March Madness Elite Eight Player Props – Picks & Odds for UConn vs Gonzaga & More
By Chris Amberley in College Basketball
- Elite Eight player props are live for Saturday’s games at the NCAA Tournament
- Gonzaga’s Rasir Bolton averages just 1.9 rebounds per game and has a tough matchup on the glass versus UConn
- Don’t miss the best March Madness player props to bet for the Elite Eight
March Madness continues on Saturday with the first of back-to-back days of Elite Eight action. The top contenders in the March Madness odds have been dropping like flies, but a program that was at the top of the rankings each of the previous two seasons is still standing.
That of course would be Gonzaga, who are playing the role of an underdog for the second consecutive game. The Bulldogs upset UCLA in the Sweet Sixteen and now eye another upset over UConn.
March Madness Player Props – Elite Eight
| Florida Atlantic vs Kansas State | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Three Pointers Made |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alijah Martin (FAU) | 13.5 (Ov -105 / Un -125) | 5.5 (Ov +120 / Un -160) | 1.5 (Ov +100 / Un -130) | 2.5 (Ov +110 / Un -150) |
| Johnell Davis (FAU) | 14.5 (Ov -110 / Un -120) | 5.5 (Ov -135 / Un +100) | 1.5 (Ov -125 / Un -105) | 1.5 (Ov +105 / Un -140) |
| Vladislav Goldin (FAU) | 7.5 (Ov -125 / Un -105) | 6.5 (Ov -125 / Un -105) | OFF | OFF |
| Nicholas Boyd (FAU) | 9.5 (Ov +110 / Un -140) | 4.5 (Ov -120 / Un -110) | 2.5 (Ov -110 / Un -120) | 1.5 (Ov -185 / Un +135) |
| Brian Greenlee (FAU) | 7.5 (Ov +100 / Un -130) | OFF | 2.5 (Ov +110 / Un -145) | 1.5 (Ov +130 / Un -175) |
| Cam Carter (KSU) | 6.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) | 3.5 (Ov +105 / Un -140) | OFF | OFF |
| Desi Sills (KSU) | 8.5 (Ov -130 / Un +100) | 3.5 (Ov -175 / Un +130) | OFF | OFF |
| Keyontae Johnson (KSU) | 16.5 (Ov -140 / Un +110) | 6.5 (Ov -150 / Un +115) | OFF | 1.5 (Ov -120 / Un -110) |
| Nae’Quan Tomlin (KSU) | 10.5 (Ov -105 / Un -125) | 6.5 (Ov +100 / Un -130) | OFF | OFF |
| UConn vs Gonzaga | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Three Pointers Made |
| Adama Sanogo (CONN) | 16.5 (Ov -125 / Un -105) | 7.5 (Ov -130 / Un +100) | 0.5 (Ov -165 / Un +125) | OFF |
| Alex Karaban (CONN) | 7.5 (Ov -135 / Un +100) | 4.5 (Ov -110 / Un -120) | 1.5 (Ov +145 / Un -195) | 0.5 (Ov +155 / Un -210) |
| Jordan Hawkins (CONN) | 15.5 (Ov -140 / Un +105) | 3.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) | 1.5 (Ov +175 / Un -240) | 2.5 (Ov -120 / Un -110) |
| Tristen Newton (CONN) | 10.5 (Ov -110 / Un -120) | 4.5 (Ov -105 / Un -125) | 4.5 (Ov -140 / Un +105) | 1.5 (Ov +185 / Un -250) |
| Andre Jackson (CONN) | 7.5 (Ov -140 / Un +105) | 6.5 (Ov -105 / Un -125) | 1.5 (Ov +105 / Un -135) | 0.5 (Ov -155 / Un +120) |
| Anton Watson (GONZ) | 11.5 (Ov +100 / Un -135) | 7.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) | 2.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) | 0.5 (Ov -120 / Un -110) |
| Drew Timme (GONZ) | 21.5 (Ov -125 / Un -105) | 7.5 (Ov +100 / Un -130) | 2.5 (Ov -145 / Un +110) | OFF |
| Julian Strawther (GONZ) | 14.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115) | 5.5 (Ov -120 / Un -110) | 1.5 (Ov +145 / Un -200) | 1.5 (Ov -175 / Un +130) |
| Malachi Smith (GONZ) | 8.5 (Ov +100 / Un -130) | 4.5 (Ov +125 / Un -170) | 1.5 (Ov +135 / Un -190) | 0.5 (Ov -190 / Un +140) |
| Nolan Hickman (GONZ) | 6.5 (Ov +105 / Un -135) | 2.5 (Ov +115 / Un -155) | 1.5 (Ov -145 / Un +110) | 0.5 (Ov -185 / Un +140) |
