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Texas vs Miami Picks & Odds for Elite Eight (March 26)

Nick Holz

by Nick Holz in College Basketball

Updated Mar 26, 2023 · 8:55 AM PDT

Miami Hurricanes guard Jordan Miller raises his arms
Mar 24, 2023; Kansas City, MO, USA; Miami Hurricanes guard Jordan Miller (11) celebrates during the final seconds of their 89-75 victory against the Houston Cougars in an NCAA tournament Midwest Regional semifinal at T-Mobile Center. Mandatory Credit: Jay Biggerstaff-USA TODAY Sports
  • Miami takes on Texas in Elite Eight NCAA tournament action on Sunday, March 26th
  • Miami are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 NCAA tournament games
  • Check out all the odds and our best bets for this Miami vs Texas Elite Eight matchup below

What a two-night March Madness marathon! This season’s tournament has certainly lived up to the hype, and the Sweet 16 did nothing to disappoint. Only eight teams remain. Let’s find the value in this interesting Miami vs Texas Elite Eight matchup.

The Miami Hurricanes (24-6,11-7 ACC) pulled off the upset on Friday night, defeating  the no.1 seed Houston Cougars 86-75 to advance to the Elite Eight. Miami’s victory assures that, for the first time in NCAA tournament history, all of the top seeds fail to advance to the Elite Eight.

On the other side of the court stand the formidable Texas Longhorns (29-8,12-6 Big 12). Making its first Elite Eight appearance since 2008, Texas is +360 in the latest NCAA tournament championship odds after a convincing blowout win over Xavier.

Miami vs Texas tips off at 5:05 pm ET on Sunday, March 26th, from the T-Mobile Center in Kansas City, Missouri.  Catch all the action on CBS.

Miami vs Texas Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Miami +4 +160 Over 148 (-110)
Texas -4 -190 Under 148 (-110)

Texas enters this Elite Eight matchup as a 4-point favorites and -190 favorites on the moneyline in Sunday’s college basketball odds. While the Miami Hurricanes come back as +120 moneyline underdogs. The total for this Miami vs Texas Elite Eight matchup sits at 148 after opening at 150.

The winner of this #5 Miami vs #2 Texas contest will advance to face the winner of #4 UConn vs #3 Gonzaga in the Final Four of the March Madness bracket.



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How far can the Hurricanes Go?

Nigel Pack’s unconscious three-point shooting led the Hurricanes to victory against Houston. Pack was unbelievable on Friday night, shooting 7/10 from three, and dropping 26 points on one of the best defenses in the country.

Heading into Friday’s Sweet 16 match up, the Cougars led the country in opponent field goal percentage (36%) this season. Miami didn’t get the memo. Junior guard Isaiah Wong added 20 points for the Hurricanes who shot an incredibly efficient 52% from the floor. Sophomore forward Norchad Omier added 12 points and 13 key rebounds for the Hurricanes.

Appealingly for bettors, Miami are 9-3 against the spread in their last 12 against a team with a winning record. While the under is 7-1 in the Hurricanes last eight NCAA tournament games. Per KenPom, the Hurricanes are the 6th ranked offense in the nation in adjusted efficiency. Miami will try to ride their blazing offense all the way to the Final Four.

Longhorns Ready to Ride to NCAA Tournament Victory

Interim head coach Rodney Terry has these Longhorns ready to play.

Texas blitzed Xavier on Friday night, racing out to a 42-25 halftime lead from which the Knights never recovered. Five players scored in double figures for the Longhorns, led by sophomore guard Tyrese Hunter’s 19 points.

The Longhorns are far and away the better defensive team entering Sunday afternoon’s showdown. Texas have surrendered just 61 points per game over their last 3. Per KenPom, the Longhorns have allowed just 91.8 points per 100 possessions this season, good for 10th in the nation.

Additionally, Texas have covered the spread in six straight games.

Miami vs Texas Prediction

While the Longhorns defense has gotten them this far, Texas has struggled against free-flowing offensive attacks this season. As seen in the Baylor and Kansas State games the Longhorns have trouble containing quick, dynamic scoring guards.

In Isaiah Wong, Jordan Miller, and Nijel Pack, Miami has the firepower and shooting depth to keep this one close. Take the points.

Miami vs Texas Pick: Miami Hurricanes +4 (-110)


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