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Clemson vs Arizona Prediction, Odds & Player Props to Bet (March 28)

Brady Trettenero

by Brady Trettenero in College Basketball

Updated Mar 28, 2024 · 11:27 AM PDT

Clemson's PJ Hall shoots a free throw
Clemson's PJ Hall (24) shoots a free throw during the first round game between Clemson University and University of New Mexico in the 2024 NCAA Tournament at FedExForum in Memphis, Tenn., on Friday, March 22, 2024.
  • We’ve made our Clemson vs Arizona prediction for the Sweet 16
  • The Wildcats are 7.5-point favorites in the latest Clemson vs Arizona odds
  • Read below for Clemson vs Arizona prediction, odds and player props

The No. 6 seed Clemson Tigers and the No. 2 seed Arizona Wildcats faceoff in the Sweet 16 of the 2024 March Madness NCAA Tournament on Thursday. Tipoff is set for 7:09 p.m. ET from Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles.

The latest Sweet 16 odds favor the Wildcats by 7.5 points over the Tigers. The over/under is offered at 152.5 points, while player props favor strong outings from Caleb Love and Oumar Ballo.

Let’s dive into our Clemson vs Arizona prediction, as we analyze the odds and provide player props to bet.

Clemson Tigers vs Arizona Wildcats Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Clemson +7.5 (-110) +250 Over 152.5 (-110)
Arizona -7.5 (-110) -300 Under 152.5 (-110)

In the Clemson vs Arizona odds, the Wildcats are -7.5-point favorites on the spread and -300 favorites on the moneyline. Arizona’s implied win probability based on these odds is 75%.

The latest Final Four odds show the Wildcats as the third betting choice (+120) to make the semi-finals, while the Tigers are +1100 longshots.

 

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Clemson vs Arizona odds as of March. 28 at BetMGM Sportsbook. Get up to $1,500 paid back in bonus bets with the sign up offer for BetMGM. Bettors who already have an account can check out March Madness betting apps

Clemson Tigers Betting Analysis

Clemson advanced to the Sweet Sixteen after defeating 11-seed New Mexico 77-56 in the first round and upsetting 3-seed Baylor 72-64 in the second round. For the season, Clemson is 26-9 overall and went 14-6 in ACC play to finish in a tie for third place.

Guard Chase Hunter led the way with 21 and 20 points in the two postseason victories. While Hunter stepped up in the opening two games, Clemson is led by 22-year-old senior PJ Hall.

The 6’10” junior is the Tigers’ leading scorer and rebounder, averaging 18.8 points and 6.7 boards per game. He shoots 49.2% from the field and 31.6% from three. However, Hall has battled foul trouble in his first two NCAA Tournament games, finishing with four in 19 minutes against New Mexico and fouling out in 20 minutes against Baylor.

Clemson plays at a slower pace, ranking 257th in adjusted tempo per KenPom. They are solid defensively, ranking 38th in adjusted defensive efficiency. The Tigers struggle to defend the three-point line, however, holding opponents to shoot 33.3% from deep (163rd in the nation).

The Tigers are 19-14-1 against the spread (ATS) and 17-17 in hitting the over. They’ve won outright in two straight games as betting underdogs, advancing their record to 6-3 straight up when the other team is favored. They are also 8-1 ATS as an underdog this season.

Arizona Wildcats Betting Analysis

Arizona cruised into the Sweet Sixteen with double-digit victories over 15-seed Long Beach State (85-65) and 7-seed Dayton (78-68). The Wildcats are now 27-8 overall after going 16-6 in Pac-12 play to fall just short of the regular season title.

The Wildcats have been led by senior guard Caleb Love, who put up 18 and 19 points in the two playoff victories. Depth has been the name of the game for Arizona this season, however, as four different players average more than 11 points per game.

YouTube video

Arizona boasts the nation’s ninth most efficient offense, per KenPom. They play at a fast tempo (16th) and shoot a high percentage from the field (48.9%, 15th). The Wildcats are especially dangerous from three-point range, knocking down 37.30% as a team (20th).

Defensively, Arizona is above-average, ranking 44th in adjusted efficiency. The Wildcats will be without starting point guard Henri Veesaar, who is out for the tournament with an elbow injury suffered in the preseason.

