jordan Horrobin in College Basketball

Feb 26, 2021 · 6:47 PM PST

Oklahoma Sooners
Oklahoma players celebrate after defeating West Virginia in double overtime of an NCAA college basketball game Saturday, Feb. 13, 2021, in Morgantown, W.Va. (AP Photo/Kathleen Batten)
  • #7 Oklahoma (14-6, 9-5 Big 12) battles Oklahoma State (15-6, 8-6 Big 12) on Saturday, Feb. 27 at 3 pm ET
  • These in-state rivals will meet twice in the coming three days as the Big 12 regular season winds down
  • The odds for the game, as well as matchup analysis and a pick, can be found in the article below

The in-state battle between Oklahoma and Oklahoma State will be twice as nice this week, as the Big 12 rivals meet Saturday, Feb. 27 at 3pm ET before engaging in a rematch two days later.

The Sooners are coming off their worst loss of the season β€” and just their second loss since Jan. 12 β€” while the Cowboys have won four of five thanks to an overtime thriller over Texas Tech on Monday. Here’s how the odds look for Act I between Oklahoma and Oklahoma State:

Oklahoma State vs #7 Oklahoma Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Oklahoma State +5 (-106) N/A Over 139.5 (-106)
Oklahoma -5 (-116) N/A Under 139.5 (-116)

Odds as of Feb. 26th, 2020 at FanDuel.

How They’ve Fared Recently

Oklahoma didn’t pick a great time to have its worst game of the season, but here we are. The Sooners fell on the road to Kansas State (182nd in KenPom), 62-57, on Tuesday as 10-point favorites.

The Sooners led by 6 inside the game’s final four minutes, but they allowed an 11-0 run that became their undoing. As a team, they shot just 4-of-20 (20 percent) from the 3-pt. line.

Oklahoma isn’t a good 3-pt. shooting team (32.7 percent, 229th in NCAA Division I), but they’re better than what they showed Tuesday. What the Sooners typically do best is take care of the basketball (11th in D-I in turnover rate) and limit opponents’ chances at the free throw line (fourth in D-I in free throw rate allowed). In roughly the past month, their resume includes wins over #6 Alabama, #10 West Virginia, #14 Texas and #17 Kansas.

Oklahoma State has some similarly impressive wins in recent games, beating Texas, #20 Arkansas and the aforementioned defeat of #18 Texas Tech.

Beating the Red Raiders marked the Cowboys’ fourth win in their past five games, which includes a double-OT win over Texas, a loss to Kansas and wins over Kansas State and Iowa State.

The Cowboys play quick (53rd in adjusted average tempo, per KenPom) and defend well (18th in adjusted defensive efficiency). This game could be a struggle for scorers.

ATS Analysis

Oklahoma is 12-8 against the spread this season, which includes an 8-3 home ATS record. They’ve lost three of their past four ATS, but at home they’ve covered in four of five.

Oklahoma State is 11-9-1 ATS overall, as well as 5-3-1 ATS on the road. The Cowboys have covered in consecutive games, and they’re 3-2 in their past five as the underdog.

Head-to-Head Matchup

It’s a bit strange at this point in the season for conference foes to be meeting for the first time, but that’s what’s happening with the Sooners and Cowboys (and as we’ve mentioned, they won’t be waiting long for their rematch).

They met four times total over the previous two seasons, with Oklahoma going 3-1 straight up and ATS. The favorite has won each of the recent matchups.

The Sooners returned three starters from last year, while the Cowboys returned just one. We like what Oklahoma has done recently in this matchup, and they’ll be looking to bounce back in a big way after losing to Kansas State earlier in the week.

Pick: Oklahoma -5 (-116)

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