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Gonzaga vs UConn Props, Picks and Same-Game Parlay (March 25)

Chris Amberley

By Chris Amberley in College Basketball

Published:


Drew Timme and Anton Watson celebrate
Mar 23, 2023; Las Vegas, NV, USA; Gonzaga Bulldogs forward Drew Timme (2) and forward Anton Watson (22) reacts after a play against the UCLA Bruins during the second half at T-Mobile Arena. Mandatory Credit: Stephen R. Sylvanie-USA TODAY Sports
  • Gonzaga and UConn same-game parlay picks are live for their Elite Eight battle on Saturday at the NCAA Tournament
  • Drew Timme is averaging 28 points and 9 rebounds so far during March Madness
  • Check out our Gonzaga vs UConn same-game parlay picks below

Gonzaga entered the past two NCAA Tournaments as the number one overall seed and the favorite to win it all. This season the Bulldogs came into March Madness flying under the radar, despite a scorching hot finish to the season.

That impressive play has carried over to the first three rounds of the NCAA Tournament, and now Gonzaga faces UConn on Saturday with a chance to punch their ticket to the Final Four.

There’s a plethora of ways to bet this contest, including the ever popular same-game parlay.

Gonzaga vs UConn Same-Game Parlay Picks

Pick Odds
Drew Timme Over 25+ Pts + Reb -320
Gonzaga +6.5 -225
Over 145.5 -275
Same-Game Parlay Odds +140

Our Gonzaga vs UConn same-game parlay features just three legs, but still pays out +140 odds if it hits. It starts with a bet on Drew Timme, who’s making the most of his final chance to win a National Championship.

 

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SGP Pick #1: Drew Timme Over 25 Points + Rebounds

Timme’s matchup is certainly challenging, as we’ll discuss later, but fading the wily veteran at March Madness has been backfiring on bettors for the past three years.

Timme has poured in at least 21 points in 10 of his past 11 NCAA Tournament contests. He’s also grabbed at least five rebounds in all but one of those outings, pulling down double-digit boards on four separate occasions.

In three games during this year’s March Madness he’s averaging 28 points and nine rebounds, and is fresh off one of the greatest games of his career.

Timme led the ‘Zags to a 79-76 upset victory over UCLA in the Sweet Sixteen, posting 36 points on 16-of-24 shooting, while grabbing 13 boards. Along the way, he became the first player ever with ten 20+ point games at the NCAA Tournament.

SGP Pick #2: Gonzaga +6.5

We’ll take an alternate line with the second leg of our SGP, grabbing the Bulldogs at +6.5. Gonzaga has won 12 straight dating back to February 9th, and features the most efficient offense in the nation this season.

The Bulldogs lead college hoops in points per game and field goal percentage, while ranking top-10 in three point efficiency.

They’re going to need to maintain that efficiency versus the Huskies, who boast KenPom’s 13th highest graded defense. UConn has won each of its three March Madness games so far by 15+ points, but it’s important to note they’ve yet to face an offense anywhere close to as good as Gonzaga’s.

The top ranked offensive team they’ve battled so far is Saint Mary’s, but they check in at number 45 in KenPom’s adjusted offensive efficiency metric. UConn has dropped only three of its past 15 games, but each of those defeats was also to a program that featured a top-22 offense (Maquette, Creighton, Xavier).

SGP Pick #3: Over 145.5

The final leg of our Gonzaga vs UConn same-game parlay is also an alternate line, taking over 145.5 points. That’s eight points less than the game’s current over/under of 153.5, and there’s plenty of reasons in addition to the Bulldogs’ offensive efficiency to expect a high-scoring affair.

For starters, the Huskies offense is no joke. They’re a top-three unit per KenPom’s metrics and have produced an average of 82 points through their first three March Madness contests. They’re arguably the most complete team remaining and the current favorite in the NCAA Tournament odds.

Gonzaga vs UConn Head-to-Head

Gonzaga Bulldogs
VS
UConn Huskies
31-5 Record 28-8
86.1 Points per Game 78.7
74.0 Points Against per Game 64.7
58.2% Effective FG% 54.1%
51.5% Opponent Effective FG% 45.1%

Both Adama Sanogo and Jordan Hawkins average north of 16 points per outing, and Hawkins is fresh off a 24-point effort in a win over Arkansas. UConn is a top-30 shooting team in the country, while only three programs average more assists.

As good as the Bulldogs offense is, their defense allows opponents to stay close. Gonzaga finished 266th in scoring defense this season, and 235th in opponent effective field goal percentage. They’re outside the top-100 in both steal and block percentage, and outside the top-250 in opponent three-point efficiency.

Chris Amberley
Chris Amberley

Sports Writer

As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.

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