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NC State vs Marquette Odds, Prediction & Picks (March. 29)

Brady Trettenero

by Brady Trettenero in College Basketball

Updated Mar 28, 2024 · 4:00 PM PDT

North Carolina State Wolfpack guard Casey Morsell celebrates with forward DJ Burns
Mar 23, 2024; Pittsburgh, PA, USA; North Carolina State Wolfpack guard Casey Morsell (14) celebrates with forward DJ Burns Jr. (30) after beating the Oakland Golden Grizzlies in the second round of the 2024 NCAA Tournament at PPG Paints Arena. Mandatory Credit: Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports
  • NC State vs Marquette goes down Friday night in Dallas
  • The latest Sweet 16 March Madness odds favor the Golden Eagles by 6.5 points
  • Read below for NC State vs Marquette odds, prediction and picks for the Sweet 16

No. 11 seed NC State (24-14) and No. 2 seed Marquette (28-9) will meet in the Sweet 16 round of the NCAA Tournament on Friday, March 29th at 7:09 PM ET on CBS. The game will take place at American Airlines Center in Dallas.

Marquette is currently a 6.5-point favorite with an over/under of 151.5 points, according to ESPN Sportsbook Sportsbook. NC State has been on a remarkable underdog run, but will it continue against the Wolfpack?

Let’s further breakdown the NC State vs Marquette odds, as we provide our prediction and best March Madness picks.

NC State vs Marquette Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
N.C. State +6.5 (-115) +225 Over 151.5 (-105)
Marquette -6.5 (-105) -275 Under 151.5 (-115)

In the NC State vs Marquette odds at ESPN, the Golden Eagles are 275 favorites on the moneyline, giving them an implied win probability of 73%.

The latest 2024 March Madness odds show the Golden Eagles as +1600 to win the entire tournament while the Wolfpack are +10,000 longshots (worst odds of any remaining team).


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Odds as of March 28, 2024, at ESPN Bet North Carolina. Unlock the ESPN Bet North Carolina promo to wager on March Madness Sweet 16 games. Bet $5 on the game and get $225!

NC State Betting Trends

NC State enters on a remarkable 5-game winning streak, including winning 5 games in 5 days to capture the ACC Tournament title as a double-digit seed. In the NCAA Tournament, they defeated No. 6 Texas Tech 80-67 in the first round and No. 14 Oakland 79-73 in overtime in the second round.

The Wolfpack have been underdogs in four straight games but keep finding ways to win. Forward DJ Burns Jr. is the engine that makes the offense go, averaging 16.2 points and 6.8 rebounds per contest. He scored 24 points and grabbed 11 rebounds against Oakland.

The key for NC State in this game is getting production from their supporting cast like guards Jarkel Joiner and Terquavion Smith to take scoring pressure off Burn. Mohamed Diarra also had double-doubles in both games and is averaging 14 points and 12.5 rebounds in the tourney.

NC State ranks 42nd in KenPom’s adjusted offensive efficiency metrics, but they only rank 76th in adjusted defensive efficiency. Part of those struggles can be attributed to their three-point defense, which ranks outside the top-200 nationally.

Marquette Betting Trends

Marquette advanced by beating Western Kentucky 87-69 in the first round after trailing by 7 at halftime. In the second round, they held off Colorado 81-77 despite Colorado tying the game late. The Golden Eagles are 12-3 in their last 15 games overall.

Star point guard Tyler Kolek, who recently recovered from an oblique injury, averaged 19.5 points and 11 assists and shot 63 percent from the field in the two wins. In the victory over Colorado, Kolek had 21 points and 11 assists, while Kam Jones added 18 points.

The advanced metrics paint Marquette in a good light, as the Eagles rank 19th in adjusted offensive efficiency and 21st in adjusted defensive efficiency per KenPom. According to that same website, they have also played the eighth-hardest schedule in the country.

Marquette is 21-14-1 ATS on the season, covering the number in 12 of their past 17 games. They were favored by 4.5 points against Colorado in the Round of 32 but missed out on covering the spread by an ever-so-slim margin.

NC State vs Marquette Prediction

While NC State has been a great story, Marquette’s combination of elite guard play, defensive intensity, and coaching from Shaka Smart gives them a significant edge in this matchup. Expect the Golden Eagles’ depth and athleticism to eventually wear down the Wolfpack over 40 minutes.

Marquette’s ability to force turnovers and score in transition will be the difference. Look for Kolek and Jones to set the tone on both ends. Burns will get his points inside for NC State, but it won’t be enough to overcome Marquette’s balance and defensive pressure.

NC State vs Marquette Pick:

  • Marquette Golden Eagles -6.5 (-105)


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