College Football Week 14 ATS Picks: Ohio State (-9.5) at Michigan Among Best Bets
By Brady Trettenero in College Football
Updated: March 28, 2020 at 7:16 pm EDTPublished:
- Ohio State brings its top-ranked offense and defense into Michigan on Saturday (Nov. 30th)
- Alabama looks to keep its CFP hopes alive against Auburn in the 2019 Iron Bowl
- Which teams are the best bets against the spread in Week 14?
Week 14 features several marquee matchups with good betting value. New No. 1 Ohio State faces Michigan in a Big Ten clash at the Big House. Over in SEC play, Alabama will look to keep its CFP hopes alive by beating arch-rival Auburn without Tua Tagovailoa.
Read below for my three favorite ATS picks for Week 14. All games take place Saturday, Nov. 30th.
Ohio State vs Michigan Odds
Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
---|---|---|---|
Ohio State (#1) | -9.5 (-115) | -350 | O 50.5 (-110) |
Michigan (#13) | +9.5 (-105) | +275 | U 50.5 (-110) |
All odds taken Nov. 26.
Unbeaten Ohio State is proving to be the most complete team in the country and has surpassed LSU for the top spot in the latest College Football Playoff rankings.
The Wolverines have won four straight games and are playing their best football of the season. Even at the Big House, though, they still won’t be a match for this Ohio State powerhouse. The Buckeyes have won seven straight games against Michigan, and their last three victories in Anne Arbour have been by an average of 13.7 points.
The Buckeyes rank first in the country in both offense and defense and have better talent on both sides of the ball . They rank second in sacks and are going to create tons of havoc for Michigan QB Shea Patterson. Pattersson has cracked under pressure in the past and the Wolverines don’t have a strong offensive line that can protect him.
OSU’s Chase Young is the best defensive player in the country and was excellent in his return from suspension, while RB J.K. Dobbins and QB Justin Fields have been among the best at their respective positions. Michigan has shown this season in losses to Wisconsin and Penn State that their defense can get overwhelmed by strong dual-threat offenses.
The Buckeyes outgained the defensively stout Nittany Lions 417-227 last weekend and would have won by more than 11 points had they not made some uncharacteristic turnovers. They will be determined to correct those mistakes on Saturday and should turn in a big performance in their final outing before the Big 10 Championship game.
Pick: Ohio State (-9.5)
LSU vs Texas A&M Odds
Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
---|---|---|---|
Texas A&M | +17.0 (-105) | +550 | O 62.5 (-110) |
LSU (#2) |
-17.0 (-115) | -900 | U 62.5 (-110) |
Heisman favorite Joe Burrow is sure to deliver a big performance against the Aggies in his final game at Tiger Stadium on Saturday. The 11-0 Tigers have a solid matchup at home against a 7-4 Texas A&M team that has struggled against top teams.
Burrow and running back Clyde Edwards-Helaire are a big reason why LSU should win and cover the spread on Saturday. Alabama’s Tua Tagovailoa and Najee Harris were able to torch this defense in a 47-28 victory over the Aggies earlier this season, and I expect the Tigers’ key players to follow suit in Week 14.
Joe Burrow has rocked the football landscape as he leads No. 1 LSU toward the @CFBPlayoff — and makes his case to be the No. 1 pick in the 2020 NFL Draft https://t.co/Z4XaVNyjZl pic.twitter.com/J5NeVkJqIm
— Sports Illustrated (@SInow) November 26, 2019
The Aggies have only averaged 23.6 points against ranked opponents this season, while LSU has put up over 40 points against elite Florida and Alabama defenses. LSU is also getting healthier, with safety Grant Delpit and OT Saahdiq Charles expected to return from injury on Saturday.
Burrow is just going to be too much for a mediocre passing defense that has shown vulnerability when up against a lethally accurate quarterback such as Tagovailoa. The Tigers will get revenge from their seven overtime loss to the Aggies in 2018 and will win by at least three touchdowns in their home finale.
Pick: LSU (-17)
Alabama vs Auburn Odds
Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
---|---|---|---|
Alabama (#5) | -4.0 (-110) | -175 | O 50.0 (-110) |
Auburn (#16) | +4.0 (-110) | +155 | U 50.0 (-110) |
A season-ending injury to Crimson Tide QB Tua Tagovailoa has likely made oddsmakers discount Alabama in their big clash with Auburn. There’s still plenty to reason to believe the Crimson Tide will win by at least one touchdown.
Najee Harris has been one of the best running backs in the nation, while Jerry Jeudy, DeVonta Smith and Keilan Robinson lead a lethal group of wide receivers. QB Mac Jones will have plenty of talent to work with and should be confident after going 10-12 for three TDs in his last outing against West Carolina.
Auburn allowed a 100-yard rusher in each of their three losses to Florida, Georgia and LSU this season. Harris has exploded for nine rushing touchdowns in his last five games and should deliver another big performance for the Crimson Tide.
Bo Nix is having a strong season for the Tigers, but Auburn’s offense isn’t on Alabama’s level. The Tigers have struggled to put up points against good defenses, and the Crimson Tide are only giving up 10 more yards per game than the Tigers’ 14th ranked defense is giving up.
Alabama can still make the CFP, but they need a statement win. Expect another good game from Jones, but it’s Harris and the experienced receivers who will carry the Crimson Tide to a big victory.
Pick: Alabama (-4)
Lead NHL & NCAAF Editor
Brady is the lead NHL and College Football editor at Sports Betting Dime, where he specializes in betting odds and data-driven analysis. Brady has over 10 years experience working in sports media, with work published by outlets such as ESPN, CBS Sports, Yahoo! Sports and Fox Sports.