Upcoming Match-ups

Georgia Established as 15-Point Favorite Over Texas A&M in Early Week 13 Odds

John Perrotto

by John Perrotto in College Football

Updated Jan 6, 2023 · 2:04 AM PST

Jake Fromm handing ball off
Jake Fromm and the Bulldogs have a tricky Week 13 tilt with Texas A&M as they try to secure a CFP playoff spot. Photo by Tammy Anthony Baker (Flickr) [CC License].
  • Georgia will try to its keep CFP hopes alive after clinching the SEC East
  • Jake Fromm threw three touchdown passes in Georgia’s win over Auburn
  • With Georgia favored by 15, read below to figure out whether to wager now or later this week

With the SEC East title clinched, No. 4 Georgia travels to Texas A&M this upcoming Saturday (3:30 p.m. ET, Nov. 23) in the hopes of strengthening their  College Football Championship odds and landing a spot in the College Football Playoff.

The Bulldogs opened as 15-point favorites in the NCAAF Week 13 odds.

Georgia (9-1) wrapped up the division title Saturday by holding on for a 21-14 victory at No. 13 Auburn after building a three-touchdown lead. The Bulldogs have won four games in a row since their lone loss of the season – a triple overtime home loss to South Carolina on Oct. 12.

Texas A&M (7-3) is out of the running in both the CFP and SEC but still should present a formidable challenge, especially at home in College Station. The Aggies are on a four-game winning streak since beginning the season 3-3.

No. 4 Georgia vs. Texas A&M Odds

Team Spread
Texas A&M +15 (-110)
Georgia -15 (-110)

*Odds taken Nov. 17

Georgia in Control of its CFP Destiny

Georgia needs to win out, including a victory in the SEC Championship Game – most likely against No. 1 LSU (10-0) – on Dec. 7, if it is to be selected to the four-team CFP field. The Bulldogs also visit rival Georgia Tech (2-8) on Nov. 30 in a non-conference game, a game where they should be favored by four touchdowns or more.

The Bulldogs figure to hold a top-4 playoff spot again this week after the three teams ahead of them – LSU, Ohio State and Clemson – also won.

Jake Fromm threw three touchdown passes Saturday, including a 51-yarder to Dominic Blaylock, but was just 13 of 28 for 110 yards overall. De’Andre Swift rushed for 106 yards on 17 carries in Georgia’s run-heavy offense.

YouTube video

Georgia became the first team to win three consecutive SEC titles since Florida ran off five in a row from 1992-96.

Texas A&M Rolling but has Tough Finish

Texas A&M steamrolled visiting South Carolina 30-6 on Saturday behind Kellen Mond, who threw for 221 yards and a touchdown and ran for another score. Cordarrain Richardson had a 75-yard touchdown run among his 130 yards rushing and the Aggies rolled up 319 yards on the ground.

The win enabled Texas A&M to move into this week’s Associated Press poll at No. 24.

However, Texas A&M doesn’t figure to have quite so easy of a time running the ball against Georgia. The Bulldogs are 13th in the nation in total yards allowed (314.3 a game) and 14th in scoring defense (19.2).

Georgia’s defense also stiffened Saturday once Auburn cut the lead to seven points. The Tigers turned the ball over on its last two possessions as Bo Nix threw an incomplete pass on the first drive and was sacked by freshman lineman Travon Walker on the second.

While the task ahead is extremely difficult, Texas A&M could wind up playing in the New Year’s Six bowl if it can upset Georgia then also knock off LSU on Nov. 30 in the season finale.

Head-to-Head Statistical Comparison

Texas A&M
34.0 (31st) Points per game 32.4 (42nd)
20.3 (23rd) Points allowed per game 10.5 (2nd)
434.7 (40th) Total yards per game 429.8 (44th
327.9 (26th) Total yards allowed per game 267.5 (6th)

Both teams are 6-4 ATS

Georgia has covered the spread in its last three games and each of its last five games has gone under. Overall, the Bulldogs are 6-4 against the line this season and the under has been the winning play eight of 10 times.

Texas A&M has been the winning side in three of its last four games and, like Georgia, is 6-4 ATS in 2019. Six of the Aggies’ games have gone under.

There isn’t much history to go on in this matchup as, in a scheduling quirk, the schools have played only one other time. In the 2009 Independence Bowl, Georgia was a 6.5-point favorite and rolled to a 44-20 victory.

The line seems a tad high at 15 and it seems likely to go a little lower between now and kickoff.

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