Arizona is 19-16 ATS and 16-19 in hitting the over this season. They’ve covered the spread as favorites in two consecutive games, including as massive 20-point chalk in the tournament opener. Prior to that, however, they failed to cover -11.5 in the Pac-12 Semifinal.

Clemson vs Arizona Player Props

Clemson vs Arizona player props are now available, with Caleb Love sporting the highest point total on the board at 18.5. Oumar Ballo is projected to record the most rebounds at 10.5, while Love and Joseph Girard III share the highest three-point line.

Player Points Rebounds Assists Three-Pointers Made
Caleb Love 18.5 (Ov -130 | Un -110) 3.5 (Ov -165 | Un +125) 3.5 (Ov -120 | Un -120) 2.5 (Ov -160 | Un +120)
Chase Hunter 14.5 (Ov -125 | Un -115) 2.5 (Ov -120 | Un -125) 3.5 (Ov +110 | Un -150) 1.5 (Ov +105 | Un -145)
Ian Schieffelin 9.5 (Ov -125 | Un -115) 8.5 (Ov -115 | Un -120) OFF 0.5 (Ov +110 | Un -150)
Jack Clark 6.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) 6.5 (Ov -105 | Un -135) OFF 0.5 (Ov -240 | Un +175)
Joseph Girard III 13.5 (Ov -135 | Un -110) 3.5 (Ov +105 | Un -135) 2.5 (Ov -145 | Un +105) 2.5 (Ov -120 | Un -120)
Keshad Johnson 12.5 (Ov -130 | Un -130) 3.5 (Ov +145 | Un -135) OFF 0.5 (Ov -230 | Un +170)
Kylan Boswell 8.5 (Ov -110 | Un -125) 5.5 (Ov +145 | Un -145) 2.5 (Ov -165 | Un +125) 1.5 (Ov -115 | Un -125)
Oumar Ballo 16.5 (Ov -115 | Un -125) 10.5 (Ov -115 | Un -125) OFF OFF
Pelle Larsson 12.5 (Ov -115 | Un -125) 5.5 (Ov -120 | Un -120) 3.5 (Ov -120 | Un -120) 1.5 (Ov +120 | Un -160)
PJ Hall 11.5 (Ov -130 | Un -110) 3.5 (Ov -135 | Un -105) OFF 1.5 (Ov -105 | Un -135)

A player prop bet we have locked in for this game is Chase Hunter Over 1.5 three-pointers made (available at DraftKings). The 6′ 4″ senior has gone over this line in three of his past five games and lands a favorable matchup Thursday.

Opposing teams are targeting Clemson’s frontcourt, as the Tigers rank 20th in the nation in average height. This focus is creating opportunities for Hunter on the perimeter. Look for him to cash this prop facing a Wildcats defense that ranks 134th nationally in defending beyond the arc.

Clemson vs Arizona Prop Pick:

  • Chase Hunter Over 1.5 Three-Pointers Made (+105)

Clemson vs Arizona Prediction

This game features a clash of styles, with Arizona’s up-tempo, high-powered offense against Clemson’s slower pace and stingy defense. When making a Clemson vs Arizona prediction, consider which team will be more successful in integrating their respective styles.

For Clemson to pull off the upset, they need to control the tempo and limit Arizona’s transition opportunities. The Tigers must also improve their defense of the three-point line when facing a Wildcats offense that’s lethal from deep. If the Tigers can ugly up the game and keep the score in the 60s, they’ll give themselves a great chance.

Clemson’s adopted physical defensive mindset could pose legitimate challenges for Arizona. Furthermore, the Tigers have a stronger strength of schedule, highlighted by victories over New Mexico and Baylor. Players like Chase Hunter and Joe Gerard of Clemson also have prior experience defending Arizona’s star Love.

The moneyline winner is a toss-up, as the Tigers have upset potential while the Wildcats have the talent to pull away late. However, we can’t ignore that Clemson’s elite and physical defense has held six of its past seven opponents to 64 points or less, making the Tigers against the number the best value on this game.

CLEM vs AZ Pick:

  • Clemson Tigers +7.5
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