| Rasir Bolton (GONZ) | 7.5 (Ov -120 / Un -110) | 2.5 (Ov +115 / Un -155) | 2.5 (Ov +145 / Un -200) | 0.5 (Ov -220 / Un +165) |
Gonzaga’s Drew Timme has the highest over/under points total in the player props market on Saturday, but we’re not looking to buy or fade him on our card. We will be fading a different Bulldog however in the rebounds category, as guard Rasir Bolton faces a very difficult matchup.
Odds as of March 24th at DraftKings Sportsbook. See the list of March Madness betting apps.
March Madness Prop #1: Rasir Bolton Under 2.5 Rebounds
There’s plenty of reasons to fade Bolton on the glass, even if you expect Gonzaga to advance in the March Madness Bracket. Bolton is the eighth best rebounder on the team averaging just 1.9 boards per contest. That’s over a half a rebound less than his Elite Eight rebounding prop.
He’s cleared 1.5 boards just once so far in three NCAA Tournament games, and only three times in his past 12 outings overall.
UConn will play Gonzaga in the Elite Eight in Saturday.
It's the same matchup we saw in 1999 in the Elite Eight when the Huskies went to the Final Four for the first time.
— Jon Rothstein (@JonRothstein) March 24, 2023
That alone would be grounds for fading him, but the matchup versus the Huskies is the icing on the cake. UConn is one of the best rebounding teams in the country. They rank 13th on the glass overall, and third at the offensive end. That’s going to make things tough for Bolton to grab some cheap boards on defense, as will the size discrepancy he’ll be dealing with.
Bolton stands 6-foot-3, but will be giving up multiple inches to the Huskies top three guards. Expect a down game for him and the rest of the ‘Zags on the glass.
Pick: Rasir Bolton Under 2.5 Rebounds (-155)Â
March Madness Prop #2: Cam Carter Under 6.5 Points
Saturday’s other Elite Eight contest features Florida Atlantic and Kansas State. The Wildcats Markquis Nowell set the college hoops world on fire with his Sweet Sixteen performance, but his ankle injury is serious enough that online sportsbooks don’t want to post lines for his player props just yet.
Odds are out for the rest of his teammates though, and one Kansas State player we’re looking to fade is Cam Carter.
This wager is all about a lack of opportunity and a tough matchup. Carter averages just six shots per game and is not efficient from the field. He’s shooting only 38.4% this season and has taken fewer than six shots in eight of his past 14 contests.
The Florida Atlantic Owls are the 4th team since the field expanded in 1985 to reach the Elite 8 after entering the year with no NCAA Tournament wins. pic.twitter.com/4FqXpYJzbG
— ESPN Stats & Info (@ESPNStatsInfo) March 24, 2023
To make matters worse, the Owls defense is no joke. Florida Atlantic has held its opponents to an average of 63.3 points per game so far in the NCAA Tournament, but that won’t come as a surprise to anyone who’s watched them play this season.
The Owls boast a top-36 scoring defense, and rank 13th in opponent effective field goal percentage. They hold enemy shooters to just 31% from three which is especially problematic for Carter. 46% of Carter’s looks this season have come from long range, and he’s been able to knock down just 30% of those shots.
Pick: Cam Carter Under 6.5 Points (-115)
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Sports Writer
As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.
