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Marquette vs UConn Odds, Predictions & Player Props for Big East Championship (March 16)

Zach Reger

by Zach Reger in College Basketball

Updated Mar 16, 2024 · 9:58 AM PDT

Connecticut Huskies guard Tristen Newton shoots over Marquette Golden Eagles guard Stevie Mitchell
Mar 6, 2024; Milwaukee, Wisconsin, USA; Connecticut Huskies guard Tristen Newton (2) shoots over Marquette Golden Eagles guard Stevie Mitchell (4) during the first half at Fiserv Forum. Mandatory Credit: Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports
  • Top ten teams Marquette and UConn meet for the third time this season in the Big East Championship game
  • UConn has won both meetings against the Golden Eagles this year
  • Read below for the Marquette vs UConn odds, predictions, and player props for Saturday, March 16

The old adage is that beating a team three times is tough. On Saturday, #2 UConn will have that opportunity in the Big East Championship at Madison Square Garden in New York.

The Huskies will play #10 Marquette for the third time in less than a month. UConn defeated Marquette 81-53 in their first meeting and won again a couple of weeks later 74-67. The Huskies have not only won both games, but they also covered the spread in both matchups. This is also a rematch of last year’s Big East Tournament semifinals, where Marquette beat UConn 70-68.

On their way to the Big East title game, Marquette defeated six-seed Villanova in overtime, then seven-seed Providence. UConn beat Xavier 87-60 in the Big East quarterfinals then defeated St. John’s in the semifinals 95-90.

Marquette vs UConn Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Marquette Golden Eagles +9 (-108) +350 Over 141.5 (-112)
UConn Huskies -9 (-112) -455 Under 141.5 (-108)

Odds as of March 16 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Check out the best DraftKings offers for Marquette vs UConn on Saturday.

The college basketball odds have UConn as 9-point favorites over Marquette in the Big East Title game. With moneyline odds of -455, UConn has an implied win probability of 81.98%.

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The Huskies are looking to win their first Big East Tournament since 2011, while Marquette is the reigning Big East Tournament champion. The O/U is 141.5 in this game, and the total points have gone under that both times these teams played this season.

Even though UConn is ranked second in the country, It has the best March Madness odds at +450. Marquette is currently +3000 to win the NCAA Tournament and has the ninth-best odds.

Marquette Betting Trends

The Golden Eagles have a strong 20-12-1 record against the spread this season. They have covered the spread in 62.5% of their games and in three straight games. Marquette is also 4-1 straight up on neutral courts this season.

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Without Tyler Kolek, Marquette’s offense has not looked the same. That was evident when Marquette escaped a scare against Villanova in overtime. While the offense has struggled, players have stepped up. Leading scorer Kam Jones has scored at least 18 points in his last four games. Forward Oso Ighodaro also put up 20 points last night against Providence.

Marquette is ranked twelfth in KenPom thanks to their balanced attack on offense and defense. The Golden Eagles are averaging just under 79 points per game on offense and are allowing 69.6 points per game.

UConn Betting Trends

The favorite to win it all this year, UConn has not lost a step since going on their National Championship run in 2023. Despite the Huskies winning the National Championship three times since 2011, UConn has only won the Big East Tournament once during that stretch.

The Huskies lost to Marquette in the semifinals of this tournament last season, so that might be all the motivation Danny Hurley needs to get his team ready to go.

UConn went 21-12 against the spread this season. UConn covered in five straight games before failing to cover the spread against St. John’s last night. The Huskies have also covered the spread in eight of their last nine games.

The Huskies can score and score fast. They average 81.7 points per game and rank #1 in adjusted offensive efficiency. What makes UConn difficult to defend is that they can score in so many ways. They want to force turnovers and get transition points, but they also can score inside and out.

UConn is also big and physical on defense, making it difficult for teams to score, like we saw against Marquette earlier in the year when they won 81-53.

Marquette vs UConn Player Props

Player Points Rebounds Assists Three-Pointers Made
Alex Karaban (UCONN) 13.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 4.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) OFF 2.5 (Ov +140 | Un -180)
Cam Spencer (UCONN) 14.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 4.5 (Ov +120 | Un -150) 3.5 (Ov -145 | Un +114) 2.5 (Ov +105 | Un -135)
David Joplin (MARQ) 10.5 (Ov -130 | Un +100) 4.5 (Ov +100 | Un -130) OFF 1.5 (Ov -166 | Un +130)
Donovan Clingan (UCONN) 12.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 7.5 (Ov -130 | Un +100) OFF OFF
Kam Jones (MARQ) 18.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 3.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) 3.5 (Ov +120 | Un -150) 2.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Oso Ighodaro (MARQ) 14.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) 6.5 (Ov -145 | Un +114) 2.5 (Ov -150 | Un +120) OFF
Stephon Castle (UCONN) 11.5 (Ov +105 | Un -135) 4.5 (Ov +100 | Un -130) OFF 0.5 (Ov -130 | Un +100)
Stevie Mitchell (MARQ) 9.5 (Ov -135 | Un +105) 4.5 (Ov -135 | Un +105) OFF 0.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105)
Tristen Newton (UCONN) 15.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) 7.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) 5.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) 2.5 (Ov +130 | Un -166)

College basketball player props from DraftKings on March 16.


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Tristen Newton is expected to have a big game against Marquette with his current props. Newton is averaging 15.2 points per game, 7.1 rebounds per game, and 5.9 assists per game, and all of his props are right around those marks.

Alex Karaban is averaging 14.2 points per game which is above his prop of 13.5. He also scored 23 in his last game against Marquette.

Kam Jones has not only done a great job of scoring the basketball for Marquette, but he has also been a great distributor. He may only average 2.5 assists per game, but Jones has had at least four assists in his last three games. This offers some value to those looking at his assist prop of over 3.5 assists at +120 odds.

Marquette vs UConn Prediction

Both teams have escaped scares in the Big East Tournament over the past couple of days. UConn’s was more recent, but they still scored 95 points in regulation. UConn dominated Marquette in both games they played earlier in the season, and that was when Tyler Kolek was with them, so this one should be no different.

It is not often that you can get a revenge spot for the favorite to win the National Championship, but there are enough players on UConn to remember last year’s Big East semifinals defeat. For our Marquette vs UConn prediction, I think the Huskies will roll to their first Big East Title since 2011.

  • Pick: UConn -9 (-112)


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