Mississippi Valley State vs Baylor Predictions & Odds (Nov. 7)
- The NCAA College Basketball Season Tips off on Monday, November 7th with plenty of Division I action
- The Number 5 Ranked Baylor Bears are big favorites when they host Mississippi Valley State
- Read below for the Mississippi Valley State vs Baylor odds and betting prediction
College basketball is finally back with a packed schedule including Big 12 Conference contender, the Baylor Bears tipping things off against the Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils on Monday, November 7th at 12:00 pm ET.
This game is definitely a mismatch with #5 Baylor opening up as 40.5 points favorites against their opponents from the Southwestern Athletic Conference. It will be played at the Ferrell Center in Waco, Texas.
Mississippi Valley State vs Baylor Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mississippi Valley State | +4000 | +40.5 (-115) | O 142.5 (-110) |
| Baylor | -100000 | -40.5 (-104) | U 142.5 (-110) |
Odds as of November 6th at FanDuel Sportsbook.
Not only are the Bears massive favorites in their first game of the season, but they’re also one of the top contenders when you look at the odds to win the NCAA tournament. They find themselves firmly amongst the top-10 teams on the list with last year’s champions and conference rivals, Kansas, just ahead of them.
Mississippi Valley State Betting Analysis
Last year was a season to forget for Mississippi Valley State, which finished last in the SWAC with a record of 2-26. Their first win of the season last year didn’t come until January. So there is good reason that they’re 40.5 points underdogs against Baylor.
The Delta Devils are ranked 361st in the pre-season KenPom rankings with only two Division I squads ranked lower than them. Last season, they only lost three of 28 games by 41 or more points. One positive for them is that they’re getting perhaps their stiffest test of the season out of the way early against Baylor.
In 24 hours Baylor-Mississippi Valley State will tip to begin the College Basketball season. It fits right in with tomorrow’s opening slate which is trying to break the record for most blowouts in a single day.
— Jonathon Warriner (@Bracketologist3) November 6, 2022
Unfortunately, most of their top scorers from last season are gone. The Delta Devils had four players average at least 10 points per game last season and none of them are back this year.
Baylor Bears Betting Analysis
Yes, they are in the same conference as the defending NCAA Champions, but many are picking Baylor as the team to beat in the Big 12 Conference Title odds. They are expected to have a terrific backcourt this year led by returning 5th year senior, Adam Flagler and freshman Keyonte George.
Scott Drew’s team is always known for their great defense, but the Bears offense has ranked in the top 20 in adjusted efficiency in 12 of the last 15 seasons as well. George is projected to be arguably the best scorer in the freshman class. He scored 37 points in a win over Canada’s U23 team showing his offensive explosiveness.
Ranking the top 100-plus impact newcomers for the 2022-23 season:
1. Nick Smith
2. Keyonte George
3. Cam Whitmore
4. Kendric Davis
5. Brandon Miller
6. Dereck Lively
7. Tyrese Proctor
8. Baylor Scheierman
9. Tyrese Hunter
10. Dariq WhiteheadThe rest 👇https://t.co/FadzBItdF0
— Jeff Borzello (@jeffborzello) November 2, 2022
The Bears were knocked out of the NCAA tournament by the North Carolina Tar Heels last year, succumbing 93-86 in overtime. In that contest, they erased a 25 point deficit to force the extra session only to fall to the eventual finalists from North Carolina. Flagler led the way with 27 points in that one, but is expected to be more of a distributor for the Bears this year.
Mississippi Valley State vs Baylor Prediction
Baylor plays in the best conference in college basketball and according to Ken Pomeroy, it’s not even that close. This game will not be close, but the question is, can they actually beat the Delta Devils by more than 40 points? Even for a big mismatch, that’s a huge spread.
.@keyonte1george 🤝 @adamflagler
📰 https://t.co/k1vHnZ7xuo#SicEm | #CultureofJOY pic.twitter.com/sN01qBgUia
— Baylor Men’s Basketball (@BaylorMBB) November 3, 2022
There were two games last year where Baylor was able to defeat their opponents by 40+ points with one of those wins coming against Arkansas-Pine Bluff, who finished ahead of the Delta Devils in the SWAC standings last year and are expected to finish in front of Mississippi Valley State once again.
Taking all things into consideration including the fact that the Delta Devils don’t have any of their top four scorers back from last year, let’s go with Baylor domination in this one and pick the Bears to cover the huge 40.5-point spread in their season-opener on Monday.
Pick: Baylor Bears -40.5 (-104)
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George has had a lifelong love affair with sports and studying sports statistics since he was a kid. He graduated from Ryerson University with a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism and has worked in the sports & media industry ever since in various roles from writer to producer.
